orangeblood wrote:Temps have risen 4 deg F in FTW, now at 36...hmmmm
Very odd. The mist surely isn't heavy enough to drag down warmer air, is it? We can't catch a break around here.
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orangeblood wrote:Temps have risen 4 deg F in FTW, now at 36...hmmmm
gpsnowman wrote:orangeblood wrote:Temps have risen 4 deg F in FTW, now at 36...hmmmm
Very odd. The mist surely isn't heavy enough to drag down warmer air, is it? We can't catch a break around here.
orangeblood wrote:NAM has abandoned almost any measurable qpf across North Texas....another bust appears likely
orangeblood wrote:NAM has abandoned almost any measurable qpf across North Texas....another bust appears likely
bubba hotep wrote:orangeblood wrote:NAM has abandoned almost any measurable qpf across North Texas....another bust appears likely
21z SREF is basically zero, down from 0.25" yesterday... HRRR & HRRRx have also thrown in the towel.
Cerlin wrote:We've got to have set a record number of busts this year for DFW. I can't do anything but laugh anymore
Brent wrote:Cerlin wrote:We've got to have set a record number of busts this year for DFW. I can't do anything but laugh anymore
Ntxw wrote:All joking aside,
I do encourage discussion for next week. DO NOT let busts deter posters from thoughts. Next weather event has nothing to do with this weather event as the atmosphere is fluid. I do suggest toning that language down a bit we do need to keep the thread going forward.
SGJ wrote:Brent wrote:Cerlin wrote:We've got to have set a record number of busts this year for DFW. I can't do anything but laugh anymore
I do have a question.
When my friends and family in Ohio have a Winter Weather Advisory issued, they are pretty much assured that a Winter Weather event is on the way - they take it seriously and they have a reason to. I don't think I've ever heard of a "bust" happening there after a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued.
Why do we have "busts" here, even after getting a Winter Weather Advisory issued?
Ntxw wrote:Too add to the post above, advisory criteria is different here vs Ohio. What is an advisory there is winter storm warning worthy here. Even the slightest amount of ice or drizzle can trigger with very little qpf an advisory in the south. While up north that just gives you a special weather statement
SGJ wrote:Ntxw wrote:Too add to the post above, advisory criteria is different here vs Ohio. What is an advisory there is winter storm warning worthy here. Even the slightest amount of ice or drizzle can trigger with very little qpf an advisory in the south. While up north that just gives you a special weather statement
Thanks to you both!
I had no idea - I assumed the criteria would be the same, regardless of the locality.
Knowing this is helpful. I've lived on both coasts and in Ohio. I've never seen any goofier weather situations than here in DFW. Literally, we can have a forecast showing 1" of snow and end up with a foot. OR we can have a winter like this one, where we have our hopes dashed week after week. I try to remain positive each time. I keep thinking that for every bust, our chances go up that something will verify. At least I keep telling myself that!
Texas Snowman wrote:I understand being disappointed when winter weather doesn’t materialize. Been there and lived that for many years. And the ability to tune into model runs heightens all of that disappointment I suppose (gets our hopes up).
But having lived here since I was a kid in the late 1970s, I sometimes feel that we aren’t very realistic here.
We live in the southernmost state in the Great Plains and our southern border is Mexico. The truth is that just about anywhere outside of the Pahandle, snowfall is a real rarity. It just doesn’t happen very often.
Harold Taft, the late great weatherman for KXAS in Fort Worth, once was asked by a news anchor why everyone else in town was forecasting snow and he wasn’t. He responded that he had learned over the years that it was extremely difficult to get conditions just right for significant snowfall in North Texas. Because of that, he had learned that about the only time you should forecast snow in this area was when you looked out the window and saw that it was snowing.
It will snow here again. It will snow big here again. And one winter we will have multiple snowfalls here in North Texas. Just don’t expect those kinds of things to happen frequently.
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