ATL: HARVEY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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meriland29
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6841 Postby meriland29 » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:49 pm

Yes, well, I mean within town, where the houses and businesses are. I was hearing that, unless a huge quick rain event were to happen, the flood levels would only decrease in houston from where they were starting yesterday.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6842 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:49 pm

looks like the Euro and ukmet might be correct.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6843 Postby PTPatrick » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:52 pm

18z nam hires still socks Houston in til Wednesday morning with peak period late tonight into tomorrow. Unfortunately if my math is right there are numbers over 2 feet bullseyed on Houston still. Hopefully that is an unlikely outlier

Latest euro seems to stop at 12-16 more for Houston areas tho.
Last edited by PTPatrick on Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6844 Postby stormreader » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:53 pm

tolakram wrote:This was re-tweeted by Jeff Blake:

 https://twitter.com/DavidBernardTV/status/902308349450092544




David Bernard ✔ @DavidBernardTV
Model trends are pointing to the possibility of very heavy rain overnight. @fox8nola #lawx #mswx #Harvey
7:14 PM - Aug 28, 2017

Sure hope those New Orleans pumps are back in working order.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6845 Postby Nimbus » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:53 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
HARRIS
COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
541 PM CDT MON AUG 28 2017

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE HARRIS
COUNTY FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT.

THIS IS A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL RESIDENTS IN THE FOLLOWING
AREAS OF INVERNESS FOREST SUBDIVISION. ALL STREETS NORTH OF
KINGSBRIDGE ROAD INCLUDING EAST AND WEST GREENBROOK DRIVE AND
KENCHESTER DRIVE. DUE TO EXTREMELY HIGH AND RISING LEVELS IN
CYPRESS CREEK THE INVERNESS FOREST LEVEE MAY OVERTOP OR BREACH.
THERE IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY OF ELECTRICAL OR MECHANICAL FAILURE AT
THE PUMP STATION. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO EVACUATE AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT THE HARRIS COUNTY
FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT AT 713 684 4000


Top of the levee is above the house rooftops in that area.

Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6846 Postby stormreader » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:55 pm

tolakram wrote:saved radar loop
Image

Like a parallel universe. This can't really be happening in this one.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6847 Postby Frank P » Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:56 pm

latest vis pix of Harvey.. very tiny pinhole center, hardly discernable, very vigorous circulation, and looks like convection trying to develop to the northwest and south west of the center...
Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6848 Postby sphelps8681 » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:00 pm

stormreader wrote:
tolakram wrote:saved radar loop
Image

Like a parallel universe. This can't really be happening in this one.


English please. What is going on?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6849 Postby stormreader » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:01 pm

Frank P wrote:latest vis pix of Harvey.. very tiny pinhole center, hardly discernable, very vigorous circulation, and looks like convection trying to develop to the northwest and south west of the center...
Image

Yes. This ex-major has a very large and well-defined circulation, having just entered the NE GOM. I suspect there is going to be some intensification to the level of strong tropical storm.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6850 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:01 pm

Frank P wrote:latest vis pix of Harvey.. very tiny pinhole center, hardly discernable, very vigorous circulation, and looks like convection trying to develop to the northwest and south west of the center...
[img]https://image.ibb.co/miO4Wk/hv_LI.jpg[img]


Frank where did all that dry air come from? Mexico?
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6851 Postby Frank P » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:03 pm

Here ya go.. that's a lot of dry air to deal with Mr. Harvey...
Image
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6852 Postby PTPatrick » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:04 pm

Looks like to me the echoes to the northwest dropped off suddenyl on that last radar. Hopefully that is a trend...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6853 Postby stormreader » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:06 pm

sphelps8681 wrote:
stormreader wrote:
tolakram wrote:saved radar loop
Image

Like a parallel universe. This can't really be happening in this one.


English please. What is going on?

Just saying it's unbelievable. There is no sign that this moisture coming in off the gulf is going to stop anytime soon. Water levels getting more and more dangerous in reservoirs and rivers. More water to contain. Pressure on dams and rising river levels will continue several days after storm.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6854 Postby Frank P » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:06 pm

Unless he can wrap that convection around the center again, that dry air should help keep him in check somewhat... but unfortunately not going to help the TX and LA coast... they will continue to get blasted with rain from Harvey
Last edited by Frank P on Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6855 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:07 pm

Looks like a giant arm, with the palm holding SE Texas and its ball of moisture.
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6856 Postby Frank P » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:08 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Looks like a giant arm, with the palm holding SE Texas and its ball of moisture.

Poor SE Texas just can't catch a break... feel for all those suffering... sad
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6857 Postby meriland29 » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:08 pm

stormreader wrote:
Frank P wrote:latest vis pix of Harvey.. very tiny pinhole center, hardly discernable, very vigorous circulation, and looks like convection trying to develop to the northwest and south west of the

Yes. This ex-major has a very large and well-defined circulation, having just entered the NE GOM. I suspect there is going to be some intensification to the level of strong tropical storm.



Correct, but I thought there was a massive amount of dry air and shear turning this into a wave..
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6858 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:09 pm

sphelps8681 wrote:
English please. What is going on?



The rain clouds from Harvey are stalled over Houston and raining out...Harvey continues to pump moisture from the Gulf Of Mexico over Houston and it is precipitating out in the form of constant rain...
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6859 Postby SunnyThoughts » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:12 pm

From Jeff Lindner earlie rFlow is likely to engage the N end Addicks spillway within the next 12 hours. This will be uncontrolled water flow into the areas of Twin Lakes, Lakes of Eldridge, Lakes of Eldridge North

Mandatory evac for much of Fort Bend levees…leave now
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Re: ATL: HARVEY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6860 Postby meriland29 » Mon Aug 28, 2017 7:12 pm

Does anyone have a rough estimate of the inches per hour into houston given this specific relentless band that is fed via gulf?
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