ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3901 Postby RL3AO » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:06 pm

The major drought will end tonight/tomorrow. Now we can focus on the real impact of Harvey which is water. Damaging surge and catastrophic (even Biblical) flooding from rainfall will be how Harvey is remembered.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3902 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:06 pm

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3903 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:06 pm

VDM also indicates EWRC has been completed, with a giant, circular eye now in place. This could go all the way to Category 4.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3904 Postby Exalt » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:07 pm

Image

Eyewall is getting more and more intense by the minute, that slot caused by structural changes is getting mixed out.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3905 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:09 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:VDM also indicates EWRC has been completed, with a giant, circular eye now in place. This could go all the way to Category 4.


Just need to get 10 more knots and we will have a Cat 4.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3906 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:10 pm

Exalt wrote:Image

Eyewall is getting more and more intense by the minute, that slot caused by structural changes is getting mixed out.

Indeed. This is very likely to be a strengthening storm through landfall, and it's core may hold together fairly well for the first 24 hours or so. We shall see. JMO

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3907 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:10 pm

God bless the people on the Texas Coast who are there to ride out the hurricane, this will be a historic hurricane, and it will not be quick to leave either!
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3908 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:10 pm

To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3909 Postby ronyan » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:12 pm

I think winds not responding earlier was because of the mixed structure during EWRC. This may bump up another 5-10 mph just based on consolidation of the new eye wall IMO.
Last edited by ronyan on Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3910 Postby Hammy » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:13 pm

Kingarabian wrote:To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.


Isn't the pressure already there? 943mb on the last update.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3911 Postby Langinbang187 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:13 pm

Kingarabian wrote:To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.


Yea, I wouldn't bet on a category 4. Winds are definitely taking their time making their way down to the surface. Might see another 5 MPH bump though.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3912 Postby benjammin » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:14 pm

On another board someone posted this: Recon recommending upgrade to 131 mph at 5pm per Corpus Christi met on live stream for Kiii News. Take it for what it's worth.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3913 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:15 pm

Langinbang187 wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.


Yea, I wouldn't bet on a category 4. Winds are definitely taking their time making their way down to the surface. Might see another 5 MPH bump though.


We only need 11 MPH to be Cat 4, so that isn't that far of a stretch.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3914 Postby jdjaguar » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:15 pm

Kingarabian wrote:To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.

Harry already has CAT 4 pressure readings (albeit right on the edge)
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3915 Postby Hurrilurker » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:15 pm

Something's wrong with the NOAA sat floater page, I get " [an error occurred while processing this directive]"

Does anyone have the direct link to the Harvey floater? Thanks!


EDIT: Never mind, it's back up. Just too much traffic I guess.
Last edited by Hurrilurker on Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3916 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:15 pm

Hammy wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.


Isn't the pressure already there? 943mb on the last update.


In the EPac it's usually in the sub 940s, not sure if its different for the Atlantic.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3917 Postby Airboy » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:15 pm

Did the NOA plan miss the center? Looks like the center jump a bit north?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3918 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:16 pm

Increasing number of tornado warnings up and down the coast as well.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3919 Postby artist » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:16 pm

Hammy wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:To get a cat 4, the winds have to respond quicker than they currently are. But we may get a cat.4-esque pressure reading before landfall.


Isn't the pressure already there? 943mb on the last update.

Yep 920-944 cat 4
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 2 PM CDT Update: Upgraded to cat 3 120 mph

#3920 Postby MrStormX » Fri Aug 25, 2017 2:17 pm

benjammin wrote:On another board someone posted this: Recon recommending upgrade to 131 mph at 5pm per Corpus Christi met on live stream for Kiii News. Take it for what it's worth.


Lots can change between now and 5pm, so we probably should take that with a grain of salt.
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