ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Frank P
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10241 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:32 pm

lrak wrote:
bamajammer4eva wrote:Which eye is used for direction of movement? looks like the inner one is wobbling erratically inside the outer one which is stationary.


I'm sorry I don't have an answer but try and keep an eye on this one https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes


end of the loop sure looks like a wobble northwest... the turn?
Last edited by Frank P on Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10242 Postby Preemptivestrike » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:33 pm

lrak wrote:
bamajammer4eva wrote:Which eye is used for direction of movement? looks like the inner one is wobbling erratically inside the outer one which is stationary.


I'm sorry I don't have an answer but try and keep an eye on this one https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes


Thanks! This is better than the one I was on.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10243 Postby Frank P » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:36 pm

sure looks like it is pulling away from the Cuban coast with this radar loop
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10244 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:37 pm

Webcam that's still working, surge coming over the seawall now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNCwj35OwmI

Also, don' forget about our chat room.

viewtopic.php?f=22&t=111692

We've got a decent group tonight but could always use more chatters. Chattees? Something. :lol:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10245 Postby gatorcane » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:37 pm

Frank P wrote:sure looks like it is pulling away from the Cuban coast with this radar loop
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions


Looks quite a bit west of the NHC track at the moment.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10246 Postby lrak » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:38 pm

Frank P wrote:sure looks like it is pulling away from the Cuban coast with this radar loop
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions


Thanks Frank that is way better than NOAA radar.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10247 Postby Digital-TC-Chaser » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:38 pm

Usually when the recurve starts so does the RI as a rule of thumb.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10248 Postby Steve » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:40 pm

Frank P wrote:
lrak wrote:
bamajammer4eva wrote:Which eye is used for direction of movement? looks like the inner one is wobbling erratically inside the outer one which is stationary.


I'm sorry I don't have an answer but try and keep an eye on this one https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes


end of the loop sure looks like a wobble northwest... the turn?


Looks kind of stationary to me.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10249 Postby thundercam96 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:40 pm

Second tornado report from SE Florida.

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10250 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:41 pm

gatorcane wrote:
Frank P wrote:sure looks like it is pulling away from the Cuban coast with this radar loop
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions


Looks quite a bit west of the NHC track at the moment.


Indeed, it skirted to the west as steering conditions collapsed. Almost did a loop. Sign of the northward movement starting, which we can now see clearly on radar.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10251 Postby dhweather » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:41 pm

Steve wrote:
Frank P wrote:
lrak wrote:
I'm sorry I don't have an answer but try and keep an eye on this one https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=BYX&loop=yes


end of the loop sure looks like a wobble northwest... the turn?


Looks kind of stationary to me.


And Northern Cuba is paying the price for that. Hours upon hours of hurricane conditions.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10252 Postby skillz » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:43 pm

Always a chance it could head due North and wobble East a bit. Nothing is ever certain.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10253 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:44 pm

It looked west but after the recent north job the track looks a lot closer.

Image

Snapshot from here: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/html5-ir-short.html
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10254 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:45 pm

What is up with all of this thunder? I keep thinking it's a tree falling on my house or debris. But it is actually thunder. I thought tropical systems were warm core?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10255 Postby dhweather » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:46 pm

Using radarscope, it appears the center has moved northwest about 3-4 miles in the last hour. Tough to say for certain, the struggle of the eyewalls continues. Inner is about 9 miles across, outer is about 15. Outer is getting stronger. I think we will see the outer "win" in the next 4-6 hours, if not sooner.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10256 Postby nutkin517 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:47 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:What is up with all of this thunder? I keep thinking it's a tree falling on my house or debris. But it is actually thunder. I thought tropical systems were warm core?



There was a ton of thunder and lightning in Harvey, at least at the second landfall. It was almost constant for hours.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10257 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:47 pm

lrak wrote:
Frank P wrote:sure looks like it is pulling away from the Cuban coast with this radar loop
https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions


Thanks Frank that is way better than NOAA radar.



Download the App called Radar Now...then roll down to the key west radar ...you can see it constantly update.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10258 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:49 pm

I will repost something I wrote from earlier. Please read

These are the most dangerous types of storms. They lose their sex appeal and some of the younger ones (and unfortunately some who should know better) suddenly become expert hurricane forecasters and think the danger is over. Ike was a great example, with the huge windfield and massive surge when it finally lumbered onshore.

If you've come here to post about how this won't be so bad, or to argue with mets, or to criticize the NHC you will find posting privileges lost pretty quickly. This is not a platform to spread your sudden expertise or anger about a forecast not working out the way you wanted. Irma is a very dangerous storm and this is not the time to downplay it.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10259 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:51 pm

Really starting to get her act together. Cloud tops cooling off and outer eye wall becoming dominant on on IR.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#10260 Postby BYG Jacob » Sat Sep 09, 2017 7:53 pm

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Really starting to get her act together. Cloud tops cooling off and outer eye wall becoming dominant on on IR.

Agreed, I think she ends up making a serious run at cat 5 now.
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