ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[NDG]

The eye is indeed clearing out nicely.

[Michele B]

The last few frames of Harvey is something you'd see in your textbooks

YES! THIS is the way storms SHOULD look!

And to think, I was just complaining the other day about them NOT having "classic looks"!!

[TeamPlayersBlue]

The winds have to catch up to the pressure, ill expect wind bumps in the next few hours. Not good.

[NDG]

How much longer do we have until landfall? If Harvey hits land in the middle of the ERC, will the effects be lessened? Or has the damage already been done, when the wind field expanded?

A good 16 hrs, according to the GFS.

Closer to 20 hrs according to the Euro.

[ROCK]

#3406 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 25, 2017 10:15 am

sure looks cat 3 ish with that small eye...just hope it gets on the coast before backing out...


Sure hope you are well prepared buddy and I'll be watching for your post to see what is needed in the aftermath. Stay safe bro.

thanks TG..all good here. Me and you been through this rodeo before....

[txwatcher91]

Based on radar, I'd say the outer eye is contracting now. Hopefully recon will confirm soon.

[Nederlander]

How much longer do we have until landfall? If Harvey hits land in the middle of the ERC, will the effects be lessened? Or has the damage already been done, when the wind field expanded?

Landfall expected late tonight or early tomorrow. By the looks of things, the ERC will be completed before then. Radar and satellite show that the inner eyewall is degrading rapidly and the outer eyewall is beginning to take over which is why we are beginning to see the eye clear out and become more visible.

[cycloneye]

[NDG]

Pressure at least has not dropped since the previous pass.

[Pearl River]

I know I had my differences with some people on here in the past regarding Katrina, but I want y'all to know you're in my thoughts and have my prayers.

[galvestontx]

946

[CycloneGuru]

Anyone seeing the small storm about to be thrown into Galveston/Houston? It looks like a whole seperate system or am seeing something else?

[Ntxw]

From the looks on satellite, this is probably a major now. little doubt will make a run at Cat 4 before landfall

If you were without recon, in other basins raw T6's is pretty scary

[Javlin]

HIgh end cat 2, cat 3, cat 4 it doesn't matter. It's going to be destruction along the mid and lower Texas coast.

One thing I see a lot of people missing. These usually pass over and move on in a day or so. This one looks like it might sit and spin and grind and move back over some areas in a fairly limited area of movement for a couple of days before it moves on. It's going to be like being caught in a blender or meat grinder for an extended period.

Out of the Hurricanes I have been through from Camille to Katrina with Georges being a nighttime storm was by far the scariest the house literally shook from either tornadoes or some downdrafts of exceptional speeds.The only bright spot of that storm was when we got caught in the eye and I was so relieved the storm stalled and died.it was not good for those on the fringe it beat them.The people in TX are not going to be that fortunate with Harvey moving at 10mph it's going to meander about and is stronger than Georges.I sent my family out for Katrina with paperwork to Destin to stay w/family and she handle the insurance from there.The dog and I stayed behind had generator,50gallons of fuel and food(36ft elevation) 3 weeks no water or power.Be ready for that experience if you stay behind by all means get the rest of the family out it was one of the toughest experiences I had to go through but it also teaches you .Good luck people God Bless.

[artist]

Could remain a hurricane for 2 days after landfall, according to the weather channel

[Aric Dunn]

yeah that outer eyewal is quite a bit stronger per recon. wont be too much longer until the inner fades away.

[forecasterjack]

Could remain a hurricane for 2 days after landfall, according to the weather channel

Highest the pressure gets on ECMWF 0Z before returning to water is 992mb... still a strong TS. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/te ... 1800z.html

[Blown Away]

Cloud tops warming a bit?

[cycloneye]

A good wobble.

[ROCK]

um that's a huge wobble...recon fixed....NNW brings it closer to more population