ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[dukeblue219]

Looks like strength is more or less holding firm for now, which for a strong 4 in the Atlantic is impressive enough.

[AtlanticWind]

Moving dead west now for sure , see if it's temporary

[NDG]

Latest Recon pass confirms that Dorian is maintaining its Cat 4 status, and also shows it has not gained any latitude since earlier this afternoon.

225930 2610N 07434W 7517 01980 9415 +183 +167 266003 005 026 000 03
230000 2611N 07432W 7523 01974 9416 +183 +165 184012 017 026 000 00
230030 2612N 07430W 7521 01983 9423 +182 +167 166030 041 042 001 00
230100 2613N 07428W 7532 01997 9458 +177 +165 157073 087 120 003 00
230130 2614N 07426W 7453 02171 9551 +156 //// 149126 136 124 012 01

Center fix:
26.167N 74.567W

[TallyTracker]

36 hours on a westward track, puts it how close to the Florida coast?

It still only puts it around Grand Bahama Island.

[tropicwatch]

Looks like nooa found the center wsw of 5pm position.

[Ian2401]

gotta say, these past few hours have made me rather antsy. dont like how this is playing out for me in WPB

[mpic]

Northjaxpro

To your post on the models thread.
I am debating whether to stay or evacuate
So the proximity to the shore is paramount

I'm not close to being a pro but don't forget how far from center that the damage can be. This is what worries me about friends in Florida who think they are in the clear.

[wx98]

Does anyone think it may have been a little stronger this afternoon and has just slightly weakened back to how it was around lunchtime? The satellite presentation has been better than ever

[supercane4867]

Sunset view

[NDG]

After taking a nice 2 hour nap, nothing like waking up to a beautiful but destructive hurricane on our door step
I pray that loss of life is kept at a minimum if any and all residents have taken all precautions in the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama.
This thing better at least slow down if it is not going to gain much latitude over the next 24 hours before putting a lot of people nervous in FL.

[GCANE]

Red cross is the CoC just tagged by recon.

[Ian2401]

Red cross is the CoC just tagged by recon.

https://i.imgur.com/KjI6VK6.png

well south of forecast points

[PandaCitrus]

HWRF NW on track into Melbourne at 72 hours. No stall or turn yet.

[northjaxpro]

Northjaxpro

To your post on the models thread.
I am debating whether to stay or evacuate
So the proximity to the shore is paramount

I'm not close to being a pro but don't forget how far from center that the damage can be. This is what worries me about friends in Florida who think they are in the clear.

Absolutely.Dorian will only grow in size and if it really gets close on approach in the aŕea with the eyewall. Remember another major concrrn with spproach of hurricane: Tornadoes. Always a concern with approach of hurricanes, especially.if they landfall. Still so much on the table...

[Nimbus]

After taking a nice 2 hour nap, nothing like waking up to a beautiful but destructive hurricane on our door step
I pray that loss of life is kept at a minimum if any and all residents have taken all precautions in the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama.
This thing better at least slow down if it is not going to gain much latitude over the next 24 hours before putting a lot of people nervous in FL.

https://i.imgur.com/2RyysZK.gif

It appears to have slowed but you can't tell the forward speed from the dropsonde placement with such a large eye. Would be nice to get an accurate forward speed as it seems to have slowed down.

[PandaCitrus]

78 Hours HWRF approaching landfall at Cape Canaveral.

[NDG]

After taking a nice 2 hour nap, nothing like waking up to a beautiful but destructive hurricane on our door step
I pray that loss of life is kept at a minimum if any and all residents have taken all precautions in the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama.
This thing better at least slow down if it is not going to gain much latitude over the next 24 hours before putting a lot of people nervous in FL.

https://i.imgur.com/2RyysZK.gif

It appears to have slowed but you can't tell the forward speed from the dropsonde placement with such a large eye. Would be nice to get an accurate forward speed as it seems to have slowed down.

Lol, the eye is not big at all, is only like 15 miles across.

[mutley]

Sunset view

https://i.imgur.com/1DMjStz.jpg

Beautiful yet scary.

[xironman]

HWRF NW on track into Melbourne at 72 hours. No stall or turn yet.

Obviously someone forgot to tell the HWRF about the "all clear"

[Blown Away]

Red cross is the CoC just tagged by recon.

https://i.imgur.com/KjI6VK6.png

well south of forecast points

Latest... I see maybe a slight hair S of due W... 26N line will be a good gauge tonight...