
Could Kate Become Cat #3?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Could Kate Become Cat #3?
Kate looking good on the latest visibles and heading for warmer waters. Maybe she'll get into the Majors 

0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145923
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Well definitly cat 2 is a given but cat 3 hummm a close call but if she gets more ideal conditions before the shear begins to affect her in 3 days because of the trough maybe.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- george_r_1961
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3171
- Age: 64
- Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 9:14 pm
- Location: Carbondale, Pennsylvania
- Steve Cosby
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 525
- Joined: Sat Jun 14, 2003 6:49 pm
- Location: Northwest Arkansas
JB Convinced
JetMaxx wrote:I won't be surprised a bit if Kate makes it to major hurricane status (115-120 mph). In fact, I believe she's more in the 110 mph range now...based on the excellent satellite signature.
Bastardi was convinced it was a Cat 3 this morning. He thinks it's the TPC making themselves look better by not upgrading.
0 likes
- AussieMark
- Category 5
- Posts: 5858
- Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
- Location: near Sydney, Australia
the NHC hasn't ruled out the possibility of Kate reaching Major Hurricane Status.
Extract from Kate #29 - Discussion
<B>KATE REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED...OVER WARM WATER...AND IN A LIGHT-SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THE FAVORABLE CONDITION
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR 36-48 HR. THUS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS
FOR STRENGTHENING DURING THAT TIME...AND THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE
THAT IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS
CONTINUE TO AGREE THAT KATE SHOULD ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WESTERLY
SHEAR LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER 48 HR.</B>
Extract from Kate #29 - Discussion
<B>KATE REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED...OVER WARM WATER...AND IN A LIGHT-SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT. LARGE-SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THE FAVORABLE CONDITION
SHOULD CONTINUE FOR 36-48 HR. THUS...THE INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS
FOR STRENGTHENING DURING THAT TIME...AND THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE
THAT IT COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE. THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS
CONTINUE TO AGREE THAT KATE SHOULD ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WESTERLY
SHEAR LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD...SO GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER 48 HR.</B>
0 likes
- Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
JetMaxx wrote:I won't be surprised a bit if Kate makes it to major hurricane status (115-120 mph). In fact, I believe she's more in the 110 mph range now...based on the excellent satellite signature.
No doubt the eye is very well defined and appears that Kate is beginning to fire up some strong convection on the southern side of the storm. Warm water isn't a problem, shear isn't a problem for 2 days. Is it going to be enough or will Kate have enough time to hit Cat 3. IMO, chances are about 40%.
SF
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: HurricaneFan, Ian2401, Stratton23, tolakram and 66 guests