BYG Jacob wrote:Everything is shifting west right now, this is really not looking good.
Except EPS apparently, which is very important. It seems it shifted east.
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BYG Jacob wrote:Everything is shifting west right now, this is really not looking good.
tarheelprogrammer wrote:BYG Jacob wrote:Everything is shifting west right now, this is really not looking good.
Except EPS apparently, which is very important. It seems it shifted east.
tarheelprogrammer wrote:BYG Jacob wrote:Everything is shifting west right now, this is really not looking good.
Except EPS apparently, which is very important. It seems it shifted east.
Not good considering how strong Irma looks right now, with warmer water yet to come.RL3AO wrote:RL3AO wrote:
A quick comment from this. Look at how the stronger storms move the most to the WSW in the next 5 days.
SouthFLTropics wrote:Blown Away wrote:BensonTCwatcher wrote:
Well now. Not liking the looks of that. My solace is that it is just one run 240 hours out. We have not had a storm that strong in that position with a blocking high for a long time in NC. But there is quite a bit of model agreement though 3-5 days so folks here will be keen on models at the current 96 hour official forecast point.
If that landfilled near Lauderdale-By-The-Sea, for example, that puts Dade, Broward, Palm Beach in Cat 2-5 winds... Wow
My worst fear for us on the Treasure Coast Blown Away is a landfalling Cat 4/5 in the Jupiter/Tequesta area. We would get hammered with the NW and NE quads of Cat 4/5 winds.
eastcoastFL wrote:SouthFLTropics wrote:Blown Away wrote:
If that landfilled near Lauderdale-By-The-Sea, for example, that puts Dade, Broward, Palm Beach in Cat 2-5 winds... Wow
My worst fear for us on the Treasure Coast Blown Away is a landfalling Cat 4/5 in the Jupiter/Tequesta area. We would get hammered with the NW and NE quads of Cat 4/5 winds.
It would be Jeanne and Frances on steroids.
jdjaguar wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:SouthFLTropics wrote:
My worst fear for us on the Treasure Coast Blown Away is a landfalling Cat 4/5 in the Jupiter/Tequesta area. We would get hammered with the NW and NE quads of Cat 4/5 winds.
It would be Jeanne and Frances on steroids.
i.e. Andrew
South Texas Storms wrote:12z Euro Ensembles look to have shifted a bit northeastward compared to the 0z run.
gatorcane wrote:Below I have posted the 192-240 hour 12Z ECMWF 500MB height anomalies animation. Notice up in Canada there is an mid-level low pressure system that seems to come out of nowhere which is just enough to weaken the ridge off the East Coast of the US to allow Irma to turn just before Florida. I notice the CMC and GFS models do not show this mid-level low feature in the same timeframe. Instead they show a sprawling ridge over Eastern Canada.
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