Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

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CyclonicFury
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Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#1 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:20 pm

This low is at least somewhat interesting. Currently it is a cold-core extratropical low, but a few hours ago some central convection developed near the center. Some models (such as the GFS and CMC) have shown this system acquiring some subtropical characteristics over the next few days. It probably won't amount to anything, but it's interesting for April nonetheless.

 https://twitter.com/AliciaMBentley/status/1245058874182373377


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Re: Non-tropical low over the Northwestern Atlantic (near 36N 72W)

#2 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:09 pm

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Re: Non-tropical low over the Northwestern Atlantic (near 36N 72W)

#3 Postby Vince_and_Grace_fan » Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:27 pm

Earlier today:

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Re: Non-tropical low over the Northwestern Atlantic (near 36N 72W)

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:35 am

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Re: Non-tropical low over the Northwestern Atlantic (near 36N 72W)

#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 02, 2020 8:53 am

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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 02, 2020 9:41 am

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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#7 Postby TheAustinMan » Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:18 pm

This system is quite well-organized, and I'm a little surprised that the NHC hasn't made note of this in a special tropical weather outlook. Model trends have been a little more unfavorable regarding the system's future organization, but I think the system's convection at its center of circulation now speaks for itself. Here's a plot of an airmass RGB composite and GFS forecast wind barbs and 850hPa temperatures at 18z. As the core of the system continues to barrel around, it should continue separating farther from that front, which seems to have been transitioning into a baroclinic zone without much of a wind shift out there.

1.6 MB. Source: Visualized using the Integrated Data Viewer
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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:40 pm

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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#9 Postby wxman57 » Thu Apr 02, 2020 12:47 pm

I suppose NHC staff are working from home. Would that affect their decision to initiate advisories on an STS? I would think that they could remotely connect to their workstations to send out an advisory. It may affect Bermuda on Saturday.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#10 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 02, 2020 1:59 pm

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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#11 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Apr 02, 2020 7:05 pm

Heck, looking at the latest imagery and presentation, this system darn sure looks fairly close to being STS tonight. Impressive early season cyclone.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#12 Postby cycloneye » Thu Apr 02, 2020 7:45 pm

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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#13 Postby HurricaneEnzo » Thu Apr 02, 2020 10:02 pm



Looks like it was there if it could have maintained. Still a chance maybe if it swings back to the South.
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Re: Non-Tropical Low South of Nova Scotia

#14 Postby Nancy Smar » Fri Apr 03, 2020 9:57 pm

NHC 81L TEST 20200403 1800 396N 0697W 245 082 0982 0999 0556 31 130 0297 -999 0222 0334 M 0148 -999 -999 0167 -9 -99N -999W -999 -999 -999 -999
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