SE CONUS Coast Watch - Now 97L

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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#121 Postby NDG » Fri Aug 16, 2019 12:42 pm

Northerly shear already affecting the weak elongated vortex, the convection keeps pushing south. Surface pressures in this area are couple of mb higher than yesterday which were already high.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#122 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Aug 16, 2019 12:45 pm

getting obliterated here in Tampa. Tornado's are touching down
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#123 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 16, 2019 12:46 pm

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:getting obliterated here in Tampa. Tornado's are touching down



yeah tornado threat will likely increase as the circ becomes more defined.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#124 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Aug 16, 2019 12:51 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:getting obliterated here in Tampa. Tornado's are touching down



yeah tornado threat will likely increase as the circ becomes more defined.


yeah. its getting real bad. Well the rain part is. Tornado is done
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#125 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 16, 2019 12:59 pm

A very broad circulation for sure. Covers a large area of the Suwanee River Valley at the current time. I am increasingly worried about heavy rainfall later tonight and overnight as this system moves through the area. An interesting night ahead to monitor for sure.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#126 Postby LarryWx » Fri Aug 16, 2019 1:07 pm

A thin line of very heavy showers developed overhead here in SAV and showers within it are training thus resulting in 1"+ in just the last 30 minutes! It is still coming down heavily. street flooding is undoubtedly occurring. Only occasional rumbles of thunder.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#127 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 16, 2019 1:10 pm

northjaxpro wrote:A very broad circulation for sure. It covers a most of the area of the Suwanee River Valley at the current time. I am increasingly worried about heavy rainfall later tonight and overnight as this system moves through the area. An interesting night ahead to monitor for sure.


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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#128 Postby psyclone » Fri Aug 16, 2019 1:35 pm

Thankfully Dmin is working its magic and convection is weakening. We did have a short fused tornado warning for part of Hillsborough county but as is often the case it appeared to be a false alarm with no reports of damage. Things look to be improving locally with only light intermittent rain and temps in the mid to upper 70's...which is as good as it gets for an August afternoon.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#129 Postby LarryWx » Fri Aug 16, 2019 2:11 pm

LarryWx wrote:A thin line of very heavy showers developed overhead here in SAV and showers within it are training thus resulting in 1"+ in just the last 30 minutes! It is still coming down heavily. street flooding is undoubtedly occurring. Only occasional rumbles of thunder.


For the subsequent hour, it rained heavily on and off. I ended up with an impressive ~2.6" in just 1.5 hours (1:30-3PM). Whereas two days ago gave us the storm of the summer so far in terms of the combo of CTG lightning, winds, and rains combined, today has given us the heaviest rains of the summer to date due to training of storms. There has been no CTG lightning of note and winds have been light. Just mainly beneficial rains. Still light rain falling.

Edit: In just the last 3 days, I've received ~4.5" with rain still falling lightly and more likely to come over the next couple of days. This should take care of watering needs for perhaps the rest of the hot season.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#130 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 16, 2019 2:15 pm

:uarrow: You are getting the outer rain band rotating toward the circulation center. Impressive rain totals Larry up your way. These rain bands and cells can dump a lot of rain in a short period of time. That is the big concern now and tonight across my area as well later. A very moisture -rich tropical laden atmosphere we are in right now.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#131 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Fri Aug 16, 2019 2:31 pm

psyclone wrote:Thankfully Dmin is working its magic and convection is weakening. We did have a short fused tornado warning for part of Hillsborough county but as is often the case it appeared to be a false alarm with no reports of damage. Things look to be improving locally with only light intermittent rain and temps in the mid to upper 70's...which is as good as it gets for an August afternoon.


There was definitely a brief spin up in Port of Tampa area/Picnic island area but it never touched the ground which prompted the warnings.

A few fronds and limbs are the only casualties
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#132 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 16, 2019 2:55 pm

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:
psyclone wrote:Thankfully Dmin is working its magic and convection is weakening. We did have a short fused tornado warning for part of Hillsborough county but as is often the case it appeared to be a false alarm with no reports of damage. Things look to be improving locally with only light intermittent rain and temps in the mid to upper 70's...which is as good as it gets for an August afternoon.


There was definitely a brief spin up in Port of Tampa area/Picnic island area but it never touched the ground which prompted the warnings.

A few fronds and limbs are the only casualties


The band building offshore and those individuals cells have been showing some more rotation.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#133 Postby psyclone » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:00 pm

Yeah I jinxed us with heavy rain reloading offshore and quickly headed for land. Tampa bay up through the nature coast looks to be in the line of fire for another dump of heavy rain...
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#134 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:08 pm

Cell sw of bradenton is rotating.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#135 Postby ronjon » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:09 pm

psyclone wrote:Yeah I jinxed us with heavy rain reloading offshore and quickly headed for land. Tampa bay up through the nature coast looks to be in the line of fire for another dump of heavy rain...


Yeah I've received 13+ inches since Monday on the coast in Hernando County. And that was as of this morning. I will most likely break 20 inches for the month with half of it go yet.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#136 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:10 pm

New area to watch

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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#137 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:18 pm

ronjon wrote:
psyclone wrote:Yeah I jinxed us with heavy rain reloading offshore and quickly headed for land. Tampa bay up through the nature coast looks to be in the line of fire for another dump of heavy rain...


Yeah I've received 13+ inches since Monday on the coast in Hernando County. And that was as of this morning. I will most likely break 20 inches for the month with half of it go yet.


Extremely impressive rainfall totals down there. Flood concerns aplenty down your way.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#138 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:36 pm

Circ is tightening up wsw of Jacksonville. Radar is showing it nicely.

Assuming it continues to move ene to ne it will end up offshore.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#139 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 16, 2019 3:48 pm

:uarrow: Yeah, I have been monitoring it. A bit elongated northeast to southwest oriented the broad circulation, but yes it is defined for sure.
I will be closely watching the barometric pressures this evening with this system going directly over my region tonight.
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Re: N GOM / SE CONUS Coast Watch

#140 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 16, 2019 5:47 pm

As Psyclone mentioned a short time ago, we are in DMIN currently , so we will see later on this evening what will transpire with this system.

However, one glaring thing I do note this evening is the continental dry air just north and west of this tough axis up across Georgia and the Western Florida Panhandle. Temps reached near 100 degrees in portions of the Florida Panhandle today and across much.of North and Central Georgi today.

I have a feeling that dry air may put the whammy on third system developing any further. We will see if DMAX later tonight will re-fire convection on the system as it moves off the NE FL/SE GA coast late tonight into early tomorrow morning.

Current barometric pressure measured currently here at my home station is at 29.96 inches or at 1014.2 mb.

SW wind 11 mph, with a gust to 15-20 mph at times this past hour.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Fri Aug 16, 2019 7:09 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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