ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
If I looked correctly, from here on (Air Force just took off) we will have recon for the next 33 hours with only a couple 45 minute gaps in between.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
BRweather wrote:If I looked correctly, from here on (Air Force just took off) we will have recon for the next 33 hours with only a couple 45 minute gaps in between.
That will be really nice. The more Recon the better!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

Last edited by lrak on Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:lrak wrote:Never pay for free weather information.
implying what ?
Im drunk I meant Storm2K and peo[le like you. = that have knowlege about upper atmosphere stuff
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Current satellite imagery.. eye is looking rather robust the last few frames..


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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Wow
This is really kicking in on radar now. By the time recon arrives, I'm guessing 115 mph and down to 960mb
This is really kicking in on radar now. By the time recon arrives, I'm guessing 115 mph and down to 960mb
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Sciencerocks wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:Alyono wrote:looks like a double eyewall structure has appeared on radar. This may be a quick one though
thats pulling threads.. the core continues to produce deeper convection and become more established. you can also follow a continuous band without a break feeding the eyewall. not quite there yet.
My theory on why this doesn't "bomb" is it has been dealing with southwesterly midlevel shear. This same thing happened to an eastern pacific hurricane earlier this year, Ike 2008, Gustav 2008, Rita 2005 and Frances 2004. This causes the system to keep having EWRC's as it forces "drier air" into the core.
This could very well strengthen slowly to a major before landfall of course...Ike couldn't quite do it after Cuba landfall.
The midlevel shear map on cimss also shown this earlier.
You are one of the few people that doesn't see this bombing. Those storms you name, either had things that working against it almost the whole time, or over performed what the models were showing. A couple of them weakened right before landfall, but all of them if you lived through them were not small weak systems. Ike and Gustav were horrible, and if it wouldn't of been for Katrina, Rita would of been talked about for years afterwards. So I don't even want Harvey to be compared to any of those systems.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
lrak wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:lrak wrote:Never pay for free weather information.
implying what ?
Im drunk I meant Storm2K and peo[le like you. = that have knowlege about upper atmosphere stuff
Did you evacuate?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:BRweather wrote:The void to the southwest on radar?
Eyewall expanding? Will that fill back in?
thats very normal. it will come and go depending convective bursts.. you see it less in a mature hurricane.
but on another side note.. radar showing the eyewall deepening drastically .. the ingredients are there..
That could make me remember Hurricane Bret of 1999. Though i'm not born yet when Bret '99 occured, Bret '99 did a RI located close to Harvey of now. Harvey might become just as intense as Bret '99 or even higher, but let's see.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Ill be in and out though the night. If I type something wrong it's the late night blues.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
BRweather wrote:Wow
This is really kicking in on radar now. By the time recon arrives, I'm guessing 115 mph and down to 960mb
I think that is minimum, could be by the 4am update it could be 130 MPH and pressure around 954.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
BRweather wrote:Wow
This is really kicking in on radar now. By the time recon arrives, I'm guessing 115 mph and down to 960mb
yes not looking good.. quite likely we will have a major hurricane shortly..
for now i take a brief nap .. alarm is set for recon arrival..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Harvey's appearance in the latest radar and satellite imagery continues to improve. I'm thinking we should have a major hurricane here shortly.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Dang
Big upper-level mission today. 86 drops!
Big upper-level mission today. 86 drops!
Code: Select all
A. THE GLOBAL HAWK (NA872) PLANS A 24 HR FLIGHT OVER
HARVEY TOMORROW. TAKEOFF TIME SCHEDULED FOR 25/1400Z.
ALTITUDE 55,000 TO 6O,000 FT. ANTICIPATING 86 DROPS.
TIME ON STATION 25/1830Z.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
South Texas Storms wrote:Harvey's appearance in the latest radar and satellite imagery continues to improve. I'm thinking we should have a major hurricane here shortly.
What is the mood in Houston? Locals seem concerned?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Blinhart wrote:BRweather wrote:Wow
This is really kicking in on radar now. By the time recon arrives, I'm guessing 115 mph and down to 960mb
I think that is minimum, could be by the 4am update it could be 130 MPH and pressure around 954.
I don't think the plane will be back until around the 8am, so in all likelihood they won't go higher than 110 before that--they usually hesitate just below the next category if the plane is on the way.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
Hammy wrote:Blinhart wrote:BRweather wrote:Wow
This is really kicking in on radar now. By the time recon arrives, I'm guessing 115 mph and down to 960mb
I think that is minimum, could be by the 4am update it could be 130 MPH and pressure around 954.
I don't think the plane will be back until around the 8am, so in all likelihood they won't go higher than 110 before that--they usually hesitate just below the next category if the plane is on the way.
Didn't someone say the plane just took off? Shouldn't take 5 hours to get to the storm should it?
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