ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

Here is the weather.us Euro estimated wind gusts which had a landfall further west. I don't see any surprises.

[KBBOCA]

Boom or bust in terms of majors landfalling in US...!

Steve Bowen‏ @SteveBowenWx 2m2 minutes ago

Days between the last US major hurricane landfalls (Category 3+):

Wilma (2005) to Harvey (2017): 4,323
#Harvey to #Irma: 16

[tolakram]

I made a GIF from an older run as it moved up the coast. A lot of high wind gusts out there.

[miamijaaz]

Anyone in Florida who can describe the current conditons with Irma? How does she compare with Matthew?

Well, in South Miami, Irma is making Matthew look like an afternoon thunderstorm. The wind is much, much stronger than anything we ever saw from Matthew in South Miami.

[KBBOCA]

Need to take a break for about an hour...

Praying for all in Naples, Ft. Myers, and other Storm Surge threatened areas in SW FL! May everyone find safety!

[johngaltfla]

Boom or bust in terms of majors landfalling in US...!

Steve Bowen‏ @SteveBowenWx 2m2 minutes ago

Days between the last US major hurricane landfalls (Category 3+):

Wilma (2005) to Harvey (2017): 4,323
#Harvey to #Irma: 16

I enjoyed being on the >4,000 side myself.

[Canelaw99]

Anyone in Florida who can describe the current conditons with Irma? How does she compare with Matthew?

Here in Homestead, we are getting FAR more than we did with Matthew! Strong winds outside, steady rain (though not torrential).

[bjackrian]

I just received an AP news alert on my phone that power outages are up to more than a million in Florida.

[ConvergenceZone]

fairly clear turn north now. Little chance this goes west of Tampa

Thank God! I hope what you are saying is true, and I know say that because I recently learned of the historic and catastrophic storm surge Tampa can receive if the storm is West of Tampa. All we can hope is that wherever it landfalls in Southern Florida, that the intensity decreases quickly

[AutoPenalti]

Well, I can check my security cameras just fine so it looks like my home is still with power.

We'll see.

[Michele B]

I just received an AP news alert on my phone that power outages are up to more than a million in Florida.

We keep getting "Brown-outs" - 5 so far this morning.

Not sure how long till the lights go out for good....

[meriland29]

It's recon still flying into her?

[Alyono]

fairly clear turn north now. Little chance this goes west of Tampa

Thank God! I hope what you are saying is true, and I know say that because I recently learned of the historic and catastrophic storm surge Tampa can receive if the storm is West of Tampa. All we can hope is that wherever it landfalls in Southern Florida, that the intensity decreases quickly

you could still get gusts over 100 mph. Enough to cause major damage to downtown Tampa

[NDG]

So, Miami's highest wind gust so far has been 100 mph and Big Pine Key 106 mph? How is that possible with Big Pine Key in the eye wall?

Most likely highest gusts near eye not sampled, or we don't know about them yet. In addition, this storm is huge with a very large wind field. Very reminiscent of Ike which was 'just' a cat 2.

I agree, I am sure there were higher wind gusts near landfall, but with so little reporting stations near landfall and the ones that were stopped reporting.

[HurricaneBelle]

We've officially reached the Storm2K nowcast portion of tracking Irma as the main discussion thread has finally overtaken the models thread in number of posts.

[tronbunny]

Really?!!
 https://twitter.com/PascoSheriff/status/906712903868469249

[NDG]

BTW, both the GFS and Euro were spot on with these wind gusts along the coast of Miami Dade and Broward County.

[decgirl66]

Just a little breezy in North Brevard county! If you didn't know there was a hurricane, you would just think it was a typical Florida rainy day

[bjackrian]

Look at how flat the flight level winds (and to a lesser extent, surface winds) are way out to offshore Miami. Very little drop off (after the eye wall) over a huge distance.

[AdamFirst]

Any word from Jim Edds, Mike Theiss, Reed Timmer? Theiss & Timmer are in Key West, Edds was on Big Pine Key.