Using RMM, the MJO has spent ~ 10 days in phase 6-7 w/ amplitude between 3.5-4 sigma! Yikes. This is almost certainly going to trigger a massive downwelling oceanic Kelvin Wave that'll cross the EQ Pacific in March. You can kiss this La Nina good bye. #lolmodoki #ElNino #climate
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/rcV5wYn.jpg)
https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/962016268453892096
@webberweather
I'm raising the red flag that the Eq Pacific is about to make a huge adjustment towards El Nino this spring. It's far from guaranteed obviously, and dependent on further coupling but this La Nina will almost certainly dissipate when this Kelvin Wave reaches the EP in late Mar-Apr
https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/962017381030674433