ObsessedMiami wrote:Does NHC issue watches and warnings at intermediate advisories? Or only at the "main" ones?
Yes, they can at any time if warranted. They can even issue special advisories with watches/warnings if the situation is dire enough.
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ObsessedMiami wrote:Does NHC issue watches and warnings at intermediate advisories? Or only at the "main" ones?
jlauderdal wrote:they want one more run of the gfs...there is a huge difference in terms of tropical vs hurricane in terms of evacs for keys and into miami...i suspect tropical storm watches/warnings upper keys all they to at least deerfield beach..they are cutting it close but they hoist hurricane watches/warnings the monetary expense skyrockets..lets see how the handle it
jlauderdal wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:The 5am track shifted east over Grand Bahama Island a little.
not sure why you think it went east
Most of the
dynamical models shows a track near the east coast of Florida
and the southeast United States from days 3 through 5. The NHC
track is largely unchanged through 48 hours, but has been adjusted
slightly westward after that time, and is close to the consensus
of the ECMWF and GFS. Users are reminded not to focus on the exact
forecast track since strong winds, heavy rainfall, and a dangerous
storm surge will extend far from the center of Matthew.
La Sirena wrote:jlauderdal wrote:they want one more run of the gfs...there is a huge difference in terms of tropical vs hurricane in terms of evacs for keys and into miami...i suspect tropical storm watches/warnings upper keys all they to at least deerfield beach..they are cutting it close but they hoist hurricane watches/warnings the monetary expense skyrockets..lets see how the handle it
I told my husband last night that they would have to evacuate the Keys today if that was going to happen. And the mandatory checkpoint at MM 106 just to leave with your pets will slow this wayyyyy down. Governor Scott and EMA have a tough call to make quick.
i think they go tropical storm designation upper keys and avoid the evacuation..modeling just doesn't support it anything more and thats a good thing..its a real mission to evacuate and takes two days to accomplish the goalLa Sirena wrote:jlauderdal wrote:they want one more run of the gfs...there is a huge difference in terms of tropical vs hurricane in terms of evacs for keys and into miami...i suspect tropical storm watches/warnings upper keys all they to at least deerfield beach..they are cutting it close but they hoist hurricane watches/warnings the monetary expense skyrockets..lets see how the handle it
I told my husband last night that they would have to evacuate the Keys today if that was going to happen. And the mandatory checkpoint at MM 106 just to leave with your pets will slow this wayyyyy down. Governor Scott and EMA have a tough call to make quick.
Kazmit_ wrote:Close to landfall now...
the poster said if it was going to happen they would need to start today and that is absolutely correct...there is am andatory animal checkpoint in place not related to the hurricanetolakram wrote:La Sirena wrote:jlauderdal wrote:they want one more run of the gfs...there is a huge difference in terms of tropical vs hurricane in terms of evacs for keys and into miami...i suspect tropical storm watches/warnings upper keys all they to at least deerfield beach..they are cutting it close but they hoist hurricane watches/warnings the monetary expense skyrockets..lets see how the handle it
I told my husband last night that they would have to evacuate the Keys today if that was going to happen. And the mandatory checkpoint at MM 106 just to leave with your pets will slow this wayyyyy down. Governor Scott and EMA have a tough call to make quick.
Do you have any official information concerning evacuations and checkpoints? I see no reason to evacuate the keys nor have heard of any plans. With information coming in from all corners I urge people to provide official sources or we will have to remove posts to prevent false rumors from spreading.
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