Ken711 wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:12z GFS is east. Likely about to trend OTS at 12z. That will make NHC tear their hair out.
Probably going to stall offshore for another 48 hours. Now does the Euro trend back east to Wilmington at 12z...have to see, but I think so.
GFS is probably breaking the ridging down too quickly like it has a bias of doing and the Euro is probably a bit too strong with it. This is why the NHC uses the TVCN and model corrected bias adjustments in their forecast. Their current track would be a solid middle ground solution and is very reasonable at this time.