ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

soo live feeds ?

[GCANE]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/906937062976258048

[DTMEDIC]

It's incredible how few folks are online here with an historic landfalling storm in SW FL and possible worst case scenarios of surge affecting Naples / Ft. Myers.

But so many S2K members are in FL, so obviously dealing with power loss / comms loss / exhaustion / evacuation...
Other key members (CycloneEye, MSBEE) are dealing with tragedy caused by Irma in the Caribbean...
And we've got a whole ton of folks in Houston and other Harvey-hit areas of Texas trying to rebuild their lives...

I've been monitoring, etc. and really too busy to post.

That being said, as of now (1:45):
North Ft Myers, steady winds now around 40-45MPH with gusts around hurricane strength. Numerous palm fronds on the ground at the moment, and I'm sure we'll have some downed trees once the eyewall hits (around 6PM according to local media)

All of that and storm fatigue. Hurricane news has been non-stop for over a week.

[stormreader]

931 mb. Very low pressure. Hurricanes with that pressure normally have stronger sustained winds. But Irma's circulation was disrupted over Cuba, so I understand why sustained winds wouldn't be higher. However, my hunch is that with the frictional affects of the land at landfall near Naples, and with a pressure that low, that you could get gusts higher than many are counting on. Will see.

[mpic]

soo live feeds ?

http://www.earthcam.com/events/extremeweather/

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/2TRywcaNHMV

[tallywx]

Interesting. Bending back west of north. Wonder how long the center avoids actually making it inland like it did for Cuba.

[KBBOCA]

NWS Tampa Bay‏Verified account @NWSTampaBay 11m11 minutes ago

The eyewall, with strongest wind, & surge potential with #IRMA close to Naples/Marco Island. Coastal #Lee & #Charlotte cntys are next. #flwx

 https://twitter.com/NWSTampaBay/status/906934898279239685

[toto]

MSNBC showed a "before" photo of Marco Island that Irma's eye wall is heading towards.
That flat highly populated urban island may get 15 feet of storm surge.
.

[stormreader]

It's incredible how few folks are online here with an historic landfalling storm in SW FL and possible worst case scenarios of surge affecting Naples / Ft. Myers.

But so many S2K members are in FL, so obviously dealing with power loss / comms loss / exhaustion / evacuation...
Other key members (CycloneEye, MSBEE) are dealing with tragedy caused by Irma in the Caribbean...
And we've got a whole ton of folks in Houston and other Harvey-hit areas of Texas trying to rebuild their lives...

I've been monitoring, etc. and really too busy to post.

That being said, as of now (1:45):
North Ft Myers, steady winds now around 40-45MPH with gusts around hurricane strength. Numerous palm fronds on the ground at the moment, and I'm sure we'll have some downed trees once the eyewall hits (around 6PM according to local media)

All of that and storm fatigue. Hurricane news has been non-stop for over a week.

Eyewall to arrive at 6pm....gust at Naples already 103mph.

[KBBOCA]

John Morales‏Verified account @JohnMoralesNBC6 14m14 minutes ago

Same spiral band moving through South Florida's metro area just yielded a 103 MPH gust at Naples Municipal Airport.

 https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesNBC6/status/906934650307833856

[GCANE]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 483
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM EDT Sun Sep 10 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
much of Florida
far southeast Georgia
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday from NOON until Midnight EDT.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...Bands of convection associated with Hurricane Irma will
continue progressing north across Florida in conjunction with Irma's
advance, while individual/embedded cells within the bands move
quickly westward. Stronger cells will be capable of producing
tornadoes this afternoon and evening.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest of Jacksonville
FL to 40 miles southwest of Avon Park FL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).

[stormreader]

Interesting. Bending back west of north. Wonder how long the center avoids actually making it inland like it did for Cuba.

Naples will get raked with the NE quadrant, but if that path continues, official landfall would be further up the coast.

[ConvergenceZone]

The direction looks to be slightly left of almost due North. Landfall coming up pretty quickly

[Janie2006]

This is bad. Based on radar trends it's very well possible that Naples gets to stay in the NE and E eyewall for a good while rather than a direct-and-through hit.

Edited because I cannot type today.

[KBBOCA]

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/9 ... 3810763776

Michael Ventrice‏Verified account @MJVentrice 4m4 minutes ago

#Irma's eye sits just offshore of the southwestern tip of Florida.

[WeatherGuesser]

Breaker-breaker good buddy, we got us a ConnnVoyyy.

Spotted 50-100 trucks this morning, combination of tree crews and power line crews passing through W KY towards Nashville, TN. Figure they'll be down there by late tomorrow sometime.

[stormreader]

This is bad. Based on radar trends it's very well possible that Naples gets to stay in the NE and E eyewall for a god while rather than a direct-and-through hit.

You're right. That can be worse.

[wx247]

Looking like the eye may not make landfall for a bit longer now. Wobbles will tell the story, but it looks like it may be further up the coast than Naples. Going to be close call.

[AdamFirst]

Power surged here for the first time this storm...lights flickered and Comcast boxes reset.

[KBBOCA]

Mark Sudduth‏Verified account @hurricanetrack

Brief video discussion featuring our longtime friend and colleague Mike Watkins from Oakland Park Florida...

https://youtu.be/hPHZskPNFyE

 https://twitter.com/hurricanetrack/status/906927313442439168