CPAC: LANE - Post-Tropical
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
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- Kingarabian
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
Alyono wrote:canadian shifted west, not east
My bad. Was looking at the inner nest. Yes, a subtle change west
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
Aric Dunn wrote:That shear axis has been progressing westward as Lane has moved and is still on the move. interesting.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/e ... rjava.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/e ... tjava.html
That's what's worrying me. It's been doing that ever since it crossed 150.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
In Florida, people go to jail for this. I hope Hawaii has the same laws. Wow, that's insane.
Godspeed to everyone out there.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:That shear axis has been progressing westward as Lane has moved and is still on the move. interesting.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/e ... rjava.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/e ... tjava.html
That's what's worrying me. It's been doing that ever since it crossed 150.
Hope all is the best for you, man! Good luck because you'll need it.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
Yellow Evan wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:That shear axis has been progressing westward as Lane has moved and is still on the move. interesting.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/e ... rjava.html
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/e ... tjava.html
That's what's worrying me. It's been doing that ever since it crossed 150.
Hope all is the best for you, man! Good luck because you'll need it.
Thanks man, and thanks to all of you for the kind wishes and support!
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
Here's the 12Z Euro animation from weather.us

As noted above, rain is going to be the issue with Lane, and a lot of fit.

As noted above, rain is going to be the issue with Lane, and a lot of fit.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
HWRF makes landfall but also loses Lane completely 3 hours after landfall.


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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
Gaining latitude faster now. Most fatal turn for Hawaii since Iniki.


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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
tolakram wrote:HWRF makes landfall but also loses Lane completely 3 hours after landfall.
I've been on top of Mauna Kea and while it is one big mountain, I'd be shocked if it shredded it that bad without passing directly overhead.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
johngaltfla wrote:tolakram wrote:HWRF makes landfall but also loses Lane completely 3 hours after landfall.
I've been on top of Mauna Kea and while it is one big mountain, I'd be shocked if it shredded it that bad without passing directly overhead.
Pure speculation on my part but I suspect Lane will be ripped apart by shear and some models just have trouble with that. It may look like Lane makes landfall but it will probably just be the MLC shearing off and moving NE.
Regardless, lots of rain and potential for some high gusts at higher elevation.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
tolakram wrote:johngaltfla wrote:tolakram wrote:HWRF makes landfall but also loses Lane completely 3 hours after landfall.
I've been on top of Mauna Kea and while it is one big mountain, I'd be shocked if it shredded it that bad without passing directly overhead.
Pure speculation on my part but I suspect Lane will be ripped apart by shear and some models just have trouble with that. It may look like Lane makes landfall but it will probably just be the MLC shearing off and moving NE.
I hope you're right. I fear for the good people on the islands out there. And this is not a good situation at all.

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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
johngaltfla wrote:tolakram wrote:HWRF makes landfall but also loses Lane completely 3 hours after landfall.
I've been on top of Mauna Kea and while it is one big mountain, I'd be shocked if it shredded it that bad without passing directly overhead.
12Z HWRF has a direct hit on Maui, Haleakala would definitely put a pretty good dent in Lane.
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Re: CPAC: LANE - Hurricane
It seems the GFS is confused with potential topography effects of Big Island on Lane.
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