norva13x wrote:Cpv17 wrote:supercane4867 wrote:https://i.imgur.com/xCAEFc5.png
I can’t see this going that far north. SFL is much more likely and even the Keys are more likely than CFL or NFL. Storms just don’t ever hit that part of Florida from the east like that. It’s not completely unlikely, but I doubt that’ll happen.
How can CFL be more unlikely than the Keys when it is smack in the middle of the cone and some of the Keys aren't even in it? Just because it is rare doesn't mean anything to current condition. The cone could shift and I am not saying one will definitely happen but that is a bold statement to make.
Because of past storms. When has CFL ever taken a direct hit like that from the east? Look how many times it has happened to SFL compared to CFL. I know every situation is different, but the ridging will be strong to its north. It’s not going to plow into a ridge. Stronger storms feel the ridge, buck it, then hook sharply to the west or wsw around it.