toad strangler wrote:Florence looks hideous. Possible she just packs it in.
I doubt that. Remember what she looked like east of the Lesser Antilles when she was a weak wave? Much better conditions are ahead.
Moderator: S2k Moderators
toad strangler wrote:Florence looks hideous. Possible she just packs it in.
plasticup wrote: They say this is a hurricane?
LarryWx wrote:Here's some pretty interesting history going back to 1851:
Out of all of the 1,500+ or so TCs on record since 1851, not a single one hit the CONUS that moved NW-NNW-N (315+ degrees) east of 48W! Currently, the furthest east was storm #5 of 1906: it moved NW from 48.0W to 48.4W and then turned NNW for a short time before turning back WNW and later hitting the CONUS:
http://weather.unisys.com/sites/default ... /track.gif
IF Flo were to later hit the CONUS, it would establish a new record for the furthest east NW moving storm to later do so as it moved NW starting at 46.6W and continuing through 47.9W.
hurricaneCW wrote:Florence isn't going to dissipate, it does not matter what she looks like now she'll likely be a Cat 4 near the east coast.
How quickly people forget the rapid turnaround of past storms.
In combination with waters warming to near 29C, these conditions should promote strengthening into a
hurricane again in a day or two and a major hurricane by early next week. The intensity guidance is higher than the last cycle at longrange, which is hard to argue with considering the large upper-level
anticyclone forecast in the vicinity of Florence.
TheStormExpert wrote:Is it time to bring out bones yet?![]()
But seriously, this has model support to significantly recover.
supercane4867 wrote:Still remember last year when Harvey opened up into a wave in the Caribbean and then some started saying the season was dead
Bocadude85 wrote:LarryWx wrote:Here's some pretty interesting history going back to 1851:
Out of all of the 1,500+ or so TCs on record since 1851, not a single one hit the CONUS that moved NW-NNW-N (315+ degrees) east of 48W! Currently, the furthest east was storm #5 of 1906: it moved NW from 48.0W to 48.4W and then turned NNW for a short time before turning back WNW and later hitting the CONUS:
http://weather.unisys.com/sites/default ... /track.gif
IF Flo were to later hit the CONUS, it would establish a new record for the furthest east NW moving storm to later do so as it moved NW starting at 46.6W and continuing through 47.9W.
All it takes is the right steering currents and a record can be broken, I have always been fascinated by the November 1935 Yankee hurricane,https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1935_Yankee_hurricane#/media/File%3A1935_Atlantic_hurricane_7_track.png it’s not everyday that you get a storm forming north of Bermuda making landfall in S.Fla, of course Florence has nothing in common with this storm but it just goes to show that crazy things can happen when the right steering currents setup.
LarryWx wrote:Here's some pretty interesting history going back to 1851:
Out of all of the 1,500+ or so TCs on record since 1851, not a single one hit the CONUS that moved NW-NNW-N (315+ degrees) east of 48W! Currently, the furthest east was storm #5 of 1906: it moved NW from 48.0W to 48.4W and then turned NNW for a short time before turning back WNW and later hitting the CONUS:
http://weather.unisys.com/sites/default ... /track.gif
IF Flo were to later hit the CONUS, it would establish a new record for the furthest east NW moving storm to later do so as it moved NW starting at 46.6W and continuing through 47.9W.
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests