Texas Winter 2018-2019

[Brent]

I'm up in Bethel Alaska for business purposes. Presently 3 degrees and heavy snowfall. Talk about a shock to your system! I've attempted to attach a couple of photos from my walk to the store yesterday.https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20190106/65006f5cebd20b8ab397687babbcb000.jpg https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20190106/4eb6edb8ed80cd1703db5ccd85d0cc9b.jpg

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Amazing

[Haris]

hey, at least we have another big rainmaker on the way Friday. Prelim. totals look to be around 1 - 3" across the eastern 2/3rds of the state.

So far... I've seen nearly 9" of rain since the start of meteorological winter in the Western Austin area...

[spencer817]

JB is using Dallas as one of his 8 test sites for the upcoming weeks, for snowfall and temps. He expects temps to be -10F compared to climo and above average snowfall for those 8 starting at the end of January going into Feb.

[harp]

JB is using Dallas as one of his 8 test sites for the upcoming weeks, for snowfall and temps. He expects temps to be -10F compared to climo and above average snowfall for those 8 starting at the end of January going into Feb.

He said this today?

[spencer817]

JB is using Dallas as one of his 8 test sites for the upcoming weeks, for snowfall and temps. He expects temps to be -10F compared to climo and above average snowfall for those 8 starting at the end of January going into Feb.

He said this today?

Yup, check out his most recent article if you have premium.

[harp]

JB is using Dallas as one of his 8 test sites for the upcoming weeks, for snowfall and temps. He expects temps to be -10F compared to climo and above average snowfall for those 8 starting at the end of January going into Feb.

He said this today?

Yup, check out his most recent article if you have premium.

Ok. No, I don't have premium. I do watch his daily videos. Nothing today, however.

[hriverajr]

Quiet in here.

[Cerlin]

Quiet in here.

Most of our winter won’t happen for a few weeks so not much to discuss, unfortunately...

[harp]

The new GFS also dumps the cold at the end.

[Brent]

Quiet in here.

I'm in NYC on vacation havent had snow here in weeks

[bubba hotep]

I wonder if this could get picked up by the next system

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DwA1KysWkAA90MP.jpg

Moisture associated with this is crossing the State tonight but the lower layers of the atmosphere are very dry across most of the state. Also, the main lift with the shortwave that picked up the Pacific moisture is passing well to our north.

[bubba hotep]

00z GFS looking juiced up for this next system across DFW. Too bad there is no cold air lol

[bubba hotep]

That is an odd look.

[Yukon Cornelius]

00z GFS looking juiced up for this next system across DFW. Too bad there is no cold air lol

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019010700/gfs_apcpn_scus_23.png

I don’t know if the ground up here can even take anymore water. All of the fields are still lakes. Walking across my “front yard” you’ll sink to your ankles and since it’s gotten warm everything has that weird mildew smell. I vote no.

[orangeblood]

That is an odd look.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019010700/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_53.png

Yes it is!!!! Considering we are seeing daily records being set with the weakest mean zonal wind ever set at 10 hPa 60N (-8.8m/s, previous record was -5.1 m/s set in 1985), this shouldn't be too surprising to see on the long range models....it's a big time Strat Warm event that should have major consequences to NH weather moving forward. Once coupling occurs with propagation down to surface, would not be surprised to start seeing 1060 plus HPs showing up in Canada consistently on long range models!!

[Snowman67]

That is an odd look.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019010700/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_53.png

Yes it is!!!! Considering we are seeing daily records being set with the weakest mean zonal wind ever set at 10 hPa 60N (-8.8m/s, previous record was -5.1 m/s set in 1985), this shouldn't be too surprising to see on the long range models....it's a big time Strat Warm event that should have major consequences to NH weather moving forward. Would not be surprised to start seeing 1060 plus HPs showing up in Canada consistently on long range models!!

1056 showing up at the US -Canadian border (near the Montana/North Dakota border)on the 06Z GFS at hour 372

[orangeblood]

That is an odd look.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2019010700/gfs_z500aNorm_namer_53.png

Yes it is!!!! Considering we are seeing daily records being set with the weakest mean zonal wind ever set at 10 hPa 60N (-8.8m/s, previous record was -5.1 m/s set in 1985), this shouldn't be too surprising to see on the long range models....it's a big time Strat Warm event that should have major consequences to NH weather moving forward. Would not be surprised to start seeing 1060 plus HPs showing up in Canada consistently on long range models!!

1056 showing up at the US -Canadian border (near the Montana/North Dakota border)on the 06Z GFS at hour 372

1062 on the FV3

[Ralph's Weather]

GEFS looking cold for the end of the month. Hopefully a storm or two will find its way under that big western ridge, but we are way too far out to start watching for that very seriously.

[funster]

Went for a walk early this January morning before the sun was up and it was like 65 degrees. That shouldn't even be the high.

[orangeblood]

Went for a walk early this January morning before the sun was up and it was like 65 degrees. That shouldn't even be the high.

Enjoy it! After this warmup, it might be quite awhile before we see temps such as these!