ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[galaxy401]

Up to 55 knots now.

Location: 20.1°N 85.5°W
Maximum Winds: 55 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 994 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 270 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 70 NM

[northjaxpro]

I think the center did re-form in the middle of the expsnding CDO. Michael is looking quite impressive and is really ramping up. It is on the cusp of being a hurricane right now.

[Condor]

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso-meso1-14-96-1-100-1&checked=latlon-map&colorbar=undefined

Take a look at the LWIR

[NDG]

Up to 55 knots now.

Location: 20.1°N 85.5°W
Maximum Winds: 55 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 994 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1008 mb
Radius of Circulation: 270 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 70 NM

That was from information from the first pass before finding stronger winds on the eastern quadrant.

[Hammy]

I think the center did re-form in the middle of the expsnding CDO. Michael is looking quite impressive and is really ramping up. It is on the cusp of being a hurricane right now.

Are you thinking something like this, in the absence of more recon info?

[northjaxpro]

I think the center did re-form in the middle of the expsnding CDO. Michael is looking quite impressive and is really ramping up. It is on the cusp of being a hurricane right now.

Are you thinking something like this, in the absence of more recon info?

https://i.imgur.com/cCFdYd9.png

Yep Hammy. That is pretty much what I am thinking in your illustration indeed.

[Aric Dunn]

I think the center did re-form in the middle of the expsnding CDO. Michael is looking quite impressive and is really ramping up. It is on the cusp of being a hurricane right now.

Are you thinking something like this, in the absence of more recon info?

https://i.imgur.com/cCFdYd9.png

it has probably moved to near that location by now.

[Condor]

I think the center did re-form in the middle of the expsnding CDO. Michael is looking quite impressive and is really ramping up. It is on the cusp of being a hurricane right now.

Are you thinking something like this, in the absence of more recon info?

https://i.imgur.com/cCFdYd9.png

Yep Hammy. That is pretty much what I am thinking in your illustration indeed.

I agree that is what I am seeing.

[NDG]

Slow information coming back from the recon is killing me, waiting for the new pass before going back to bed.

[Hammy]

Slow information coming back from the recon is killing me, waiting for the new pass before going back to bed.

With the comm issues the advisory might arrive first...

[northjaxpro]

It is taking them a long while to submit the next pass. I am trying to hang in here, but I have such a busy day ahead with preps and monitoring Michael. Got to get a little sleep I guess soon.

[HDGator]

It is taking them a long while to submit the next pass. I am trying to hang in here, but I have such a busy day ahead with preps and monitoring Michael. Got to get a little sleep I guess soon.

Yep, sleep and preps are going to be more important for you over the next 24-36 hrs. Update in between, it's close enough for you to start basic preps in the morning. Prepare for the worst and relax after it's done.

[xironman]

I must be getting sleepy

Extrap. Sfc. Press: 985.2 mb (29.10 inHg)

[Aric Dunn]

983 mb with 18 kt winds..

064730 2017N 08531W 8429 01363 9830 +236 +194 356014 018 025 004 05
064800 2016N 08532W 8420 01378 9838 +228 +174 327021 023 030 002 03

[NDG]

Extrap pressure down to 983mb!!!!

[northjaxpro]

It is taking them a long while to submit the next pass. I am trying to hang in here, but I have such a busy day ahead with preps and monitoring Michael. Got to get a little sleep I guess soon.

Yep, sleep and preps are going to be more important for you over the next 24-36 hrs. Update in between, it's close enough for you to start basic preps in the morning. Prepare for the worst and relax after it's done.

Yeah, it is going to be , needless to say, very ominous times around here this week for sure

[cjrciadt]

https://goo.gl/images/jgacYW

[galaxy401]

Whoa what a drop. If that center is indeed under all that convection then this storm is really ramping up now!

[marionstorm]

Well that is bad news... probably a mb or so lower. Strengthening quickly. You all get some sleep I'll take over the worrying shift.

[NDG]

Michael is within 6 hours of becoming a hurricane, at the most. IMO.