Texas Winter 2016-2017

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22790
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3061 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:31 pm

Its all relative of course! 75 in summer, spring, or fall we all boast how wonderfully refreshing it feels. 75 in winter and its a darned uncomfortable heat wave :cheesy:

But I agree on humidity, it can be a deal breaker
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
hriverajr
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 786
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:16 am

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3062 Postby hriverajr » Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:33 pm

Not sure if it is showing up in the models.. but a nice little northerly speed max and perhaps another shortwave developing just south of Alaska. I find it intriguing for some reason hehehe.
0 likes   
Anything I post is my personal opinion and should not used for any type of planning or lifesaving reasons. Please refer to National Weather Service forecasts.

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22790
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3063 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:39 pm

hriverajr wrote:Not sure if it is showing up in the models.. but a nice little northerly speed max and perhaps another shortwave developing just south of Alaska. I find it intriguing for some reason hehehe.


Hey now none of that! You're going to give us a false sense of hope with northerly kickers. We get enough heat from wxman57 with the teasers with a caveat

It's supposed to go out into the open waters of the NE Pacific is it not?
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38099
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3064 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:52 pm

Ntxw wrote:Its all relative of course! 75 in summer, spring, or fall we all boast how wonderfully refreshing it feels. 75 in winter and its a darned uncomfortable heat wave :cheesy:

But I agree on humidity, it can be a deal breaker


I grew up in Alabama so the summers don't really bother me that much... if anything the drier air that's usually here is definitely a different kind of air(I wouldn't say better but I do see it as slightly more bearable)... the positive to the humidity in Alabama though was most days you'd have a chance of a thunderstorm which were always awesome(of course it usually felt like a sauna afterwards). It's just boringly hot here for weeks on end usually. Now the last 2 summers(both that I've been here ironically) with the rain cooled air in August was a rare treat.

Like I said earlier, what gets me about here is the heat outside of the summer. :lol: That's why I get so annoyed by record highs in October/November/December... this is the cold people's time... :D
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22790
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3065 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jan 05, 2017 9:59 pm

Brent wrote:I grew up in Alabama so the summers don't really bother me that much... if anything the drier air that's usually here is definitely a different kind of air(I wouldn't say better but I do see it as slightly more bearable)... the positive to the humidity in Alabama though was most days you'd have a chance of a thunderstorm which were always awesome(of course it usually felt like a sauna afterwards). It's just boringly hot here for weeks on end usually. Now the last 2 summers(both that I've been here ironically) with the rain cooled air in August was a rare treat.

Like I said earlier, what gets me about here is the heat outside of the summer. :lol: That's why I get so annoyed by record highs in October/November/December... this is the cold people's time... :D


2013 and 2014 had unusually cool July's. 70s and low 80s for a couple days and rain. We haven't had a truly "hot" summer since 2012, with 100 days over 30 or more. It's been the extended summers into fall that's been bad.

All this summer talk is bait for the heat miser. Lets talk about Feb! :lol:
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1798
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3066 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:13 pm

From Christopher Nunley with Texhoma Weather and Firsthand Weather
Image
3 likes   
#neversummer

Yukon Cornelius
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1798
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Dec 20, 2012 9:23 pm
Location: Dean, TX/Westcliffe, CO

Re: RE: Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3067 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:14 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:
Yukon Cornelius wrote:Currently 28 with a windchill of 14. Looks like they have changed the forecast again to a 30% chance of snow tonight and a 60% transitioning to a 30% chance tomorrow.

Ken on KAUZ was talking about a southern shift and Wichita Falls potentially getting a little more than originally thought. Let's hope this is a trend Yukon!

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G935A using Tapatalk

Wouldn't that be great!
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
hriverajr
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 786
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 12:16 am

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3068 Postby hriverajr » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:30 pm

Ntxw wrote:
hriverajr wrote:Not sure if it is showing up in the models.. but a nice little northerly speed max and perhaps another shortwave developing just south of Alaska. I find it intriguing for some reason hehehe.


Hey now none of that! You're going to give us a false sense of hope with northerly kickers. We get enough heat from wxman57 with the teasers with a caveat

It's supposed to go out into the open waters of the NE Pacific is it not?


lol not sure.. I use simuawips.. ever heard of it? I have not looked at the models much today... I just noticed it.
0 likes   
Anything I post is my personal opinion and should not used for any type of planning or lifesaving reasons. Please refer to National Weather Service forecasts.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3069 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:31 pm

21z SREF seems to be picking up on a nice trend. I like to use a blend of DFW and PRX for MBY. The trend at DFW and the 21z PRX plume are encouraging:

Image

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
TheAustinMan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1047
Age: 25
Joined: Mon Jul 08, 2013 4:26 pm
Location: United States
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3070 Postby TheAustinMan » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:32 pm

Let's give it up for the freezing drizzle capital of the world! NAM 4km depiction tomorrow morning:

Image
1 likes   
ImageImageImage
Treat my opinions with a grain of salt. For official information see your local weather service.

User avatar
STX Expat
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 36
Joined: Wed Dec 24, 2014 9:49 pm
Location: Sherman, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3071 Postby STX Expat » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:37 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:From Christopher Nunley with Texhoma Weather and Firsthand Weather
http://i66.tinypic.com/dpz1va.jpg


I'd like to see that dig 100 miles south - -removed- as the satellite doesn't appear to bear that out.

I grew up in San Antonio and lived in Houston until 7/2013 so I was spoiled my first couple of winters here. At least I saw flakes last winter...
0 likes   
The opinions expressed in this post are NOT forecasts. I am an amatuer enthusiast - NOT a professional meteorologist.

User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3072 Postby Portastorm » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:39 pm

TheAustinMan wrote:Let's give it up for the freezing drizzle capital of the world! NAM 4km depiction tomorrow morning:

http://i.imgur.com/zusm9e8.png


Nobody knows freezing drizzle like we do here in the ATX. So the big question is ... will it happen?! Will the lower levels of the airmass be too dry or not. Temps will likely be cold enough for surface freezing.
0 likes   
Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3073 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:45 pm

Yukon Cornelius wrote:From Christopher Nunley with Texhoma Weather and Firsthand Weather
http://i66.tinypic.com/dpz1va.jpg


Looks pretty close to what FWD put out. I would move the Trace to 0.50" line down b/w McKinney and Dallas but I'm not on the line for the forecast!

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3074 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 05, 2017 10:50 pm

Not seeing any big changes at this point

Image

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3075 Postby bubba hotep » Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:01 pm

HRRR is now getting into range

Image
1 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3076 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:11 pm

Brent wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:
Brent wrote:
Yep March 4-5, 2015... best snowstorm I had seen in years.

I haven't even personally seen flakes since..

What kind of cheese would you like with that whine? :cheesy: We haven't seen any accumulation in Houston since 2004 and that was actually mostly to the South of the metro area. Might get a sleet pellet or two out of this one, but I doubt it.


I know I shouldn't complain but it's just frustrating to keep living in areas where getting snow is like pulling teeth lol
LOL!! I hear you!! Watertown, NY beckons!! :lol:
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8245
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3077 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:13 pm

Drizzle here is picking up in The Woodlands area.
0 likes   

User avatar
CentralTxAggie
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 63
Joined: Fri Feb 07, 2014 11:03 am
Location: TX

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3078 Postby CentralTxAggie » Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:29 pm

Portastorm wrote:
TheAustinMan wrote:Let's give it up for the freezing drizzle capital of the world! NAM 4km depiction tomorrow morning:

http://i.imgur.com/zusm9e8.png


Nobody knows freezing drizzle like we do here in the ATX. So the big question is ... will it happen?! Will the lower levels of the airmass be too dry or not. Temps will likely be cold enough for surface freezing.

welp...should this happen, what general time frame are we talking here?
0 likes   
No forecasts from this lurker, but I will tell you what is going on outside my window. :)

User avatar
Texas Snow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 784
Joined: Mon Oct 19, 2015 12:06 pm
Location: N. Dallas & Cedar Creek Lake

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3079 Postby Texas Snow » Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:29 pm

bubba hotep wrote:HRRR is now getting into range

http://weather.graphics/hrrr/2017010602 ... dallas.gif


I am just getting home on a night I planned to be following this all evening. This is the first positive thing tonight I have seen so far to at least SEE some snow fall. Thanks for posting. I was going to jump into other HiRes models but I think I'll take this and go to sleep so I can wake up earlier and see if there is any new fun to be had. I like this one b/c it's right when the kids get out of school. Nothing worse than being in school while it's snowing and getting out and it's all gone.
0 likes   
"Don't let wishcastin get in the way of your forecastin"

Image

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38099
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2016-2017

#3080 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 05, 2017 11:36 pm

:uarrow: :uarrow:

well any snow would beat last winter to me

:roflmao:
0 likes   
#neversummer


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests