ATL: IRMA - Models

[bamajammer4eva]

Why doesn't it look further south to me?? I see slower and a position a little ENE of the last 00z run?? Deeper trough too.

[Langinbang187]

Euro slightly N through 144

[AxaltaRacing24]

Look out!

[AxaltaRacing24]

Why doesn't it look further south to me?? I see slower and a position a little ENE of the last 00z run?? Deeper trough too.

You are comparing both 00z's. I have a separate tab open for the 12z comparison.

[Bocadude85]

Seems to me that the Euro and the GFS are slowly coming together, I'm thinking the 240 hour position is going to quite a bit NE of the 12Z

[bamajammer4eva]

Why doesn't it look further south to me?? I see slower and a position a little ENE of the last 00z run?? Deeper trough too.

[img]http://i.imgur.com/qyKP4K1.gif?1

You are comparing both 00z's. I have a separate tab open for the 12z comparison.

i do also but its really hard to compare when they are 12 hrs off on the valid times so I try to look at the previous 00 also.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Slight north shift

[Blown Away]

Euro might be caving to GFS???

[AxaltaRacing24]

Euro might be caving to GFS???

They're slowly caving towards each other. Euro north while the GFS races south.

[Bocadude85]

The trough isn't cutting of and retrograding SW like in the past few runs, probably a Carolina hit this run.

[AutoPenalti]

Euro a bit north from this afternoon, still don't see a recurve like the GFS is showing yet.

[HurricaneEric]

Euro might be caving to GFS???

I wouldn't go that far--yet. GFS has been trending more and more towards Euro, and now Euro is meeting it in the middle, so to say.

So Euro looks to trend (in this run at least) more south through day 5. After that, trending a bit north. Interesting run so far.

[AxaltaRacing24]

Euro might be caving to GFS???

I wouldn't go that far--yet. GFS has been trending more and more towards Euro, and now Euro is meeting it in the middle, so to say.

So Euro looks to trend (in this run at least) more south through day 5. After that, trending a bit north. Interesting run so far.

It's mainly due to the trough not getting cut off (yet)

[Digital-TC-Chaser]

Seen storms before in this region. I don't know why but the vortex can avoid land kinda
goes around it avoids a direct landfall. Hopes this is the case again with IRMA if the EC
pans out.

[AxaltaRacing24]

OTS?

[AutoPenalti]

It found an avenue.

[CourierPR]

At 192 doesn't it appear that the trough is retrograding? I don't think this goes OTS.

[bamajammer4eva]

At 192 doesn't it appear that the trough is retrograding? I don't think this goes OTS.

Yeah its not retrograding west its just lifting as is the high so wouldn't steering just be gone??

[shaneomac]

At 192 doesn't it appear that the trough is retrograding? I don't think this goes OTS.

Perhaps Maine hit again ? going to be interesting to watch unfold , figured the euro was to far south with the gom scenario . still long ways out for a consensus

[AutoPenalti]

At 192 doesn't it appear that the trough is retrograding? I don't think this goes OTS.

Yeah its not retrograding west its just lifting as is the high so wouldn't steering just be gone??

A major might be driven by the mean flow in this case right?