Texas Spring 2019
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Ntxw wrote:bubba hotep wrote:Wwlp, here comes the models drying up for Texas part lol
Timing isn't that great either for severe. Maybe a good passing band of rain early morning? More potent svr event in dixie more likely.
Agreed.
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- Tireman4
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS is "running late" today, according to Ryan Maue.
Is this an "uhh oh" moment or just it happens every once in a while?
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Tireman4 wrote:wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS is "running late" today, according to Ryan Maue.
Is this an "uhh oh" moment or just it happens every once in a while?
It's running now - out to 150 hrs. Programmers there had to input the correct heights of my two walls before running it.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
wxman57 wrote:Tireman4 wrote:wxman57 wrote:12Z GFS is "running late" today, according to Ryan Maue.
Is this an "uhh oh" moment or just it happens every once in a while?
It's running now - out to 150 hrs. Programmers there had to input the correct heights of my two walls before running it.
I am working on a plan and a team to build a wall to the east and west to keep the summer ridge of death from camping over Texas. Take that!
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- wxman57
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
BrokenGlass wrote:wxman57 wrote:Tireman4 wrote:
Is this an "uhh oh" moment or just it happens every once in a while?
It's running now - out to 150 hrs. Programmers there had to input the correct heights of my two walls before running it.
I am working on a plan and a team to build a wall to the east and west to keep the summer ridge of death from camping over Texas. Take that!
Good luck with that. The ridge is an upper-level feature, as opposed to shallow (surface) cold air. A wall won't work. Besides, as long as the summer high temps reach 85F I'm happy.
Looking at the 12Z GFS, we may have quite a severe weather event across Texas next Tuesday afternoon/evening.
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- TheProfessor
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Brent wrote:Huge blizzard in the east on the first day of spring on the 0z gfs
Can we get a west trend
Like a superstorm 1993 redux![]()
https://i.ibb.co/BGsVX5F/gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-us-51-1.png
If you mean west by 30-50 miles than sure, but I want my big snow storm


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Your local National Weather Service office is your best source for weather information.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Tuesday into Next Wednesday looks like a more significant event than Saturday
Of course, there's also more time for it to trend drier
Of course, there's also more time for it to trend drier

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#neversummer
Re: Texas Spring 2019
wxman57 wrote:BrokenGlass wrote:wxman57 wrote:
It's running now - out to 150 hrs. Programmers there had to input the correct heights of my two walls before running it.
I am working on a plan and a team to build a wall to the east and west to keep the summer ridge of death from camping over Texas. Take that!
Good luck with that. The ridge is an upper-level feature, as opposed to shallow (surface) cold air. A wall won't work. Besides, as long as the summer high temps reach 85F I'm happy.
Looking at the 12Z GFS, we may have quite a severe weather event across Texas next Tuesday afternoon/evening.
Just for you, I hope the death ridge places itself squarely over SE Texas, that way, no hurricanes, and you get your heat.

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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
South Texas Storms wrote:The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
There looks to be a squall line. I’m more interested to see if there will be discrete supercells ahead of the line.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
South Texas Storms wrote:The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
I'm so ready

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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Brent wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
I'm so readyKicking winter to the curb
18z GFS has snow in N. Texas lol
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
bubba hotep wrote:Brent wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
I'm so readyKicking winter to the curb
18z GFS has snow in N. Texas lol

Fake news
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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Brent wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
I'm so readyKicking winter to the curb
What winter???? I told you back in November that it would not snow in DFW this past winter.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
aggiecutter wrote:Brent wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:The latest model guidance is in pretty good agreement that we could see our first severe thunderstorm event of the year across much of the state next Tuesday/Wednesday. 12z Euro looks quite impressive, with a deep trough kicking out with a negative tilt across Texas.
I'm so readyKicking winter to the curb
What winter???? I told you back in November that it would not snow in DFW this past winter.
the seemingly endless 34 and rain we had was our winter...

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#neversummer
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
SoupBone wrote:Just for you, I hope the death ridge places itself squarely over SE Texas, that way, no hurricanes, and you get your heat.
Why, thank you, SoupBone! Can you move it over me next week?
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2019
Days 10-14 on the GEFS



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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Spring 2019
All the stuff that was trying to bud out prematurely has surely paid the price in NTX. Still not much leafing. The recent cold/hard freeze is keeping everything dormant. With the models trending for a chilly second half, may have to start thinking about top 10 coldest March.
Heat Miser's wall is not doing the job. Got to do better.
Heat Miser's wall is not doing the job. Got to do better.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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