ATL: IRMA - Models

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Brent
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2781 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:48 am

this run is a nightmare I don't even want to see the rest
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2782 Postby shaneomac » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:48 am

I cant see this happening if it did be bad .. for Florida , hope this is a off run i think anywhere from Florida to Mid Atlantic should monitor looks like Maine/Nova Scotia are getting less and less likely to get hit .
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2783 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:49 am

brghteys1216 wrote:This run is truly a nightmare situation.

The closer it gets, the more it seems a CONUS hit is likely with a monster cane.

That would be life changing to all of us in SOFL. Insane run
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2784 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:49 am

Brent wrote:this run is a nightmare I don't even want to see the rest

Should we even look at hr 216? :double:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2785 Postby AutoPenalti » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:49 am

There is no where to go, no trough, no nothing.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2786 Postby NJWxHurricane » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:50 am

coming up the coast
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2787 Postby meriland29 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:50 am

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2788 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:50 am

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:
brghteys1216 wrote:This run is truly a nightmare situation.

The closer it gets, the more it seems a CONUS hit is likely with a monster cane.

That would be life changing to all of us in SOFL. Insane run


I say everywhere South of the Tampa/Orlando/Cape Canaveral line would be basically wiped off the map, a lot of that land would be lost to the ocean and Gulf forever, Lake O would probably be a lot larger.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2789 Postby brghteys1216 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:51 am

shaneomac wrote:I cant see this happening if it did be bad .. for Florida , hope this is a off run i think anywhere from Florida to Mid Atlantic should monitor looks like Maine/Nova Scotia are getting less and less likely to get hit .


As always things can change, and models aren't so reliable this far out, but seems they've all been shifting south and west targeting an area between Florida and the Carolinas. May be a trend.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2790 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:51 am

Looks like the 12z run
Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2791 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:51 am

meriland29 wrote:Image


Where does the opening come from for it turn North?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2792 Postby joey » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:52 am

the turn but very close same as the cmc showed :roll:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2793 Postby NJWxHurricane » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:52 am

looks like an Carolinas hit
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2794 Postby NJWxHurricane » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:53 am

cmc has been hinting this as well
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2795 Postby shaneomac » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:54 am

Blinhart wrote:
meriland29 wrote:Image


Where does the opening come from for it turn North?



Perhaps its feeling the ULL in the mid west moving east ?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2796 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:54 am

NJWxHurricane wrote:looks like an Carolinas hit


I really think that is the furthest North that this can hit. I really don't see it not getting into the GoM though, I hope I'm wrong, but I had the same feeling for Andrew, Lili, Katrina, and Ike, so hopefully my gut is off.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2797 Postby NJWxHurricane » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:54 am

no gulf hit on this run
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2798 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:55 am

shaneomac wrote:
Blinhart wrote:
meriland29 wrote:Image


Where does the opening come from for it turn North?



Perhaps its feeling the ULL in the mid west moving east ?


I hope you aren't talking about that dark coloring that is over Kansas, if so, that is way too far away for it to turn.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2799 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:55 am

NJWxHurricane wrote:no gulf hit on this run

Good. The absolute last thing we need.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#2800 Postby shaneomac » Sat Sep 02, 2017 1:56 am

Blinhart wrote:
shaneomac wrote:
Blinhart wrote:
Where does the opening come from for it turn North?



Perhaps its feeling the ULL in the mid west moving east ?


I hope you aren't talking about that dark coloring that is over Kansas, if so, that is way too far away for it to turn.


Yes but looking at the maps now it is way to far away .. weird the random turn North i dont see anything for it to "feel" only weakness in ridge i guess .
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