Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM (Is Invest 90L)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Another look at the radar this morning, neat seeing the vorticity taking shape all the sudden.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
This looks much better than 98L at the moment.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Ridge of 5000 CAPE air to the SW is feeding this.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Definitely a surface circulation trying to get going this morning just offshore of Sabine Pass.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
I would go somewhere in this area for it to close off. greatest curvature and also where the mid level vort is and the deepest convection..
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Surface obs along the coast showing sudden shift in winds from S to NE.
Out to sea, winds maintaining SW.
Out to sea, winds maintaining SW.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
I have to hand it to the Mesoscale models they have been doing well with these close in systems.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Looks like something is very rapidly taking shape in the area I circled. surface obs are slowly shifting to something in that area.. and radar is showing increased rotation.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Aric Dunn wrote:Looks like something is very rapidly taking shape in the area I circled. surface obs are slowly shifting to something in that area.. and radar is showing increased rotation.
Yep, is developing even further offshore than I thought giving it more time over water.
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cycloneye
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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wxman57
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Very weak low south of Sabine Pass. Should be inland this afternoon. NHC isn't even mentioning this disturbance. Looking like all the rain will miss me to the east. 
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Circ quickly coming together.. the surface obs alonf the LA coast have switched to east and ESE.. so a llc likely organizing ese of Galvaston..
slow motion to the ene to NE. has time to do its thing.
slow motion to the ene to NE. has time to do its thing.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Anyone else see the creepy Skull face ... lol
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Haha, we're not even getting any rain in North Houston, nothing at the moment.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Florida1118
Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
Appears to be 90L now; Special TWO issued
Surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that a low pressure area has formed just off the upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity shows signs of organization. However, the system is likely to move inland over eastern Texas and western Louisiana before significant development can occur. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally heavy rains to portions of Louisiana and eastern Texas during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
Surface observations and satellite imagery indicate that a low pressure area has formed just off the upper Texas and southwestern Louisiana coasts. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity shows signs of organization. However, the system is likely to move inland over eastern Texas and western Louisiana before significant development can occur. Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally heavy rains to portions of Louisiana and eastern Texas during the next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
SoupBone wrote:Haha, we're not even getting any rain in North Houston, nothing at the moment.
Unless the sun can produce some magic, doesn’t seem like any of us will.
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Re: Disturbed Weather in North-NorthWestern GOM
USTropics wrote:This is now 90L
Hahaha, I hope Cyclone doesn't make us move to another thread for this thing.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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