From the FWD AFD this afternoon
RESPECT THE RIDGE OF DEATH !!!!!
Things get slightly more interesting towards the end of next
week, when model solutions begin diverging. A small camp of models
and a few ensembles continue to indicate a breakdown of the
ridge, allowing a weakening front to approach North Texas on
Thursday. While those hoping for the arrival of fall are rooting
for this solution, it is not the most likely scenario.
The bulk of
guidance, including an overwhelming number of GEFS members, stall
this front north of the Red River, leaving most of the forecast
area high and dry during the middle/end of next week with the
upper ridge holding steady overhead. Will continue to side with
warmer/drier guidance, and include only some low PoPs for any
activity that could move southward off a stalled front to our
north late Thursday or Friday. Even if the front does not progress
all the way into the forecast area, at least some increased cloud
cover associated with this system could knock a couple degrees
off of high temperatures to end the week.
The above post and any post by dhweather is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.