#6170 Postby seahawkjd » Wed Sep 04, 2019 6:19 pm
Do_For_Love wrote:plasticup wrote:Highteeld wrote:
SHIPS Prob RI for 20kt/ 12hr RI threshold= 7% is 1.4 times climatological mean ( 5.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 25kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 15% is 1.4 times climatological mean (10.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 30kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 12% is 1.7 times climatological mean ( 6.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 35kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 9% is 2.4 times climatological mean ( 3.8%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 40kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 2.4%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 45kt/ 36hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 4.5%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 55kt/ 48hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 4.6%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 65kt/ 72hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 5.4%)
RI with a wind field this broad? Seems unlikely. But obviously that would be one of the factors that the model considers
Well, there's an 89% chance that RI will not occur according to SHIPS, so it is very unlikely. The fact it could happen at all is kind of scary though
That whole naked swirl thing people were joking about last night isn't still on the table is it? No?
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