Texas Spring 2019

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cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#581 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Apr 06, 2019 8:49 am

Brent wrote:lol glancing at some hi res models now who knows if it will even rain

this is pathetic

HRRR is showing very poor run-run consistency and the 6z NAM is not panning out. I don't think these models have a very good idea of what is going on.
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bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#582 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:17 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Brent wrote:lol glancing at some hi res models now who knows if it will even rain

this is pathetic

HRRR is showing very poor run-run consistency and the 6z NAM is not panning out. I don't think these models have a very good idea of what is going on.


Yea, 12z 3k NAM is like, "ok, that didn't work, let's try this and see what happens"
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#583 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:22 am

Well, ahhhhhh, hmmmmm, No Sir, I dont like it. :grr:
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#584 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:37 am

Best looking radar in a long time for DFW!

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#585 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:39 am

From @wxmanted

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#586 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:43 am

Latest run of the HRRR some how manages to kill all these storms in the next few minutes and leaves most of DFW dry??

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#587 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:57 am

Thundering and starting to rain.. :ggreen:
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#588 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Apr 06, 2019 10:47 am

Decent rain for all of 10 min, then just light rain. Looks to be past me to the east now.

Forecast for another chance of heavy rain for later today looks to only be east Texas now, with 20% or less chance of any measurable rain across the DFW area.

We desperately need a all day moderate rain event to recover form the early onset of drought.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#589 Postby Shoshana » Sat Apr 06, 2019 10:51 am

They just issued a tornado watch for Central Texas until 6 pm
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#590 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Apr 06, 2019 11:38 am

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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#591 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Apr 06, 2019 2:29 pm

Soil cracks to standing water in a matter of hours. 1.5 inches and counting. We need it!

Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning
TXC453-491-062200-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.W.0001.190406T1905Z-190406T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
205 PM CDT Sat Apr 6 2019

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Williamson County in south central Texas...
Northeastern Travis County in south central Texas...

* Until 500 PM CDT.

* At 202 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Isolated totals up to three
inches of rain have already fallen. Flash flooding is expected to
begin shortly.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Austin, Round Rock, Cedar Park, Georgetown, Pflugerville, Taylor,
Elgin, Granger, Anderson Mill, Serenada, Windemere, Leander, Hutto,
Manor, Hudson Bend, Bartlett, Jarrell, Thrall, Weir and Georgetown
Dam.

Additional rainfall amounts of two to three inches are possible as
the next batch of heavy rainfall moves into the warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

&&

LAT...LON 3073 9727 3056 9720 3041 9738 3025 9747
3041 9793 3087 9765 3087 9763
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#592 Postby Haris » Sat Apr 06, 2019 4:03 pm

Image
Image
[
Was honestly skeptic but we scored! 3.4”** officially in Austin (Mabry) . More tom. Under a flood watch.
Last edited by Haris on Sat Apr 06, 2019 6:00 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#593 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Apr 06, 2019 4:21 pm

Another big medium range model bust for DFW. Models were consistently showing 2-3" rain across DFW from multiple rounds of storms this weekend. It looks like the airport officially picked up 1/3" with hi-res models showing little to no more rain this weekend. Models continue to improve in the metrics that they use for tracking that but it feels like they have gotten worse when it comes to precipitation placement and amounts.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#594 Postby TheProfessor » Sat Apr 06, 2019 5:50 pm

Wish I could send some rain down yall's way. We've had plenty of it this winter and spring so far.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#595 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sat Apr 06, 2019 7:16 pm

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#596 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:35 pm

One chase day, one tornado! Not a bad start to my chase year I must say.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#597 Postby JDawg512 » Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:42 pm

Just under 2 inches here at the Rain Cave. Seeing lots of lighting over the last hour and a half as a storm developed in Hays and basically has been sitting or very slowly moving to the northeast. On the northern edge but just in the last few minutes seeing frequent lighting overhead.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#598 Postby weatherdude1108 » Sun Apr 07, 2019 7:28 am

Lots of lightning and thunder to my south. Light rain now.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#599 Postby Haris » Sun Apr 07, 2019 9:26 am

Image
Image
Law Enforcement has shut down I-35 @ US 183 just north of Austin.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#600 Postby Shoshana » Sun Apr 07, 2019 11:00 am

Coming into work this morning around 8:30 am, the water on Parmer crossing Lamar in the middle lane was deep enough to kick in my traction control.... oh and the shutdown on 35 is in Austin, North Austin, 35 near Rundburg just north of 183
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