ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2367
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#761 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:03 pm

Evenstar wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
sma10 wrote:
"Her"?


That's a boys name? :lol:


According to Oscar Wilde (and I rather trust his judgment on these things), Dorian is indeed a gent.


Well if you were ever a Soap Opera fan..."One Life to Live" would beg to differ (that was a long time ago) :cheesy:
5 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#762 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:08 pm

For real though. Looking st recon sampling the surrounding environment... that is some seriously dry mid levels. Amazing how this is producing so much convection.

Alao looks likes its about to explode again.
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
4 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
Evenstar
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 186
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:11 pm
Location: Chesapeake, Virginia

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#763 Postby Evenstar » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:10 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Evenstar wrote:
toad strangler wrote:
That's a boys name? :lol:


According to Oscar Wilde (and I rather trust his judgment on these things), Dorian is indeed a gent.


Well if you were ever a Soap Opera fan..."One Life to Live" would beg to differ (that was a long time ago) :cheesy:


LOL. I think I'll stick with Oscar... :wink:
0 likes   
I never received my Hogwarts letter, so I'm leaving the Shire and becoming a Sith Lord.
Top
User avatar
EquusStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1649
Age: 34
Joined: Thu Nov 07, 2013 1:04 pm
Location: Jasper, AL
Contact:
Contact EquusStorm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#764 Postby EquusStorm » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:12 pm

If it helps as a reminder that Dorian is used as a male name in this case, recall that it replaced Dean after the 2007 season.
2 likes   
Colors of lost purpose on the canvas of irrelevance

Not a meteorologist, in fact more of an idiot than anything. You should probably check with the NHC or a local NWS office for official information.
Top
User avatar
ScottNAtlanta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2367
Joined: Sat May 25, 2013 3:11 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#765 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:16 pm

Evenstar wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Evenstar wrote:
According to Oscar Wilde (and I rather trust his judgment on these things), Dorian is indeed a gent.


Well if you were ever a Soap Opera fan..."One Life to Live" would beg to differ (that was a long time ago) :cheesy:


LOL. I think I'll stick with Oscar... :wink:


Anyone acknowledging that they knew what I was talking about would be seriously dating themselves...I love how you skated around that. :)
1 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5849
Age: 41
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:
Contact Hammy

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#766 Postby Hammy » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:17 pm

So are we not getting any actual low level recon flights?
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#767 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:17 pm

The edge of the center is just coming into radar range.

The new hot tower is visible
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#768 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:18 pm

Hammy wrote:So are we not getting any actual low level recon flights?


730 pm i beleive. So a few more hours.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#769 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:18 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:For real though. Looking st recon sampling the surrounding environment... that is some seriously dry mid levels. Amazing how this is producing so much convection.

Alao looks likes its about to explode again.



However, little to no directional shear and good mid-level lapse rate.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evenstar
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 186
Joined: Mon Aug 11, 2008 1:11 pm
Location: Chesapeake, Virginia

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#770 Postby Evenstar » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:20 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Evenstar wrote:
ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Well if you were ever a Soap Opera fan..."One Life to Live" would beg to differ (that was a long time ago) :cheesy:


LOL. I think I'll stick with Oscar... :wink:


Anyone acknowledging that they knew what I was talking about would be seriously dating themselves...I love how you skated around that. :)


Bingo, my friend! I ain't sayin' NUTHIN' about whether I remember characters from "One Life to Live"!
1 likes   
I never received my Hogwarts letter, so I'm leaving the Shire and becoming a Sith Lord.
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#771 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:21 pm

GCANE wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:For real though. Looking st recon sampling the surrounding environment... that is some seriously dry mid levels. Amazing how this is producing so much convection.

Alao looks likes its about to explode again.



However, little to no directional shear and good mid-level lapse rate.


Yeah, it still is just right there just north of barbados. Just chilling. Lol
1 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
Ubuntwo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1406
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Oct 05, 2017 10:41 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#772 Postby Ubuntwo » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:21 pm

Still firing new convection despite the extremely dry air. If the system’s history is anything to go off of this will precede a replacement of the convection.
0 likes   
Kendall -> SLO -> PBC

Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#773 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:22 pm

Smokin hot - lightning galore

Image
2 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#774 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:26 pm

0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#775 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:30 pm

This is probably one of the best ventilated systems I have ever seen.
Tons of towers now firing off in a very short time.
IMHO, RI not out of the question.
0 likes   
Top
BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2109
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#776 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:33 pm

 https://twitter.com/splillo/status/1166061476429422593


3 likes   
Top
BobHarlem
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2109
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 6:11 pm

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#777 Postby BobHarlem » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:36 pm

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1166071448839938049


0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#778 Postby GCANE » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:38 pm

These rotating towers showing a warm spot to their left in the circled area.
Likely will see the eye pop here.

Image
2 likes   
Top
crm6360

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#779 Postby crm6360 » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:40 pm

GCANE wrote:This is probably one of the best ventilated systems I have ever seen.
Tons of towers now firing off in a very short time.
IMHO, RI not out of the question.

A couple of towers is not "a ton". RI is not happening until this thing can establish a core. If the GFS is on to something it is more likely to collapse than RI in the next 48 hrs. Given the amount of dry air in midlevels, a collapse is not out of the question.
Last edited by crm6360 on Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
4 likes   
Top
jlauderdal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 7183
Joined: Wed May 19, 2004 5:46 am
Location: NE Fort Lauderdale
Contact:
Contact jlauderdal

Re: ATL: DORIAN - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#780 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:41 pm

GCANE wrote:Smokin hot - lightning galore

https://i.imgur.com/n8Uikhj.png
all that dry air around makes for a good lighting environment, dont think we see any rapid intensification anytime soon, maybe in the Bahamas, maybe
2 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Majestic-12 [Bot] and 4 guests