ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Houstonia]

My niece just arrived in Havana last week for the fall semester. It's difficult for me to find hurricane related info from Cuba. If you all have links, could you share them with me?

She's coming from New Orleans, so she's no stranger to flooding rains. But I'm concerned about the eye moving over them. How well do they cope with hurricanes there? Thanks.

[msbee]

Good morning from the NE Caribbean,

Good morning msbee....I have followed you on stormcarib...I am sure you are thoroughly prepared...as is the rest of the island....my thoughts are with you...Greetings from KW, Rich

Thank you

[Jimsot]

It might rival Luis when it arrives in the vicinity of the NE Islands.

No more clear double maxima. EWRC wrapping up. Strong cat 4 or even a 5 seems possible by tomorrow.

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 041934
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 34 20170904
192500 1541N 05636W 6969 03166 0062 +105 +006 002024 024 030 000 00
192530 1543N 05638W 6965 03172 0065 +100 +015 006024 024 026 000 00
192600 1544N 05640W 6967 03168 0065 +099 +026 008024 025 023 000 00
192630 1546N 05641W 6969 03166 0065 +100 +021 009025 025 023 000 00
192700 1547N 05643W 6966 03172 0066 +101 +014 007026 027 020 000 03
192730 1548N 05645W 6961 03178 0070 +096 +030 005030 032 023 001 00
192800 1547N 05648W 6969 03167 0073 +092 +056 005031 032 023 000 00
192830 1546N 05650W 6971 03165 0070 +095 +054 003031 032 023 000 00
192900 1545N 05653W 6967 03171 0075 +092 +042 003028 031 023 000 00
192930 1544N 05655W 6968 03171 0076 +093 +038 003028 029 024 000 03
193000 1544N 05657W 6967 03174 0073 +095 +028 359026 028 023 001 00
193030 1543N 05700W 6967 03172 0076 +094 +027 002027 028 023 001 03
193100 1543N 05702W 6962 03181 0077 +092 +032 011027 028 024 000 00
193130 1543N 05705W 6968 03170 0075 +097 +018 011025 026 024 000 00
193200 1544N 05707W 6969 03172 0072 +098 +016 012026 027 022 001 00
193230 1544N 05709W 6966 03174 0070 +100 +005 013027 027 023 000 00
193300 1545N 05712W 6967 03175 0075 +098 +029 011025 027 022 001 00
193330 1545N 05714W 6971 03170 0079 +092 +038 005024 026 023 000 00
193400 1546N 05717W 6964 03179 0079 +093 +039 008023 024 022 000 00
193430 1546N 05719W 6968 03176 0077 +095 +035 006023 024 022 000 00

[StormingB81]

I live in brevard county about 7 miles from the coast and I see people already boarding up....

[AutoPenalti]

Moving west earlier than expected.. or maybe just another wobble

Good news for the islands but bad news for FL. It would decrease chances of DR/Cuba disrupting it as much which would allow a stronger system to head more NW into the peninsula.

I remember yesterday's track reasoning was that if Irma continued moving more SW than expected vs more west then, a Florida landfall would be inevitable. Has that reasoning changed today?

Stronger ridge closer to the straits compared to yesterday's run.

[msbee]

Does anyone have a list or links where I can keep up with how things are going on the islands over the next few days? I have a friend on St. John's that I am concerned about and would like to keep updated.

http://www.stormcarib.com/ has hurricane correspondents from many of the islands . They post ongoing conditions as they can.
The problem is that most of us will probably lose power during the storm and maybe even for days after the storm.

[RL3AO]

Looks like they might be returning, although they're still at 700mb. Hopefully, all is okay.

[wx247]

Does anyone have a list or links where I can keep up with how things are going on the islands over the next few days? I have a friend on St. John's that I am concerned about and would like to keep updated.

http://www.stormcarib.com/ has hurricane correspondents from many of the islands . They post ongoing conditions as they can.
The problem is that most of us will probably lose power during the storm and maybe even for days after the storm.

Thank you Ms. Bee. I hope you all end up getting missed. Best wishes to you all!!!

[La Sirena]

I live in brevard county about 7 miles from the coast and I see people already boarding up....

Talked to our former neighbors in the lower Keys and they've already got someone to help them get their shutters up and secure the outside items. They're planning on leaving in the next day or two.

[eastcoastFL]

May not make the next forecast point

Looks like the next point was supposed to be her last on the wsw heading so maybe she's straightening out a little early. Or it's a wobble..

[eastcoastFL]

I live in brevard county about 7 miles from the coast and I see people already boarding up....

Smart people. Most people are off of work today so there isn't going to be much time between now and next weekend.

[StormingB81]

I live in brevard county about 7 miles from the coast and I see people already boarding up....

Talked to our former neighbors in the lower Keys and they've already got someone to help them get their shutters up and secure the outside items. They're planning on leaving in the next day or two.

I'm going to wait until Friday or Saturday and get the shutters up

[La Sirena]

I live in brevard county about 7 miles from the coast and I see people already boarding up....

Talked to our former neighbors in the lower Keys and they've already got someone to help them get their shutters up and secure the outside items. They're planning on leaving in the next day or two.

I'm going to wait until Friday or Saturday and get the shutters up

You're farther north so you'll definitely have that time.....but it may be cutting it close

[bg1]

Irma's outer bands to me are somewhat annular-like. Does anyone know what the Annular Hurricane Index for this is? (I don't know where to look but I think it's released along with the RI index.)

[StormingB81]

Depending on speed and track I can always do it sooner if that's the case

[EquusStorm]

Really would like to see a true W shift instead of just a temporary westward wobble from WSW, for the sake of those in the islands, at least.

Looks to me like a much larger eye is trying to form amidst these constant ERCs, which would be a pretty common progression for a storm like this. Unfortunately that would increase the radius of hurricane force winds... which is also in the nature of a storm like this.

[Preemptivestrike]

Looks like it's really bombed over the last half hour.

[GCANE]

The governor of Puerto Rico has declared a preemptive state of emergency and activated the territory's National Guard ahead of Hurricane Irma

"We have established protocols for the safety of all," Puerto Rico Gov. Ricardo Rossello said, urging islanders to take precautions.

http://radio.wcmu.org/post/puerto-rico- ... r#stream/0

[Extratropical94]

URNT15 KNHC 041944
AF309 0311A IRMA HDOB 35 20170904
193500 1547N 05721W 6965 03176 0082 +092 +026 004020 021 022 000 00
193530 1547N 05724W 6965 03179 0085 +091 +026 010019 020 022 000 00
193600 1547N 05726W 6969 03173 0082 +093 +017 012021 022 023 000 03
193630 1548N 05729W 6967 03178 0081 +095 +017 016023 023 023 000 00
193700 1548N 05731W 6967 03177 0081 +093 +014 017022 023 021 000 00
193730 1549N 05733W 6966 03175 0077 +095 +012 017022 023 021 000 00
193800 1549N 05736W 6969 03174 0077 +097 +011 017023 024 022 000 00
193830 1550N 05738W 6969 03176 0078 +095 +010 015022 024 021 000 00
193900 1550N 05741W 6966 03176 0080 +095 +015 015023 023 021 000 03
193930 1551N 05743W 6967 03176 0082 +095 +016 018023 023 021 000 00
194000 1551N 05746W 6966 03179 0082 +095 +011 022024 024 021 000 00
194030 1552N 05748W 6969 03175 0084 +095 +015 024025 025 020 000 00
194100 1552N 05750W 6966 03179 0079 +099 -007 023025 025 020 000 00
194130 1553N 05753W 6967 03178 0074 +104 -010 022023 024 020 000 00
194200 1553N 05755W 6969 03175 0071 +110 -018 020021 022 020 000 00
194230 1553N 05758W 6965 03183 0072 +110 -057 021023 023 020 000 00
194300 1554N 05800W 6967 03179 0071 +110 -100 018023 023 019 000 00
194330 1554N 05803W 6969 03180 0074 +111 -170 016023 023 018 000 03
194400 1555N 05805W 6967 03185 0077 +110 -216 016023 023 019 000 03
194430 1555N 05808W 6967 03181 0077 +115 -256 012023 024 019 000 03