AutoPenalti wrote:Wow, that ridge is just too strong.
It's breaking down quickly at hour 84 as the energy in the Midwest dips into it. That's the key to watch IMO.
ATL: IRMA - Models
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txwatcher91
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
It's breaking down quickly at hour 84 as the energy in the Midwest dips into it. That's the key to watch IMO.
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SouthFLTropics
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
TropicalTidbits is getting bombarded right now...They've had to disable the soundings feature to keep the server up and running.
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
AutoPenalti wrote:Slower looks like than this morning. About 50 miles SE.
It's like @.2 degrees difference, so like 12-18 miles... Same track, just slower..
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Blown Away
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
SouthFLTropics wrote:TropicalTidbits is getting bombarded right now...They've had to disable the soundings feature to keep the server up and running.
Levi probably opening the windows to let the server smoke get out of the room...
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MatthewsRevenge
Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
txwatcher91 wrote:AutoPenalti wrote:Wow, that ridge is just too strong.
It's breaking down quickly at hour 84 as the energy in the Midwest dips into it. That's the key to watch IMO.
Could definitely make that turn after hour 84...
Spoke too soon, continues on a W path around hour 102.
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AxaltaRacing24
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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Looks like the GFS will be very similar to 06Z run on this 12Z run into Florida looking at the 90 day position and 500MB pattern. 
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AxaltaRacing24
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AxaltaRacing24
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txwatcher91
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Turning quickly by 108-114, huge weakness. This will likely pass just off the coast of FL. Also, sharper shortwave in the Midwest dropping down and the trough up in the NE is stronger...
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MatthewsRevenge
Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
GFS has it moving NE but enough to make impact in SE FL now before it makes its turn.
Same as 06z.
Same as 06z.
Last edited by MatthewsRevenge on Tue Sep 05, 2017 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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MississippiWx
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Northeast trof deeper/slower this run. May allow Irma to miss FL to the east.
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This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
gatorcane wrote:Maybe these east shifts with GFS will continue.
Looking like Matthew's route, then NE.
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