Texas Winter 2017-2018

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
starsfan65
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 704
Age: 47
Joined: Thu Dec 17, 2015 1:18 pm
Location: Garland,Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8281 Postby starsfan65 » Sat Feb 10, 2018 5:31 pm

bubba hotep wrote:15z SREF came in even drier again, about 0.05" at DFW.

18z RGEM

Image

3K NAM

Image

12K NAM

Image

GFS

Image
Is this true?
0 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22786
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8282 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 10, 2018 5:36 pm

SGJ wrote:
Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Pretty much all the 18z guidance has come in drier for DFW, tihs looks like it will end up just being another novelty event with a bit of freezing drizzle and maybe a sleet pellet here or there.


Curse of the winter wx advisory lol


It is why when I read posts about next weekend I chuckle...
I have never lived anywhere like this, where winter weather events literally disappear / dissipate right at the moment they are supposed to happen.
Crazy.
If we could get just one solid winter weather event here in DFW, it all sure would be easier to take!!!


It is life living in the most southern tier of states in the US. Easier to see snow moving up north.
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8283 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Feb 10, 2018 5:43 pm

Well, yikes. If this one fails, nobody in DFW will pay attention to winter weather advisories again. lol
2 likes   

User avatar
Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 22786
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8284 Postby Ntxw » Sat Feb 10, 2018 5:46 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Well, yikes. If this one fails, nobody in DFW will pay attention to winter weather advisories again. lol


It was never going to be a widespread event. As mentioned this morning you are talking a small band covering 1-2 counties wide SW to NE. Some folks may get, others angry
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


DFW Stormwatcher
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 240
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Dec 27, 2009 10:35 pm
Location: Keller, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8285 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Sat Feb 10, 2018 6:23 pm

It’s worth noting that fwd is not the only office that has issued a wwa for this event. Contrary to the other events okc, Tulsa and San Angelo are on board which are the only nws offices that affect us given the trajectory of the storm. As ntxw mentioned, it was never supposed to be a massive event but it appears this will be the best one so far for dfw. I like watching models too but we have professional weathermen for a reason.
0 likes   
Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8286 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Feb 10, 2018 6:29 pm

Good points. It's still going to be better than other stuff so far.
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8287 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 10, 2018 6:33 pm

Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Pretty much all the 18z guidance has come in drier for DFW, tihs looks like it will end up just being another novelty event with a bit of freezing drizzle and maybe a sleet pellet here or there.


Curse of the winter wx advisory lol


Just think if we had 1" of snow for each WWA this winter? We would be talking about how awesome it was, such a tease.
2 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8288 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 10, 2018 6:57 pm

15z SREF is doing well...

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38091
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8289 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 10, 2018 6:58 pm

SGJ wrote:
Brent wrote:
bubba hotep wrote:Pretty much all the 18z guidance has come in drier for DFW, tihs looks like it will end up just being another novelty event with a bit of freezing drizzle and maybe a sleet pellet here or there.


Curse of the winter wx advisory lol


It is why when I read posts about next weekend I chuckle...
I have never lived anywhere like this, where winter weather events literally disappear / dissipate right at the moment they are supposed to happen.
Crazy.
If we could get just one solid winter weather event here in DFW, it all sure would be easier to take!!!


I don't think it helps that all the setups this year have largely been moisture starved so i mean even in a best case scenario it would have been like a dusting or so in a narrow band nothing has had real snowstorm potential all winter to me
0 likes   
#neversummer

DFW Stormwatcher
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 240
Age: 54
Joined: Sun Dec 27, 2009 10:35 pm
Location: Keller, Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8290 Postby DFW Stormwatcher » Sat Feb 10, 2018 7:31 pm

Freezing drizzle consistent now in Frisco m. Temp is at 27. This wasn’t supposed to happen tonight by most accounts. If there is enough energy for freezing drizzle to get through the dry layer then anything heavier will have no issue tonight.
3 likes   
Disclaimer: This is not an official weather forecast. I am only an amateur weather enthusiast therefore any weather forecasts or opinions should be taken with a grain of salt. Hook em Horns!

JayDT
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 354
Joined: Tue Dec 16, 2014 12:55 pm
Location: Dallas, Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8291 Postby JayDT » Sat Feb 10, 2018 7:34 pm

DFW Stormwatcher wrote:Freezing drizzle consistent now in Frisco m. Temp is at 27. This wasn’t supposed to happen tonight by most accounts. If there is enough energy for freezing drizzle to get through the dry layer then anything heavier will have no issue tonight.


Yup! I agree with this..
0 likes   

aggiecutter
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1753
Joined: Thu Oct 14, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: Texarkana

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8292 Postby aggiecutter » Sat Feb 10, 2018 7:36 pm

Brent wrote:
SGJ wrote:
Brent wrote:
Curse of the winter wx advisory lol


It is why when I read posts about next weekend I chuckle...
I have never lived anywhere like this, where winter weather events literally disappear / dissipate right at the moment they are supposed to happen.
Crazy.
If we could get just one solid winter weather event here in DFW, it all sure would be easier to take!!!


I don't think it helps that all the setups this year have largely been moisture starved so i mean even in a best case scenario it would have been like a dusting or so in a narrow band nothing has had real snowstorm potential all winter to me


Dallas has become the freezing drizzle capitol of Texas. Take what you can get.
2 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38091
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8293 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 10, 2018 7:53 pm

Glaze forming on the cars here in Wylie

Kind of surprised to see it this early
0 likes   
#neversummer

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8294 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:10 pm

DFW Stormwatcher wrote:Freezing drizzle consistent now in Frisco m. Temp is at 27. This wasn’t supposed to happen tonight by most accounts. If there is enough energy for freezing drizzle to get through the dry layer then anything heavier will have no issue tonight.


Freezing drizzle appears to be pretty widespread. The models were all in agreement that there would ascent atop the cold air and the 00z FWD sounding shows nearly saturated lower levels. So there is just enough moisture to squeeze out freezing drizzle but the rest of the column is very dry and that is probably why the models have been cutting back on freezing rain or sleet.

Image
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

gpsnowman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3186
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 10:35 am
Location: Grand Prairie Tx

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8295 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:17 pm

Heavy mist on my side of Irving with a glaze forming on cars.
2 likes   

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8296 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:20 pm

Temp still rising to 33.4 here in north FW.
0 likes   

User avatar
bubba hotep
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5837
Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
Location: Collin County Texas

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8297 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:34 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Temp still rising to 33.4 here in north FW.


Did y'all get any sun out that way this afternoon? Grandbury is up to 37 and Ft. Worth Naval is up to 36.
0 likes   
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

orangeblood
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3714
Joined: Tue Dec 15, 2009 6:14 pm
Location: Fort Worth, TX

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8298 Postby orangeblood » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:35 pm

Temps have risen 4 deg F in FTW, now at 36...hmmmm
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38091
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8299 Postby Brent » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:37 pm

More glaze on the car while i ate dinner

Why are temps rising in Fort Worth
0 likes   
#neversummer

rwfromkansas
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2627
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:47 am
Location: North Fort Worth

Re: Texas Winter 2017-2018

#8300 Postby rwfromkansas » Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:40 pm

bubba hotep wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:Temp still rising to 33.4 here in north FW.


Did y'all get any sun out that way this afternoon? Grandbury is up to 37 and Ft. Worth Naval is up to 36.


We did not have any sun really, but no real drizzle either. It was steady at 31-32 all afternoon though until recently after the sun went down, when it started rising. I don't know enough to explain. The dewpoint is in the mid-20s.
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   


Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests