Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

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ronyan
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4521 Postby ronyan » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:12 am

We had a light sleet shower here for about 10 minutes. 32F so the ground isn't cold enough for accumulation.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4522 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:27 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:I think Thundersleet lives in the Woodlands and is missing this :/


I do. Someone bring me some sleet and snow!!!! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4523 Postby bubba hotep » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:34 am

orangeblood wrote:Looking ahead - hopefully we can get a potent storm system in the Jan 10-13th time frame because after that, signs of a January Thaw on the horizon for the 2nd half of the month. Warm phases of the MJO showing up which would allow the Pacific Jet to crash into western North America, keeping Arctic Air bottled up north of the border
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... m_full.gif


Yea, an active MJO moving through the IO should enhance the Pacific jet as it extends across the basin. That should result in more of a mean western trough. That probably decreases the chances of big cold but it should result in better rain chances. If the MJO stays active, then we could see a return to big cold later on as it cycles through 7/8.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4524 Postby Rgv20 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:35 am

Some pink showing up on the Radar around the Mercedes and Weslaco area.

Image
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4525 Postby Ralph's Weather » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:39 am

Clouds held me up to 19 this morning. If we hit freezing it won't be by much, though I am thinking cloud cover may hold temps to the upper 20s. Flurries possible though unlikely with the significant dry layer around 850mb.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4526 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:45 am

bubba hotep wrote:
orangeblood wrote:Looking ahead - hopefully we can get a potent storm system in the Jan 10-13th time frame because after that, signs of a January Thaw on the horizon for the 2nd half of the month. Warm phases of the MJO showing up which would allow the Pacific Jet to crash into western North America, keeping Arctic Air bottled up north of the border

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/p ... m_full.gif


Yea, an active MJO moving through the IO should enhance the Pacific jet as it extends across the basin. That should result in more of a mean western trough. That probably decreases the chances of big cold but it should result in better rain chances. If the MJO stays active, then we could see a return to big cold later on as it cycles through 7/8.


Right in time for my ski trip :)
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4527 Postby Tejas89 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:48 am

Correct me if wrong, but it seems like eons since South Texas/Houston has seen this much wintry precip and early in the season to boot. Crazy Texas winter so far!
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4528 Postby orangeblood » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:54 am

bubba hotep wrote:
orangeblood wrote:Looking ahead - hopefully we can get a potent storm system in the Jan 10-13th time frame because after that, signs of a January Thaw on the horizon for the 2nd half of the month. Warm phases of the MJO showing up which would allow the Pacific Jet to crash into western North America, keeping Arctic Air bottled up north of the border



Yea, an active MJO moving through the IO should enhance the Pacific jet as it extends across the basin. That should result in more of a mean western trough. That probably decreases the chances of big cold but it should result in better rain chances. If the MJO stays active, then we could see a return to big cold later on as it cycles through 7/8.


It's very unfortunate we didn't get a pop through Phase 8-1, would've had our southern plains winter storm or two. Central into the northern southern plains has had quite a dud so far this winter!!
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stormlover2013

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4529 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 10:55 am

Rgem and Cmc still on board for wed morning in se tx
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4530 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:23 am

stormlover2013 wrote:Rgem and Cmc still on board for wed morning in se tx


Looks like this evening/tonight things will kick off.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4531 Postby gpsnowman » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:26 am

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:Rgem and Cmc still on board for wed morning in se tx


Looks like this evening/tonight things will kick off.

Any chance DFW gets any action this far north?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4532 Postby davidiowx » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:27 am

gpsnowman wrote:
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:
stormlover2013 wrote:Rgem and Cmc still on board for wed morning in se tx


Looks like this evening/tonight things will kick off.

Any chance DFW gets any action this far north?


The CMC and Rgem models that are showing the snow later today keeps it confined to SE Texas.

The NAM is even showing a bit in Houston area for an hour or two later this evening.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4533 Postby wxman22 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:29 am

The Texas tech WRF also shows snow now fwiw
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stormlover2013

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4534 Postby stormlover2013 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:30 am

We will later on radar today if it pans out should be interesting
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4535 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:34 am

gpsnowman wrote:Any chance DFW gets any action this far north?


Not enough moisture that far north, I'm afraid.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4536 Postby Wntrwthrguy » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:37 am

wxman57 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Any chance DFW gets any action this far north?


Not enough moisture that far north, I'm afraid.


Is Austin in the same boat of being too far north?
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4537 Postby Cerlin » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:38 am

I can get used to this daily cold in DFW. :froze: but I can't get used to continually getting teased with and inevitably getting duped with winter precipitation. It's been almost 3 years since we've had snowfall that wasn't like a quarter inch. It's disappointing. I'm staying optimistic though, I'm thinking the end of next week is going to be good to us up north here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4538 Postby BrokenGlassRepublicn » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:42 am

wxman57 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Any chance DFW gets any action this far north?


Not enough moisture that far north, I'm afraid.

We have a deal!!! :D
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4539 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:45 am

Wntrwthrguy wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:Any chance DFW gets any action this far north?


Not enough moisture that far north, I'm afraid.


Is Austin in the same boat of being too far north?


Too far away from the moisture source (Gulf). Focus for any light precip this evening will be SE TX.
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Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#4540 Postby TexasF6 » Tue Jan 02, 2018 11:46 am

Snowing in Kileen Texas right now according to radar...
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