ATL: IRMA - Models
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
this run is a nightmare I don't even want to see the rest
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
I cant see this happening if it did be bad .. for Florida , hope this is a off run i think anywhere from Florida to Mid Atlantic should monitor looks like Maine/Nova Scotia are getting less and less likely to get hit .
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
brghteys1216 wrote:This run is truly a nightmare situation.
The closer it gets, the more it seems a CONUS hit is likely with a monster cane.
That would be life changing to all of us in SOFL. Insane run
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Brent wrote:this run is a nightmare I don't even want to see the rest
Should we even look at hr 216?

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
There is no where to go, no trough, no nothing.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
Model Runs Cheat Sheet:
GFS (5:30 AM/PM, 11:30 AM/PM)
HWRF, GFDL, UKMET, NAVGEM (6:30-8:00 AM/PM, 12:30-2:00 AM/PM)
ECMWF (1:45 AM/PM)
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
AxaltaRacing24 wrote:brghteys1216 wrote:This run is truly a nightmare situation.
The closer it gets, the more it seems a CONUS hit is likely with a monster cane.
That would be life changing to all of us in SOFL. Insane run
I say everywhere South of the Tampa/Orlando/Cape Canaveral line would be basically wiped off the map, a lot of that land would be lost to the ocean and Gulf forever, Lake O would probably be a lot larger.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
shaneomac wrote:I cant see this happening if it did be bad .. for Florida , hope this is a off run i think anywhere from Florida to Mid Atlantic should monitor looks like Maine/Nova Scotia are getting less and less likely to get hit .
As always things can change, and models aren't so reliable this far out, but seems they've all been shifting south and west targeting an area between Florida and the Carolinas. May be a trend.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
meriland29 wrote:
Where does the opening come from for it turn North?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Blinhart wrote:meriland29 wrote:
Where does the opening come from for it turn North?
Perhaps its feeling the ULL in the mid west moving east ?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
NJWxHurricane wrote:looks like an Carolinas hit
I really think that is the furthest North that this can hit. I really don't see it not getting into the GoM though, I hope I'm wrong, but I had the same feeling for Andrew, Lili, Katrina, and Ike, so hopefully my gut is off.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
shaneomac wrote:Blinhart wrote:meriland29 wrote:
Where does the opening come from for it turn North?
Perhaps its feeling the ULL in the mid west moving east ?
I hope you aren't talking about that dark coloring that is over Kansas, if so, that is way too far away for it to turn.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
NJWxHurricane wrote:no gulf hit on this run
Good. The absolute last thing we need.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Blinhart wrote:shaneomac wrote:Blinhart wrote:
Where does the opening come from for it turn North?
Perhaps its feeling the ULL in the mid west moving east ?
I hope you aren't talking about that dark coloring that is over Kansas, if so, that is way too far away for it to turn.
Yes but looking at the maps now it is way to far away .. weird the random turn North i dont see anything for it to "feel" only weakness in ridge i guess .
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