2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
We can see our newly upgraded TD 03W south of Guam while another one is near the dateline that the models have been so reluctant on. Keeps it weak like the others.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Just rolling along.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Maybe this is the real deal this time?
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Soon as the -VP200 anomalies fully concentrate over the WPAC, the models will start spawning some bad boys.
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RIP Kobe Bryant
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Looks like models are now acting up.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Yeah EURO is now in agreement with GFS on a potential storm around the first week of April.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Models still hinting on a possible TC formation east of the Philippines or south of Guam. Keeps it weak though.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
During the next two weeks as the remnant MJO signal moves over the Pacific, tropical cyclone formation is possible over the Northwestern Pacific, east of Guam. There is moderate confidence for formation in this region during Week-1.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Little change in forecast scenario for the three islands on this
side of Micronesia. Pohnpei remains within the northeast
convergence side of the trough to the south. Scattered showers can
be expected to last another 24 hours before the weather weakens
and pushes farther to the west. Kosrae also should be seeing less
periods of heavy rain by Friday. Recent satellite imagery shows
the near equatorial trough less concentrated and this is also
supported by today`s ASCAT scatterometer with little evidence of
an actual surface circulation. The GFS model has finally weakened
its development of any disturbance coming out of this and is now
closer to that of the ECMWF. There is still a chance of a couple
more spurts of energy coming out of this area and so its still
bares watching as the mid- to lower- tropospheric wind field
remains anchored in this location.
Following the above scenario for Eastern Micronesia, Chuuk
forecast remains relatively unchanged although timing of events
are bit more subjective. Even without a closed surface
circulation, models...both GFS and ECMWF...put some vorticity
(periods of scattered showers) over the region this weekend,
Friday through Sunday. Don`t expect much more than that.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Super typhoon a risk for Macau in 2019: weather bureau
Two super typhoons struck Macau in little more than a 12-month period recently, after a half-century of relatively milder storms.
Two super typhoons struck Macau in little more than a 12-month period recently, after a half-century of relatively milder storms.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
https://www.hko.gov.hk/press/WP/2019/pre20190321.htm
On the annual weather outlook for Hong Kong in 2019, the tropical cyclone season may start in or after June this year. It is expected that there will be four to seven tropical cyclones coming within 500km of Hong Kong, which is normal. The annual rainfall is expected to be normal or above normal. Members of the public are reminded to take precautions in a timely manner.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
WPAC spewing out invest after invest. When is the next real deal?
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
TC development in this region is favored mostly by the GEFS and UK models whereas the ECMWF does not show significant development. Interested parties, especially those in Guam, are encouraged to consult local forecast offices and tropical cyclone forecast centers for the latest updates.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Nothing on the latest GFS and EURO runs.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Big mess down there.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
Looks like GFS is trying to wake up the basin middle to long range.
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Re: 2019 WPAC Season
GFS drops all sorts of development...
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