ATL: MICHAEL - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Cerlin
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3721 Postby Cerlin » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:30 pm

Praying for everyone affected by this insane cane...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3722 Postby Sanibel » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:30 pm

There's a pretty solid concrete hotel structure up the road from him in Mexico Beach...I don't think he would have made it because all hell was breaking loose by the time they bailed...But the land does rise 10 feet behind that house they found...
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3723 Postby supercane4867 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:31 pm

What land?

Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3724 Postby taveanator » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:31 pm

His wife also said he's OK according to the last time they talked.

https://www.facebook.com/Twistedmama4?_ ... Bc&fref=nf

SeaBrz_FL wrote:
jdjaguar wrote:
NDG wrote:Pray for Brett Adair!!!!

Who was the guy on the cell phone that told him to go back to Mexico Beach from Port ST. Joe?

I've been watching Adair the whole morning.

I knew that was a grave error and shouted at the screen...NO!

It was unbelievable how quickly that surge came in.

This should be required viewing for all those who say they are gonna

"ride it out"

I'm sick to my stomach.

Praying for Adair and his friend.


I know this topic has gone on for pages, but since I posted the original link here hours ago (and listened to the end), maybe this will answer the questions and end it.

1. Brett is part of the Live Storm Chasing Team and they had chaser trucks stretched from PCB to Pt St Joe.
2. Brett was the furthest east in PSJ, but the coordinator asked him to come up to Mex Beach. You could tell he wasn't sure about and asked a few questions about conditions especially surge.
3. They finally agreed to head to MB, but stopped to check out conditions in a neighborhood halfway.
4. The coordinator called again and sounded a bit upset because they weren't at MB yet.
5. They weren't in MB for more than 10 minutes before the surge started. His partner (passenger) panicked and opened the door to jump out. Brett yelled at him not to go and told him "worst thing you can do", but he went anyway.
6. Never did hear Brett actually leave the truck, but assume he did since there was no human sound inside the truck after that.
7. I am quite sure the footage is in a data cloud somewhere.

Hoping for the best.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3725 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:33 pm

1 "Labor Day" 1935 892 mbar (hPa)
2 Camille 1969 900 mbar (hPa)
tie Gilbert 1988 900 mb (hPa)
4 Dean 2007 905 mbar (hPa)
5 "Cuba" 1924 910 mbar (hPa)
6 Janet 1955 914 mbar (hPa)
tie Irma 2017 914 mbar (hPa)
8 "Cuba" 1932 918 mbar (hPa)
9 Michael 2018 919 mbar (hPa)

Unless latest stats change THIS is the official ranking of most intense landfalling pressure/hurricanes.
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Flossy 56 Audrey 57 Hilda 64* Betsy 65* Camille 69* Edith 71 Carmen 74 Bob 79 Danny 85 Elena 85 Juan 85 Florence 88 Andrew 92*, Opal 95, Danny 97, Georges 98*, Isidore 02, Lili 02, Ivan 04, Cindy 05*, Dennis 05, Katrina 05*, Gustav 08*, Isaac 12*, Nate 17, Barry 19, Cristobal 20, Marco, 20, Sally, 20, Zeta 20*, Claudette 21 IDA* 21 Francine *24

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3726 Postby meriland29 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:33 pm

i don't see any signs of it weakening....at all...since inland. Can someone verify that? are cities 30 miles inland going to get pretty much cat 5 weather just like the coast?
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3727 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:33 pm

:uarrow: If you were to show me that satellite image before today I would say no way is it real. Michael makes his own rules.

Interaction with the front must have been absolutely perfect to enhance poleward outflow and minimize shear since at least early this morning, probably longer.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3728 Postby birdwomn » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:33 pm

tolakram wrote:
SeaBrz_FL wrote:I know this topic has gone on for pages, but since I posted the original link here hours ago (and listened to the end), maybe this will answer the questions and end it.

1. Brett is part of the Live Storm Chasing Team and they had chaser trucks stretched from PCB to Pt St Joe.
2. Brett was the furthest east in PSJ, but the coordinator asked him to come up to Mex Beach. You could tell he wasn't sure about and asked a few questions about conditions especially surge.
3. They finally agreed to head to MB, but stopped to check out conditions in a neighborhood halfway.
4. The coordinator called again and sounded a bit upset because they weren't at MB yet.
5. They weren't in MB for more than 10 minutes before the surge started. His partner (passenger) panicked and opened the door to jump out. Brett yelled at him not to go and told him "worst thing you can do", but he went anyway.
6. Never did hear Brett actually leave the truck, but assume he did since there was no human sound inside the truck after that.
7. I am quite sure the footage is in a data cloud somewhere.

Hoping for the best.



Sheesh. That coordinator needs ... something.


I found the following on twitter: https://twitter.com/i/status/1050077073128259584
https://twitter.com/i/status/1050075646821638144

Very frightening!
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3729 Postby ChucktownStormer » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:36 pm

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3730 Postby Nasdaq » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:36 pm

Impossible to know if they are OK, and still getting pummeled by wind and surge


A whole house was ripped apart in #Mexico Beach, #Florida. Here is video of parts of the home washing up to other properties. This is one powerful storm. #HurricaneMichael. (via Talarico Tessa) #Hurricane #mexicobeach

https://twitter.com/WFLAJosh/status/1050088489969229824
Last edited by Nasdaq on Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:44 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3731 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:36 pm

From a distance, the best it's ever looked.

Image
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3732 Postby dhweather » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:37 pm

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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3733 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:38 pm



Dropped over shallow water so not accurate IMO, but may be enough evidence to support it.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3734 Postby Ken711 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:38 pm



Eye looks as intact as it was over water.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3735 Postby Ken711 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:40 pm

tolakram wrote:From a distance, the best it's ever looked.

https://i.imgur.com/qPYgnlT.png


What a monster! The Gulf waters sure provided the fuel for Michael.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3736 Postby La Sirena » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:40 pm

meriland29 wrote:i don't see any signs of it weakening....at all...since inland. Can someone verify that? are cities 30 miles inland going to get pretty much cat 5 weather just like the coast?

I would like to know lol. We’re 86 miles N of PCB roughly. We have a huge branch that came through our pool cage at 10 am CST. Lost internet and cable at noon. We know it’s gojng to get a lot worse later for us. Looking at some pretty crazy winds.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3737 Postby BobHarlem » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:41 pm

Wow the damage even well inland is going to be significant based on how that eye looks. Andrew went over everglades, this one isn't.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3738 Postby meriland29 » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:41 pm

How is this not weakening ....at all???
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3739 Postby tolakram » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:42 pm

La Sirena wrote:
meriland29 wrote:i don't see any signs of it weakening....at all...since inland. Can someone verify that? are cities 30 miles inland going to get pretty much cat 5 weather just like the coast?

I would like to know lol. We’re 86 miles N of PCB roughly. We have a huge branch that came through our pool cage at 10 am CST. Lost internet and cable at noon. We know it’s gojng to get a lot worse later for us. Looking at some pretty crazy winds.


This has never happened. Have to look back at Camille or maybe Katrina, but Katrina came in weaker with a HUGE windfield so I don't know if it can be a good comparison. Andrew skirted over south Florida so no real comparison there either.
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Re: ATL: MICHAEL - Hurricane - Discussion

#3740 Postby newtotex » Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:43 pm

tolakram wrote:
La Sirena wrote:
meriland29 wrote:i don't see any signs of it weakening....at all...since inland. Can someone verify that? are cities 30 miles inland going to get pretty much cat 5 weather just like the coast?

I would like to know lol. We’re 86 miles N of PCB roughly. We have a huge branch that came through our pool cage at 10 am CST. Lost internet and cable at noon. We know it’s gojng to get a lot worse later for us. Looking at some pretty crazy winds.


This has never happened. Have to look back at Camille or maybe Katrina, but Katrina came in weaker with a HUGE windfield so I don't know if it can be a good comparison. Andrew skirted over south Florida so no real comparison there either.



It also seems this hurricane will be going through more rural areas where the building codes are not up to standards, that's something to consider as well
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