ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

[Audrey2Katrina]

Note that the NHC advisory has the center west of the convection. We think it's about 25-35 miles east of their position. Don't see 60 kts anywhere, but they won't indicate any weakening for a landfalling storm so the public won't take it too lightly. I still think 45kts, 50 kts max now.

Well WM57 if it gets close like Nate last year I let you know if it's a cane or a TS.I laughed at Nate as a so called cane all I saw an I am 1/3 mile from the beach(Biloxi) was ts force winds and when it passed I went what?

And I STILL can't figure out how Nate got its name "retired" .. it's intensity was never lower than 981 mb, highest winds were 91 mph (and I know all about Allison... Allison was many times worse than Nate)... It just blew my mind that they retired it. Was it that it was the fastest moving storm in the GOM? Total damage at about half a billion. Death toll 48.. ANY death is a tragedy, but some storms that remain unretired had higher than that one did. Maybe one of the pro mets can help me figure that one out.

[Hammy]

Note that the NHC advisory has the center west of the convection. We think it's about 25-35 miles east of their position. Don't see 60 kts anywhere, but they won't indicate any weakening for a landfalling storm so the public won't take it too lightly. I still think 45kts, 50 kts max now.

Well WM57 if it gets close like Nate last year I let you know if it's a cane or a TS.I laughed at Nate as a so called cane all I saw an I am 1/3 mile from the beach(Biloxi) was ts force winds and when it passed I went what?

And I STILL can't figure out how Nate got its name "retired" .. it's intensity was never lower than 981 mb, highest winds were 91 mph (and I know all about Allison... Allison was many times worse than Nate)... It just blew my mind that they retired it. Was it that it was the fastest moving storm in the GOM? Total damage at about half a billion. Death toll 48.. ANY death is a tragedy, but some storms that remain unretired had higher than that one did. Maybe one of the pro mets can help me figure that one out.

There's no threshhold death toll number, and the retirement was at the request of Costa Rica I believe, as it was one of their worst natural disasters.

[wxman57]

And I STILL can't figure out how Nate got its name "retired" .. it's intensity was never lower than 981 mb, highest winds were 91 mph (and I know all about Allison... Allison was many times worse than Nate)... It just blew my mind that they retired it. Was it that it was the fastest moving storm in the GOM? Total damage at about half a billion. Death toll 48.. ANY death is a tragedy, but some storms that remain unretired had higher than that one did. Maybe one of the pro mets can help me figure that one out.

Nate was retired for its impacts (deaths and damage) to Central America. The U.S. didn't request its name be retired, as far as I know.

Mobile sea buoy winds are dropping now as the center approaches. Peak measured sustained 1-min wind between 50-55 mph).

[MississippiWx]

The center, according to radar, is due south of Baldwin County, Alabama, and on a much more westerly course now. I was thinking AL landfall earlier, but it's starting to trend back towards Mississippi according to radar. As I mentioned earlier, a few higher resolution models showed this movement.

[Frank P]

well to me its looking a little better on the radar loops, sure hints that it might have worked out its stacking issue.. last few frames looks like the center took a pretty good wnw jog, nasty feeder band heading towards Pensacola right now too..... mho

[Kazmit]

Note that the NHC advisory has the center west of the convection. We think it's about 25-35 miles east of their position. Don't see 60 kts anywhere, but they won't indicate any weakening for a landfalling storm so the public won't take it too lightly. I still think 45kts, 50 kts max now.

Well WM57 if it gets close like Nate last year I let you know if it's a cane or a TS.I laughed at Nate as a so called cane all I saw an I am 1/3 mile from the beach(Biloxi) was ts force winds and when it passed I went what?

And I STILL can't figure out how Nate got its name "retired" .. it's intensity was never lower than 981 mb, highest winds were 91 mph (and I know all about Allison... Allison was many times worse than Nate)... It just blew my mind that they retired it. Was it that it was the fastest moving storm in the GOM? Total damage at about half a billion. Death toll 48.. ANY death is a tragedy, but some storms that remain unretired had higher than that one did. Maybe one of the pro mets can help me figure that one out.

It was the costliest disaster in Puerto Rican history. Nate dropped a lot of rain while it was just a depression.

[drezee]

Buoy has reported 55mph 1-min sustained winds last hour...4m height...legit wind

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=42012

I see peak 1-min at 46.6 kts or about 53 mph there. Max observed wind at any interval was 40.8 kts (about 45 mph). That buoy is passing right through Gordon's heaviest squalls north of the center, which may be a good estimate of its max sustained wind.

Lol, 47kts is 54mph....46.6kts is 53.7mph. You are being a bit tight. 1mph between friends....

[Aric Dunn]

the center is nearly exposed.

[Frank P]

awesome how it gets its trying to get its act back together as it approaches the coast, looks like the core it tightening up somewhat.. a few more wnw jogs would put it pretty close to the NHC forecast line

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... conditions

[Ubuntwo]

Recon finally flying out now.

[Blinhart]

Just glad Gordon is just a FLASH in the pan, shouldn't really do much if any damage. People on the Gulf Coast get these type of storms almost every week

[SunnyThoughts]

Recon finally flying out now.

Yeah Ed Rappaport from NHC was just on the weather channel talking about the plane heading out..to help find the center.

[CrazyC83]

236
URNT15 KWBC 042231
NOAA2 0607A GORDON HDOB 02 20180904
222200 2749N 08230W 6287 04098 0165 +042 +007 121014 015 /// /// 03
222230 2748N 08232W 6160 04264 0166 +032 -001 125013 014 /// /// 03
222300 2747N 08235W 6035 04430 0164 +024 -016 121015 016 /// /// 03
222330 2748N 08237W 5939 04562 0163 +018 -082 126017 017 /// /// 03
222400 2748N 08240W 5830 04712 0151 +017 -151 140016 017 /// /// 03
222430 2749N 08242W 5722 04861 0158 +005 -178 142017 017 /// /// 03
222500 2750N 08245W 5627 04996 0150 -002 -130 140016 017 /// /// 03
222530 2750N 08247W 5525 05141 0147 -009 -130 152016 017 /// /// 03
222600 2751N 08250W 5431 05277 0318 -018 -129 152017 018 /// /// 03
222630 2752N 08252W 5339 05413 0327 -028 -130 151018 018 /// /// 03
222700 2752N 08255W 5248 05550 0334 -037 -125 151016 017 /// /// 03
222730 2753N 08258W 5147 05704 0343 -045 -098 158016 020 /// /// 03
222800 2753N 08300W 5063 05833 0349 -049 -110 154020 020 /// /// 03
222830 2754N 08303W 5051 05849 0349 -047 -111 142020 021 /// /// 03
222900 2755N 08306W 5057 05837 0346 -051 -106 159020 022 /// /// 03
222930 2755N 08308W 5062 05835 0348 -054 -099 166021 024 /// /// 03
223000 2756N 08311W 5055 05843 0350 -048 -099 144021 022 000 002 03
223030 2757N 08314W 5055 05844 0350 -056 -101 150028 030 /// /// 03
223100 2757N 08316W 5051 05849 0349 -061 -094 146027 028 002 003 03
223130 2758N 08319W 5053 05843 0346 -062 -089 141029 031 /// /// 03

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

SLIDER http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=mesoscale_02&x=1112&y=936&z=2&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=1&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

Why are there posts claiming NHC is wrong and Gordon is only 45 mph? Radar shows a broad swath of 70-75kt winds around 7000ft which supports the officially assigned 70 mph value.

[Aric Dunn]

the center is nearly exposed. just low level shallow convection. except the deep convection well away from it.

[tolakram]

Why are there posts claiming NHC is wrong and Gordon is only 45 mph? Radar shows a broad swath of 70-75kt winds around 7000ft which supports the officially assigned 70 mph value.

How do radar derived winds at 7000ft equate to 70mph surface winds?

[fendie]

Why are there posts claiming NHC is wrong and Gordon is only 45 mph? Radar shows a broad swath of 70-75kt winds around 7000ft which supports the officially assigned 70 mph value.

I'm guessing it's because there aren't surface observations to support 70 mph. It won't be long until we find out. Currently I'm seeeing velocity data from 3000ft above Pensacola at 72 mph. At the surface weather stations are reporting a maximum of ~30 mph.

[Steve]

If the blossoming high clouds are the center (kind of south in that “cdo”), center would be due south of Mobile Bay. I think the llc is south of that though

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... roduct=vis