ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3061 Postby NotSparta » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:13 am

Looking at radar, looks like no EWRC
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3062 Postby meriland29 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:22 am

I think I might stay up late for this one, coffee or tea anyone?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3063 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:25 am

Alyono wrote:looks like a double eyewall structure has appeared on radar. This may be a quick one though


thats pulling threads.. the core continues to produce deeper convection and become more established. you can also follow a continuous band without a break feeding the eyewall. not quite there yet.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3064 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:25 am

Digital-TC-Chaser wrote:
ROCK wrote:EWRC going on? That means the expansion of the wind field after it's done...basically he is juicing now..awesome

You picked the track from the getgo well done. Nobody i think wants to see this any stronger
than it now.


Eh I am more into model recognition. The Euro spit out that anomalous run and I latched onto it alsa IKE in 2008...nothing special just recognizing the pattern and averaging the models runs..one day on my death bed I will let 2k know my secret..;)
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3065 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:30 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
Alyono wrote:looks like a double eyewall structure has appeared on radar. This may be a quick one though


thats pulling threads.. the core continues to produce deeper convection and become more established. you can also follow a continuous band without a break feeding the eyewall. not quite there yet.



My theory on why this doesn't "bomb" is it has been dealing with southwesterly midlevel shear. This same thing happened to an eastern pacific hurricane earlier this year, Ike 2008, Gustav 2008, Rita 2005 and Frances 2004. This causes the system to keep having EWRC's as it forces "drier air" into the core.

This could very well strengthen slowly to a major before landfall of course...Ike couldn't quite do it after Cuba landfall.

The midlevel shear map on cimss also shown this earlier.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3066 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:35 am

overall inner structure continues to improve and deepen as well as satellite.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3067 Postby otowntiger » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:36 am

Aric Dunn wrote:ohh boy.. radar showing some not so good signs the last 30 mins..

Please elaborate
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3068 Postby bahamaswx » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:36 am

Aric Dunn wrote:overall inner structure continues to improve and deepen as well as satellite.


Yep. IR shows a rapidly warming eye. Almost completely clear.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3069 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:38 am

Um hold the phone there bub..Rita turned north and swallowed a load of dry air and killed her, Ike never recovered from Cuba had had a double wind maximum until it got close to Galveston and started to strengthening...let's do our homework ;)
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3070 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:38 am

bahamaswx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:overall inner structure continues to improve and deepen as well as satellite.


Yep. IR shows a rapidly warming eye. Almost completely clear.


And that eyewall on radar is looking nasty. Some high reflectivity showing up in there now.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3071 Postby BRweather » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:40 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
bahamaswx wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:overall inner structure continues to improve and deepen as well as satellite.


Yep. IR shows a rapidly warming eye. Almost completely clear.


And that eyewall on radar is looking nasty. Some high reflectivity showing up in there now.


Are y'all just using NHC radar or is there better? I would prefer better. lol
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3072 Postby South Texas Storms » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:41 am

BRweather wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:
bahamaswx wrote:
Yep. IR shows a rapidly warming eye. Almost completely clear.


And that eyewall on radar is looking nasty. Some high reflectivity showing up in there now.


Are y'all just using NHC radar or is there better? I would prefer better. lol


Nah I'm using Gibson ridge radar. You gotta pay for it, but it's the best radar out there. http://www.grlevelx.com/

Wunderground and NWS have good (free) radars too though.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3073 Postby BRweather » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:43 am

South Texas Storms wrote:
BRweather wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:
And that eyewall on radar is looking nasty. Some high reflectivity showing up in there now.


Are y'all just using NHC radar or is there better? I would prefer better. lol


Nah I'm using Gibson ridge radar. You gotta pay for it, but it's the best radar out there. http://www.grlevelx.com/

Wunderground and NWS have good (free) radars too though.


I should of know it was Gibson. I will give Wunderground a shot
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3074 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:44 am

BRweather wrote:
South Texas Storms wrote:
bahamaswx wrote:
Yep. IR shows a rapidly warming eye. Almost completely clear.


And that eyewall on radar is looking nasty. Some high reflectivity showing up in there now.


Are y'all just using NHC radar or is there better? I would prefer better. lol


there are of course various public progrms that provide high level data. its not free though but also not expensive. GRLEVEL is your best bet.

there are also many websites that offer good quality product..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3075 Postby BRweather » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:49 am

The void to the southwest on radar?

Eyewall expanding? Will that fill back in?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3076 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:52 am

BRweather wrote:The void to the southwest on radar?

Eyewall expanding? Will that fill back in?


thats very normal. it will come and go depending convective bursts.. you see it less in a mature hurricane.


but on another side note.. radar showing the eyewall deepening drastically .. the ingredients are there..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3077 Postby lrak » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:54 am

Never pay for free weather information.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3078 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:54 am

That eyewall is becoming scary now.. evacuations are going to become very difficult tomorrow since it will be getting so close and getting stronger..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3079 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:55 am

lrak wrote:Never pay for free weather information.


implying what ?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#3080 Postby Bizzles » Fri Aug 25, 2017 1:59 am

meriland29 wrote:I think I might stay up late for this one, coffee or tea anyone?

Working 3rd shift til 7am. Front row seating! :lol:
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