ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3761 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:16 pm

That's one of the more rapid drops in a while. Unless an EWRC takes over soon I don't think we are close to bottoming out. At that rate will likely see an even further drop on subsequent passes.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3762 Postby psyclone » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:16 pm

Looks can be deceiving but many times they aren't. Dorian is doing it appeared to be doing...undergoing explosive intensification.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3763 Postby Monsoonjr99 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:17 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:Yeah this thing is about to explode. Scared to see what it will look like tomorrow morning. This is a disaster for the NW Bahamas.


Looks like it already is.
Last edited by Monsoonjr99 on Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Some Californian who codes things and tracks weather.

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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3764 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:17 pm

AF307 on the way from Miami
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3765 Postby Hurricane Andrew » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:17 pm

All I did was leave for one standby...

Wow.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3766 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:18 pm

supercane4867 wrote:946mb


:eek:
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3767 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:19 pm

Splash 951mb
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3768 Postby Blinhart » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:19 pm

I could see him going for Wilma's records of pressure and also record for wind speed the way he is going when he hasn't hit the Gulf Stream yet.

Could we see a storm get into the 870's and winds around 200?? Highly unlikely but I don't think we can rule it out yet, the way he is intensifying way more than anyone thought.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3769 Postby michelinj » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:20 pm

It’s 12.18am here in england but I don’t want to sleep as recon is going in! Stunningly dangerous storm

Happy hunting, James
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3770 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:21 pm

Last edited by Yellow Evan on Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3771 Postby wx98 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:21 pm

Blinhart wrote:I could see him going for Wilma's records of pressure and also record for wind speed the way he is going when he hasn't hit the Gulf Stream yet.

Could we see a storm get into the 870's and winds around 200?? Highly unlikely but I don't think we can rule it out yet, the way he is intensifying way more than anyone thought.

I highly doubt it. The only place in this basin that could support that would be the western Caribbean
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3772 Postby stormhunter7 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:21 pm

Recon just turned north bound from SE side of Dorian. Should have VDM anytime now.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3773 Postby EquusStorm » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:23 pm

Barring unexpected mitigating factors 930s seems guaranteed and I wouldn't be shocked to see 920s or maybe lower given the time it has left over warm water.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3774 Postby norva13x » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:23 pm

wx98 wrote:
Blinhart wrote:I could see him going for Wilma's records of pressure and also record for wind speed the way he is going when he hasn't hit the Gulf Stream yet.

Could we see a storm get into the 870's and winds around 200?? Highly unlikely but I don't think we can rule it out yet, the way he is intensifying way more than anyone thought.

I highly doubt it. The only place in this basin that could support that would be the western Caribbean


Labor Day of 35 got pretty close in the area. That being said I agree it is unlikely.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3775 Postby MacTavish » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:23 pm

Blinhart wrote:I could see him going for Wilma's records of pressure and also record for wind speed the way he is going when he hasn't hit the Gulf Stream yet.

Could we see a storm get into the 870's and winds around 200?? Highly unlikely but I don't think we can rule it out yet, the way he is intensifying way more than anyone thought.


Its deepening rapidly but please control the sensationalism
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3776 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:24 pm

WV showing one solid mesovort now.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3777 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:24 pm

Blinhart wrote:I could see him going for Wilma's records of pressure and also record for wind speed the way he is going when he hasn't hit the Gulf Stream yet.

Could we see a storm get into the 870's and winds around 200?? Highly unlikely but I don't think we can rule it out yet, the way he is intensifying way more than anyone thought.


Let's not get carried away. There is no need to cause undue panic.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3778 Postby stormhunter7 » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:24 pm

"The dropsonde in #Dorian's eye measured a pressure of 951mb with a 13 kt wind, so the accurate pressure is probably ~950mb."


Image
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3779 Postby WmE » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:25 pm

It really is impressive how warm the eye is.
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Re: ATL: DORIAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#3780 Postby Ntxw » Fri Aug 30, 2019 6:25 pm

norva13x wrote:
wx98 wrote:
Blinhart wrote:I could see him going for Wilma's records of pressure and also record for wind speed the way he is going when he hasn't hit the Gulf Stream yet.

Could we see a storm get into the 870's and winds around 200?? Highly unlikely but I don't think we can rule it out yet, the way he is intensifying way more than anyone thought.

I highly doubt it. The only place in this basin that could support that would be the western Caribbean


Labor Day of 35 got pretty close in the area. That being said I agree it is unlikely.


At its current state, it's not likely at the moment. It's a rather mature system now with a very clear, large eye.

Not surprised recon found deeper pressures given the quick warming of the eye some hours ago and its relative latitude during RI working the inner core. All in Florida should not take this storm lightly.
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