ATL: FLORENCE - Models
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
FV3 landfall, perhaps
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
FV3-GFS mostly complete 12Z run. Very similar to the GFS.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
This is the FLORENCE model thread, please keep offtopic posts out as they will be removed. Thanks.
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supercane4867
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
UKMET coming stronger this run now. looks like borderline cat 4
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:UKMET coming stronger this run now. looks like borderline cat 4
Landfall where?
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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:UKMET coming stronger this run now. looks like borderline cat 4
Landfall where?
Cape Fear and then southwest into Myrtle Beach
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:UKMET coming stronger this run now. looks like borderline cat 4
Landfall where?
Essentially the same location as the rest of the models. wilmington area.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
Aric Dunn wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:UKMET coming stronger this run now. looks like borderline cat 4
Landfall where?
Essentially the same location as the rest of the models. wilmington area.
No......no nononono. Come on late shifts. I see a few went NE of Wilmington that would help with surge, right?
Where is text output for UKMET?
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
tarheelprogrammer wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:tarheelprogrammer wrote:
Landfall where?
Essentially the same location as the rest of the models. wilmington area.
No......no nononono. Come on late shifts. I see a few went NE of Wilmington that would help with surge, right?
Where is text output for UKMET?
unfortunately, we are inside essentially the 48 hour time frame and models are pretty good. ONly small adjustments from here on out. like does it slow down earlier and stay off shore or later and come ashore.
essentially all you can hope for is wobble watching..
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
The models have possible landfall in the early morning hours Friday 3:00-6:00 AM. What are the tide times?
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
Ken711 wrote:The models have possible landfall in the early morning hours Friday 3:00-6:00 AM. What are the tide times?
Around 2 am in Wilmington.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
ronjon wrote:Ken711 wrote:The models have possible landfall in the early morning hours Friday 3:00-6:00 AM. What are the tide times?
High tide around 2 am in Wilmington.
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
Ken711 wrote:The models have possible landfall in the early morning hours Friday 3:00-6:00 AM. What are the tide times?
High Tide 1:38 am
Low Tide 8:15 am
for Wilmington NC
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
Ken711 wrote:The models have possible landfall in the early morning hours Friday 3:00-6:00 AM. What are the tide times?
Cape Fear river in Wilmington will be at 1:38 AM.
Last edited by Raebie on Wed Sep 12, 2018 12:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
12Z HWRF
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
CMC went with landfall and then due west and poof. All the models seem to have trended towards a landfall between Wilmington and southern OBX. Not seeing as pronounced of a bend back Southwest.
Last edited by Vdogg on Wed Sep 12, 2018 12:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: FLORENCE - Models
12Z Euro running
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