Ralph's Weather wrote:We know we will have a significant -EPO event along with large scale troughing east of the Rockies. Any potential snow or ice will mostl likely come from shortwaves which are almost impossible to resolve more than a few days out. If we had the previously modeled SW low then there would be an identifiable feature even at this range to model and forecast. We know the STJ has been active so moisture will likely be available for any shortwaves that do manage to pass through. Most likely there will be some kind of significant wintery precip, but it will not be seen very far ahead of time.
Yes, with the active sub-tropical jet and colder air in place over the next couple weeks(starting Christmas weekend), there will be multiple chances for winter weather over Texas, particularly a long and north of I-20. That is the predilection of this pattern.
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