ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5101 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:33 pm

wow... recon flew over the intercoastal... sfmr 113 kt...

041330 2810N 09639W 6968 02952 9824 +114 +114 158093 096 081 010 00
041400 2810N 09641W 6965 02932 9785 +113 //// 156101 103 090 007 01
041430 2809N 09643W 6966 02904 9762 +115 //// 155103 104 106 013 01
041500 2809N 09644W 6967 02876 //// +099 //// 157109 111 106 014 05
041530 2808N 09646W 6963 02844 9651 +119 +114 159115 119 /// /// 05
041600 2808N 09648W 6965 02802 //// +112 //// 162118 120 /// /// 05
041630 2807N 09649W 6964 02758 9586 +110 //// 166112 116 113 003 01
041700 2807N 09651W 6969 02713 9511 +129 //// 169089 106 106 006 05
041730 2806N 09653W 6966 02681 9459 +156 +127 162067 081 /// /// 03
041800 2806N 09654W 6966 02658 9427 +162 +132 159043 059 059 000 03
041830 2805N 09656W 6967 02644 9408 +167 +132 159026 037 036 001 00
041900 2805N 09658W 6967 02637 9399 +169 +131 162010 020 017 001 00
041930 2804N 09700W 6967 02639 9405 +166 +134 358004 008 011 000 03
042000 2803N 09702W 6966 02646 9413 +165 +133 312016 020 /// /// 03
042030 2801N 09702W 6967 02652 9419 +168 +131 288034 047 039 001 03
042100 2759N 09702W 6967 02676 9445 +166 +132 279069 079 080 002 00
042130 2757N 09702W 6975 02706 9503 +151 +127 276097 103 098 001 00
042200 2756N 09703W 6974 02747 9562 +133 +126 273099 103 098 002 00
042230 2754N 09703W 6961 02809 9630 +124 +124 276095 098 095 013 00
042300 2753N 09703W 6967 02841 9670 +122 +122 278096 098 092 007 00
042330 2751N 09703W 6967 02875 9704 +123 +118 279093 095 100 002 03
042400 2750N 09703W 6967 02906 9725 +132 +102 277087 090 /// /// 03
042430 2748N 09704W 6970 02930 9765 +124 +114 278081 084 080 002 00
042500 2746N 09704W 6967 02953 9795 +119 +119 277075 078 071 008 00
042530 2745N 09704W 6969 02970 9827 +118 +118 279073 075 068 009 00
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5102 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:35 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:wow... recon flew over the intercoastal... sfmr 113 kt...

041330 2810N 09639W 6968 02952 9824 +114 +114 158093 096 081 010 00
041400 2810N 09641W 6965 02932 9785 +113 //// 156101 103 090 007 01
041430 2809N 09643W 6966 02904 9762 +115 //// 155103 104 106 013 01
041500 2809N 09644W 6967 02876 //// +099 //// 157109 111 106 014 05
041530 2808N 09646W 6963 02844 9651 +119 +114 159115 119 /// /// 05
041600 2808N 09648W 6965 02802 //// +112 //// 162118 120 /// /// 05
041630 2807N 09649W 6964 02758 9586 +110 //// 166112 116 113 003 01
041700 2807N 09651W 6969 02713 9511 +129 //// 169089 106 106 006 05
041730 2806N 09653W 6966 02681 9459 +156 +127 162067 081 /// /// 03
041800 2806N 09654W 6966 02658 9427 +162 +132 159043 059 059 000 03
041830 2805N 09656W 6967 02644 9408 +167 +132 159026 037 036 001 00
041900 2805N 09658W 6967 02637 9399 +169 +131 162010 020 017 001 00
041930 2804N 09700W 6967 02639 9405 +166 +134 358004 008 011 000 03
042000 2803N 09702W 6966 02646 9413 +165 +133 312016 020 /// /// 03
042030 2801N 09702W 6967 02652 9419 +168 +131 288034 047 039 001 03
042100 2759N 09702W 6967 02676 9445 +166 +132 279069 079 080 002 00
042130 2757N 09702W 6975 02706 9503 +151 +127 276097 103 098 001 00
042200 2756N 09703W 6974 02747 9562 +133 +126 273099 103 098 002 00
042230 2754N 09703W 6961 02809 9630 +124 +124 276095 098 095 013 00
042300 2753N 09703W 6967 02841 9670 +122 +122 278096 098 092 007 00
042330 2751N 09703W 6967 02875 9704 +123 +118 279093 095 100 002 03
042400 2750N 09703W 6967 02906 9725 +132 +102 277087 090 /// /// 03
042430 2748N 09704W 6970 02930 9765 +124 +114 278081 084 080 002 00
042500 2746N 09704W 6967 02953 9795 +119 +119 277075 078 071 008 00
042530 2745N 09704W 6969 02970 9827 +118 +118 279073 075 068 009 00



Not only the 113 SFMR, but the 939.9 is actually very worrisome, thinking that this might of had some more pressure drops and keeping the same wind speed.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5103 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:35 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:wow... recon flew over the intercoastal... sfmr 113 kt...

041330 2810N 09639W 6968 02952 9824 +114 +114 158093 096 081 010 00
041400 2810N 09641W 6965 02932 9785 +113 //// 156101 103 090 007 01
041430 2809N 09643W 6966 02904 9762 +115 //// 155103 104 106 013 01
041500 2809N 09644W 6967 02876 //// +099 //// 157109 111 106 014 05
041530 2808N 09646W 6963 02844 9651 +119 +114 159115 119 /// /// 05
041600 2808N 09648W 6965 02802 //// +112 //// 162118 120 /// /// 05
041630 2807N 09649W 6964 02758 9586 +110 //// 166112 116 113 003 01
041700 2807N 09651W 6969 02713 9511 +129 //// 169089 106 106 006 05
041730 2806N 09653W 6966 02681 9459 +156 +127 162067 081 /// /// 03
041800 2806N 09654W 6966 02658 9427 +162 +132 159043 059 059 000 03
041830 2805N 09656W 6967 02644 9408 +167 +132 159026 037 036 001 00
041900 2805N 09658W 6967 02637 9399 +169 +131 162010 020 017 001 00
041930 2804N 09700W 6967 02639 9405 +166 +134 358004 008 011 000 03
042000 2803N 09702W 6966 02646 9413 +165 +133 312016 020 /// /// 03
042030 2801N 09702W 6967 02652 9419 +168 +131 288034 047 039 001 03
042100 2759N 09702W 6967 02676 9445 +166 +132 279069 079 080 002 00
042130 2757N 09702W 6975 02706 9503 +151 +127 276097 103 098 001 00
042200 2756N 09703W 6974 02747 9562 +133 +126 273099 103 098 002 00
042230 2754N 09703W 6961 02809 9630 +124 +124 276095 098 095 013 00
042300 2753N 09703W 6967 02841 9670 +122 +122 278096 098 092 007 00
042330 2751N 09703W 6967 02875 9704 +123 +118 279093 095 100 002 03
042400 2750N 09703W 6967 02906 9725 +132 +102 277087 090 /// /// 03
042430 2748N 09704W 6970 02930 9765 +124 +114 278081 084 080 002 00
042500 2746N 09704W 6967 02953 9795 +119 +119 277075 078 071 008 00
042530 2745N 09704W 6969 02970 9827 +118 +118 279073 075 068 009 00


SFMR may not be too reliable in the shoals and bays, although it can't be completely discounted it shouldn't be weighted too much as there is more uncertainty than usual.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5104 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:37 pm

Looking at the satellite that TWC was just showing looked like he might be doing a small loop over Rockport.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5105 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:37 pm

Watching the latest JeffP recording, talking about people needing help. Hopefully the backside will be a lot weaker.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5106 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:38 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:wow... recon flew over the intercoastal... sfmr 113 kt...

041330 2810N 09639W 6968 02952 9824 +114 +114 158093 096 081 010 00
041400 2810N 09641W 6965 02932 9785 +113 //// 156101 103 090 007 01
041430 2809N 09643W 6966 02904 9762 +115 //// 155103 104 106 013 01
041500 2809N 09644W 6967 02876 //// +099 //// 157109 111 106 014 05
041530 2808N 09646W 6963 02844 9651 +119 +114 159115 119 /// /// 05
041600 2808N 09648W 6965 02802 //// +112 //// 162118 120 /// /// 05
041630 2807N 09649W 6964 02758 9586 +110 //// 166112 116 113 003 01
041700 2807N 09651W 6969 02713 9511 +129 //// 169089 106 106 006 05
041730 2806N 09653W 6966 02681 9459 +156 +127 162067 081 /// /// 03
041800 2806N 09654W 6966 02658 9427 +162 +132 159043 059 059 000 03
041830 2805N 09656W 6967 02644 9408 +167 +132 159026 037 036 001 00
041900 2805N 09658W 6967 02637 9399 +169 +131 162010 020 017 001 00
041930 2804N 09700W 6967 02639 9405 +166 +134 358004 008 011 000 03
042000 2803N 09702W 6966 02646 9413 +165 +133 312016 020 /// /// 03
042030 2801N 09702W 6967 02652 9419 +168 +131 288034 047 039 001 03
042100 2759N 09702W 6967 02676 9445 +166 +132 279069 079 080 002 00
042130 2757N 09702W 6975 02706 9503 +151 +127 276097 103 098 001 00
042200 2756N 09703W 6974 02747 9562 +133 +126 273099 103 098 002 00
042230 2754N 09703W 6961 02809 9630 +124 +124 276095 098 095 013 00
042300 2753N 09703W 6967 02841 9670 +122 +122 278096 098 092 007 00
042330 2751N 09703W 6967 02875 9704 +123 +118 279093 095 100 002 03
042400 2750N 09703W 6967 02906 9725 +132 +102 277087 090 /// /// 03
042430 2748N 09704W 6970 02930 9765 +124 +114 278081 084 080 002 00
042500 2746N 09704W 6967 02953 9795 +119 +119 277075 078 071 008 00
042530 2745N 09704W 6969 02970 9827 +118 +118 279073 075 068 009 00


SFMR may not be too reliable in the shoals and bays, although it can't be completely discounted it shouldn't be weighted too much as there is more uncertainty than usual.


yeah,, the flight level are all up there still as well.. matches with radar as well.. has not weakened yet.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5107 Postby bamajammer4eva » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:38 pm

Radarscope of landfall

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5108 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:38 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:wow... recon flew over the intercoastal... sfmr 113 kt...

041330 2810N 09639W 6968 02952 9824 +114 +114 158093 096 081 010 00
041400 2810N 09641W 6965 02932 9785 +113 //// 156101 103 090 007 01
041430 2809N 09643W 6966 02904 9762 +115 //// 155103 104 106 013 01
041500 2809N 09644W 6967 02876 //// +099 //// 157109 111 106 014 05
041530 2808N 09646W 6963 02844 9651 +119 +114 159115 119 /// /// 05
041600 2808N 09648W 6965 02802 //// +112 //// 162118 120 /// /// 05
041630 2807N 09649W 6964 02758 9586 +110 //// 166112 116 113 003 01
041700 2807N 09651W 6969 02713 9511 +129 //// 169089 106 106 006 05
041730 2806N 09653W 6966 02681 9459 +156 +127 162067 081 /// /// 03
041800 2806N 09654W 6966 02658 9427 +162 +132 159043 059 059 000 03
041830 2805N 09656W 6967 02644 9408 +167 +132 159026 037 036 001 00
041900 2805N 09658W 6967 02637 9399 +169 +131 162010 020 017 001 00
041930 2804N 09700W 6967 02639 9405 +166 +134 358004 008 011 000 03
042000 2803N 09702W 6966 02646 9413 +165 +133 312016 020 /// /// 03
042030 2801N 09702W 6967 02652 9419 +168 +131 288034 047 039 001 03
042100 2759N 09702W 6967 02676 9445 +166 +132 279069 079 080 002 00
042130 2757N 09702W 6975 02706 9503 +151 +127 276097 103 098 001 00
042200 2756N 09703W 6974 02747 9562 +133 +126 273099 103 098 002 00
042230 2754N 09703W 6961 02809 9630 +124 +124 276095 098 095 013 00
042300 2753N 09703W 6967 02841 9670 +122 +122 278096 098 092 007 00
042330 2751N 09703W 6967 02875 9704 +123 +118 279093 095 100 002 03
042400 2750N 09703W 6967 02906 9725 +132 +102 277087 090 /// /// 03
042430 2748N 09704W 6970 02930 9765 +124 +114 278081 084 080 002 00
042500 2746N 09704W 6967 02953 9795 +119 +119 277075 078 071 008 00
042530 2745N 09704W 6969 02970 9827 +118 +118 279073 075 068 009 00


SFMR may not be too reliable in the shoals and bays, although it can't be completely discounted it shouldn't be weighted too much as there is more uncertainty than usual.


Sorry I have never heard that before unless they were flagged, and if I remember an 01 flag is not for SFMR.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5109 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:39 pm

tolakram wrote:Watching the latest JeffP recording, talking about people needing help. Hopefully the backside will be a lot weaker.


its not... pretty much the same. especially now that the direction of the storm has changed.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5110 Postby ktulu909 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:39 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:I'm worried about this guy, he's out driving around and out of the eye. May need a rescue.

https://www.facebook.com/wxchasing/vide ... =3&theater


Hes actually been doing that pretty much all evening.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5111 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:40 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Recon showing Harvey hasn't weakened at all since landfall. SFMR showing 113 knots.

They're over very shallow waters right now, and SFMR sometimes has issues there, but it lines up well still with the flight level winds from the recent passes. I'd lean towards this reading being legit.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5112 Postby txwatcher91 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:40 pm

Well the IR appearance is holding steady which is surprising. Not a good sign as it slowly drifts inland. I wonder if the reason the models keep this decently strong over land for days is due to all the water it drops and proximity to shore, the brown ocean effect?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5113 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:42 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
tolakram wrote:Watching the latest JeffP recording, talking about people needing help. Hopefully the backside will be a lot weaker.


its not... pretty much the same. especially now that the direction of the storm has changed.


And all that means everything that got weakened by those 130 MPH (150 MPH Gust) winds, will now have stress of winds from a totally different direction which will cause a lot more catastrophic damage, and if there are people that are already driving around in the eye that is a very bad thing.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5114 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:43 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5115 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:43 pm

Live again: https://www.periscope.tv/Jeff_Piotrowski/1zqJVRbdVkXJB?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5116 Postby tolakram » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:46 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5117 Postby sponger » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:47 pm



Crazy how many people he had on last stream. Now 19K and rising fast. 129K on eye stream.
Last edited by sponger on Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5118 Postby BlueWater36 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:50 pm

Does anyone know what app Jeff is running on his tablet to view the radar?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5119 Postby TexWx » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:50 pm

Don't like that North movement.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Hurricane - Discussion

#5120 Postby txwatcher91 » Fri Aug 25, 2017 11:52 pm

BlueWater36 wrote:Does anyone know what app Jeff is running on his tablet to view the radar?


Looks like RadarScope.
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