ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Harvey is now basically a repeat of Celia, but a little stronger
1 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
About to be the strongest US landfalling hurricane since Charley of 2004.
5 likes
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- storm_in_a_teacup
- Category 1
- Posts: 432
- Age: 32
- Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2017 5:01 pm
- Location: Huntsville, Alabama (originally from Houston)
- Contact:
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
GCANE wrote:..6 PM CDT POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE... ...HARVEY BECOMES A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING ONTO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...
Wait, WHAT?!
Guess my comparisons to 1900 and Carla weren't entirely out of whack...

1 likes
I know I can't straddle the atmosphere...just a tiny storm in your teacup, girl.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Twc just said it is acat 4 now
0 likes
- Bolebuns
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 55
- Age: 64
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 11:56 am
- Location: Waco,Texas
- Contact:
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Kazmit wrote:About to be the strongest US landfalling hurricane since Charley of 2004.
Wasn't Katrina in 2005?
0 likes
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
SouthFLTropics wrote:What is the last Category 4 to strike the US? Would it be Charley? God Bless everyone in SE Texas. This is an EpicHurricane and disaster.
Yes. 13 years ago.
2 likes
-
- Admin
- Posts: 20036
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
22:58z


8 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Chaser showing transformers exploding
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UkDPhTyXYH4
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UkDPhTyXYH4
0 likes
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
LearnedHat wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:xironman wrote:
You would think it would start to weaken from the land interaction pretty soon even if it is not rushing to landfall.
as long as the eyewall is offsure it can maintain.. upwelling is the only thing that would weaken it right now.
It is in 120 feet of water ---- will that have a noticeable upwelling effect?
The water temp at 120 feet is pretty much uniform from surface to 120 ft. So no upwelling of cooler temps there
1 likes
TW in Texas Hill Country 

Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Bolebuns wrote:Kazmit wrote:About to be the strongest US landfalling hurricane since Charley of 2004.
Wasn't Katrina in 2005?
Katrina made landfall as a Cat 3 with 125mph
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
000
URNT12 KNHC 252229
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092017
A. 25/22:03:10Z
B. 27 deg 36 min N
096 deg 40 min W
C. 700 mb 2599 m
D. 98 kt
E. 040 deg 9 nm
F. 116 deg 118 kt
G. 042 deg 10 nm
H. 941 mb
I. 13 C / 3046 m
J. 18 C / 3043 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C18
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF307 1909A HARVEY OB 25
MAX FL WIND 118 KT 038 / 12 NM 21:59:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 225 / 2 KT
MAX FL TEMP 18 C 235 / 6 NM FROM FL CNTR
;
URNT12 KNHC 252229
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092017
A. 25/22:03:10Z
B. 27 deg 36 min N
096 deg 40 min W
C. 700 mb 2599 m
D. 98 kt
E. 040 deg 9 nm
F. 116 deg 118 kt
G. 042 deg 10 nm
H. 941 mb
I. 13 C / 3046 m
J. 18 C / 3043 m
K. 13 C / NA
L. CLOSED
M. C18
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF307 1909A HARVEY OB 25
MAX FL WIND 118 KT 038 / 12 NM 21:59:30Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 225 / 2 KT
MAX FL TEMP 18 C 235 / 6 NM FROM FL CNTR
;
0 likes
-
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34091
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Looks like Port Aransas is ground zero. Eye center is 24 miles from there - eyewall about 10 miles.
1 likes
- SouthFLTropics
- Category 5
- Posts: 4239
- Age: 50
- Joined: Thu Aug 14, 2003 8:04 am
- Location: Port St. Lucie, Florida
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Amazing visible satellite images with the sun setting showing the stadium eye and seeing some massive hot towers firing off on the SW eyewall.
2 likes
Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24
-
- Admin
- Posts: 20036
- Age: 62
- Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
- Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion
bohaiboy wrote:The water temp at 120 feet is pretty much uniform from surface to 120 ft. So no upwelling of cooler temps there
No upwelling but it cools the water temps. I'm really not sure how long it would have to be stationary to make a difference.
0 likes
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Had to pause for a minute when I realized that we are witnessing history, I have never seen a hurricane approach the U.S. coast with a presentation like this, and I hope that I will never see one again.
1 likes
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Man, bet Josh (iCyclone) couldn't fathom being ground zero for a cat 4 when he went down there to chase a TD/TS! He's right in the crosshairs of a monster. Eyewall presentation is spectacular. Can't believe how much it's strengthened even as it nears the coast.
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4060
- Age: 29
- Joined: Mon Aug 17, 2015 4:16 pm
- Location: Ft. Lauderdale, Florida
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
I think Carla might be closer.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
TCVN is a weighted averaged
- Bolebuns
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 55
- Age: 64
- Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 11:56 am
- Location: Waco,Texas
- Contact:
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Ntxw wrote:Bolebuns wrote:Kazmit wrote:About to be the strongest US landfalling hurricane since Charley of 2004.
Wasn't Katrina in 2005?
Katrina made landfall as a Cat 3 with 125mph
Ah...true...I forgot it weakened. Wow...imagine if it hadn't!
1 likes
- vortex100
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 75
- Joined: Wed Aug 13, 2003 10:10 am
- Location: Fayetteville, GA
- Contact:
Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion: 6 PM CDT update: Category 4 at 130 mph
Ring of lightning now appearing in the eyewall indicating the rapid intensification of the storm center as it approaches land.
5 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests