Ntxw wrote:Captmorg70 wrote:Anyone seen the 00z 3k Nam? Can’t figure out how to post pictures tonight... but it’s really strange. It almost looks like a thin squall line/thunderstorm line that is snow instead of rain in NTX
It is essentially a band of fairly moderate QPF. Won't last long maybe an hour's worth that quickly moves through between 4-6AM depending on location. It shows the upper column sufficiently cold for a changeover especially north of I-20 despite ground temperatures above freezing. Wise, Denton, Collin counties northward likely sees more, perhaps a dusting on the run (this is not going to be 10:1).
Now if you're looking for a surprise that maybe last a little longer we would hope for the ULL to be stronger and able to create more lift than any model currently indicates.
Is the ULL stronger on the RAP and that's why there are intense rates a bit further south?