ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Alyono
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 6961
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 3:52 pm
Location: Texas Coast

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7781 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:06 am

0 likes   

AutoPenalti
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4030
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7782 Postby AutoPenalti » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:06 am

stephen23 wrote:Last 4 passes shows a heading of 317.5 degrees

Isn't that beeline towards Broward??
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.


Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)

TCVN
is a weighted averaged

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2081
Age: 48
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7783 Postby Blinhart » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:06 am

If I just saw correctly on TWC, they are expecting 15 to 25 foot waves into Palm Beach and surrounding areas. That will cause major damage.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

WGV
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 9
Joined: Tue Oct 04, 2016 10:30 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7784 Postby WGV » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:08 am

marionstorm wrote:
WGV wrote:I am sooo not religious but this is freaky. Hurricane Matthew may make landfall on 10-7-16. Matthew, chapter 10, verse 7 says:

7 As you go, proclaim this message: ‘The kingdom of heaven has come near.’

:eek:


Look up Chapter 7 Verse 10 as that is how the Europeans do their dates and the Euro is the better forecast model.


:cheesy: :cheesy: :cheesy:
1 likes   

User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7785 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:09 am

Not the sort of thing one would wish to see in the same frame as Florida, for sure
Image
Last edited by EquusStorm on Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
1 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

User avatar
Bocadude85
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2991
Age: 38
Joined: Mon Apr 18, 2005 2:20 pm
Location: Honolulu,Hi

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7786 Postby Bocadude85 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:11 am

Winds have definitely picked up here tonight in the extreme NE part of Broward County. We are about a mile from the beach and you can tell a storm is approaching just by the feel in the air.
1 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9621
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7787 Postby Steve » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:11 am

WGV wrote:
marionstorm wrote:
WGV wrote:I am sooo not religious but this is freaky. Hurricane Matthew may make landfall on 10-7-16. Matthew, chapter 10, verse 7 says:

7 As you go, proclaim this message: ‘The kingdom of heaven has come near.’

:eek:


Look up Chapter 7 Verse 10 as that is how the Europeans do their dates and the Euro is the better forecast model.


:cheesy: :cheesy: :cheesy:


Kind of goes hand in hand. Lots of people will be prayin' if not outright pleading over the next few days. Best.
1 likes   

stephen23
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 341
Joined: Sat Aug 04, 2012 10:57 pm
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7788 Postby stephen23 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:12 am

AutoPenalti wrote:
stephen23 wrote:Last 4 passes shows a heading of 317.5 degrees

Isn't that beeline towards Broward??

If it stayed on that exact track that would be Harbor Island. Few miles north of Jupiter
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7789 Postby meriland23 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:12 am

Does anyone know the current recon status?
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Johnny77
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 17
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2016 8:59 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7790 Postby Johnny77 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:12 am

Current Gusts:

West Palm Beach 25 mph ENE
Miami 18 mph NNE
1 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5277
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7791 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:12 am

Pressure in the 940's would not surprise me at all by morning. I hope Floridians took this seriously (and it appears most have,) it's going to be a rough couple of days. Best of luck to all in path.
0 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10152
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7792 Postby Blown Away » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:13 am

Image
Matt's eye starting to pop out again... Sure does look like it has more of a westerly component than earlier in the evening...
0 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05... EYE COMING MY WAY IN 2024…
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6059
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7793 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:14 am

meriland23 wrote:Does anyone know the current recon status?

Recon looks to be heading home. Another plane is getting ready to depart though.
0 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

MaineWeatherNut
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 225
Joined: Sun Sep 01, 2013 5:06 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7794 Postby MaineWeatherNut » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:15 am

1900hurricane wrote:
meriland23 wrote:Does anyone know the current recon status?

Recon looks to be heading home. Another plane is getting ready to depart though.


It's already in the air and on it's way.
0 likes   
The content of this post does NOT constitute official forecast and should not be used as such. They are the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or Storm2K. For official information, please refer to the local meteorological centers of respective areas.

User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7795 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:17 am

We've seen the eye intermittently multiple times today before it kind of faded into the overcast, but given the pressure falls and IR signatures, I think this time it might be finally clearing out for good. Might stay up late just to see the satellite trends, or perhaps even until the next recon arrives. Much caffeine to consume, I suppose.
1 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7796 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:17 am

Easily T7.0 once the eye clears out. Likely history in the making for Florida (already made in Haiti, unfortunately)

Image
1 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7797 Postby O Town » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:18 am

EquusStorm wrote:Not the sort of thing one would wish to see in the same frame as Florida, for sure
Image


Agreed! Looking like he is ramping up, but at the same time looks very compact. Not a lot of banding atm. Hoping it stays this way. I'm afraid when I wake up tomorrow and check satellite imagery Matthew will have expanded quite a bit, and outflow improved....
0 likes   

#ORLANDOSTRONG

User avatar
meriland23
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1239
Age: 37
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7798 Postby meriland23 » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:20 am

man that is close to FL, if it does regain momentum, will it have enough time to significantly ramp up before it hits FL?
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

ronyan
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 791
Age: 39
Joined: Tue Sep 09, 2008 5:46 pm
Location: Lake Jackson, TX

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7799 Postby ronyan » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:21 am

107 sustained at Kemps Bay, going to get very serious there shortly.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Hurricane - Discussion

#7800 Postby Sanibel » Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:26 am

Might be a hair left. I'm not sure.

Pressure drops could be rapid intensification. Might be them finally finding the center. Structure doesn't bode against RI.

Weather Channel future radar graphic shows GFDL-like landfall and overland route of eye up coast.

Ah, this has regained momentum...
Last edited by Sanibel on Thu Oct 06, 2016 12:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   


Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests