ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
curtadams
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1122
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:57 pm
Location: Orange, California
Contact:
Contact curtadams

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3661 Postby curtadams » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:59 pm

ChucktownStormer wrote:I make pretty decent money and have a healthy emergency fund, so it was merely an inconvenience. If you live on a fixed income or you're poor and don't have any family nearby, what are you going to do?


Sometimes there are other reasons too. One of my mother's best friends lives in Panama City. She certainly has the financial resources to evac. But she's quite elderly, and broke her leg recently and is in a nursing home. What does she do? My mom lost the number for the nursing home so we don't know. Maybe she figured a way out and maybe she didn't. But if she didn't it's not because she's stupid or irresponsible. She's just limited.
3 likes   
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3662 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:59 pm

OK. Thanks for the clarification mods and others. Devastating hurricane no matter how you look at it. Strong 4 /Cat 5 whatever. Effects still the same.

I am just wiped out and left for no more words after tracking this monster.
4 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3900
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3663 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:00 pm

xironman wrote:Rail Dawg missed it by a few miles. But be safe first.


Where did he end up?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11453
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3664 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:00 pm

 https://twitter.com/IrishEagle/status/1050082142397583361


3 likes   
Top
User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3665 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:00 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Whether it was a 4 or 5 at landfall is academic and we will go through data in the offseason. But it's splitting hairs...either way, it will be horrific.


No doubt. I would expect that Mexico Beach is leveled along with Tyndal AFB. And Panama City is likely suffering severe damage.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11453
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3666 Postby GCANE » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:01 pm

Eye from ISS

 https://twitter.com/AstroSerena/status/1050073203182329856


0 likes   
Top
User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3900
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3667 Postby eastcoastFL » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:02 pm

I don't think there is much difference in high end cat for or 5. You can't be more dead or have things more destroyed. When these things are coming you leave. Anything stronger than cat 2 and we get out.
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
WAcyclone
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 352
Joined: Sat Jul 01, 2017 1:56 pm
Location: Perth, Western Australia

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3668 Postby WAcyclone » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:02 pm

 https://twitter.com/dhawblitzel/status/1050077887657926656


8 likes   
Top
User avatar
PTPatrick
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1831
Joined: Sat Jun 12, 2004 8:38 am

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3669 Postby PTPatrick » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:02 pm

If you had ever told me we could have cat 4/5 strengthing to landfall in the panhandle In October i would have said no way... would have said no way last week. Consider the game changed... will no longer consider it a given the NGOM majors will weaken a bit at landfall. Not that it was ever a rule...just seemed to be that way the 100 years or so. But we know Mikey is a greater than 100 year storm.
Last edited by PTPatrick on Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
5 likes   
Top
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7177
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:
Contact jlauderdal

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3670 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:03 pm

EquusStorm wrote:Remember when we had a 13 year gap between category four US landfalls? Good times
remember back in every june and july we get the season cancel posts :roll:
7 likes   
Top
User avatar
MississippiWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1696
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3671 Postby MississippiWx » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:04 pm

No one could have expected this. This will go down as a Category 5. I am so worried about loss of life due to underestimation of the strength of Michael.
5 likes   
This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2521
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3672 Postby xironman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:04 pm

eastcoastFL wrote:
xironman wrote:Rail Dawg missed it by a few miles. But be safe first.


Where did he end up?


Parking garage in PC. Concrete and height are your friends.
2 likes   
Top
KBBOCA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1559
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 5:27 am
Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3673 Postby KBBOCA » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:05 pm



These pictures are just unreal.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3674 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:05 pm

@ericfisher — Panama City is getting raked. Long time being spent in the eyewall. Eye itself went right over Tyndall AFB. #Michael
1 likes   
The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1172
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3675 Postby Buck » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:06 pm

Mexico Beach is such a sweet, calm little spot. Hopefully it doesn't look like I fear it will in a few more hours.
0 likes   
Top
newtotex
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 231
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:19 pm
Location: Denton, Tx

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3676 Postby newtotex » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:07 pm

Has anyone heard anything about Port St. Joe? I know some people who are riding out the storm about a mile inland
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2838
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3677 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:07 pm

Question. Do they normally issue extreme wind warnings along with hurricane warnings? I don't remember ever seeing that before, and I thought they just issued hurricane warnings for landfalls. The only extreme wind warnings I've seen before were for non-tropical systems.
0 likes   
Top
xironman
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2521
Joined: Sun Jun 10, 2007 4:53 pm
Location: NoVA

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3678 Postby xironman » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:08 pm

AnnularCane wrote:Question. Do they normally issue extreme wind warnings along with hurricane warnings? I don't remember ever seeing that before, and I thought they just issued hurricane warnings for landfalls. The only extreme wind warnings I've seen before were for non-tropical systems.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_wind_warning
0 likes   
Top
supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3679 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:08 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Whether it was a 4 or 5 at landfall is academic and we will go through data in the offseason. But it's splitting hairs...either way, it will be horrific.

Hope we can get some good pressure readings in the eye. Too bad the station at Tyndall went down. The landfall pressure could be as low as 915mb
1 likes   
Top
StormPyrate
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 278
Joined: Sun May 27, 2018 8:41 pm
Location: Clearwater, FL

Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3680 Postby StormPyrate » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:09 pm

Anyone got a good local news feed. I lost the one out of PCB
now best I can do is Tallahassee
0 likes   
St Petersburg Florida
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2018”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 46 guests