ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

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NXStumpy_Robothing
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#641 Postby NXStumpy_Robothing » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:17 pm

Recon data so far has struggled to find anything at flight-level above 30kts, and that was still a far way away from the center. Definitely still a depression until it can get that inner core going.

Quite the sight to watch tonight though.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#642 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:20 pm

NDG wrote:Circulation is starting to grow on height, clearly seen on vis satellite.

https://i.imgur.com/J5W3zPM.gif


Looks like a NW movement
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#643 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:22 pm

Yeah I definitely can't argue with the TD designation since recon is trying hard to find higher winds and don't seem to be successful yet, but I am absolutely floored they can't find 35kt yet with this jaw-dropping structure. I fear when winds start to go up they go up rather fast... or if this becomes a big sprawling system, could greatly slow the wind increase but let the pressure keep falling, who knows. Either way this is essentially a WPac monsoon trough depression in the Gulf of Mexico for some reason
Last edited by EquusStorm on Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#644 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:23 pm

EquusStorm wrote:Yeah I definitely can't argue with the TD designation since recon is trying hard to find higher winds and don't seem to be successful yet, but I am absolutely floored they can't find 35kt yet with this jaw-dropping structure, I fear when winds start to go up they go up rather fast... or if this becomes a big sprawling system, could greatly slow the wind increase but let the pressure keep falling, who knows. Either way this is essentially a WPac monsoon trough depression in the Gulf of Mexico for some reason


trying ?

they have done one pass and are doing their normal Alpha pattern..

trying would be flying around the right front quad or doing circles in the heaviest convection.. :P
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#645 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:23 pm

Clear evidence of eyewall building.
Large area of increasing helicity being detected slightly to the west.

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#646 Postby tolakram » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:24 pm

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Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#647 Postby St0rmTh0r » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:25 pm

supercane4867 wrote:Hot towers popping up like popcorns.

https://i.imgur.com/f1m295J.gif

Seriously this is getting dangerous now! How much more time does this have over water? This has the look of every infamous GOM storm!!! Would like to know because I have family I. Texas.
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Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#648 Postby plasticup » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:26 pm

St0rmTh0r wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:Hot towers popping up like popcorns.

https://i.imgur.com/f1m295J.gif

Seriously this is getting dangerous now! How much more time does this have over water? This has the look of every infamous GOM storm!!! Would like to know because I have family I. Texas.


48 hours. Probably not long enough to get too serious. Probably.
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Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#649 Postby BYG Jacob » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:28 pm

plasticup wrote:
St0rmTh0r wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:Hot towers popping up like popcorns.

https://i.imgur.com/f1m295J.gif

Seriously this is getting dangerous now! How much more time does this have over water? This has the look of every infamous GOM storm!!! Would like to know because I have family I. Texas.


48 hours. Probably not long enough to get too serious. Probably.

More than enough time in the GoM
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Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#650 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:28 pm

plasticup wrote:
St0rmTh0r wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:Hot towers popping up like popcorns.

https://i.imgur.com/f1m295J.gif

Seriously this is getting dangerous now! How much more time does this have over water? This has the look of every infamous GOM storm!!! Would like to know because I have family I. Texas.


48 hours. Probably not long enough to get too serious. Probably.


Image
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Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#651 Postby plasticup » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:29 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
plasticup wrote:
St0rmTh0r wrote:Seriously this is getting dangerous now! How much more time does this have over water? This has the look of every infamous GOM storm!!! Would like to know because I have family I. Texas.


48 hours. Probably not long enough to get too serious. Probably.


https://i.ibb.co/3mQbZd8/Capture.png


Emphasis on the probably :eek:
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#652 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:30 pm

Honestly though with Humberto and Harvey in memory I'm not turning my back on this to jump from TD to category one in 24 hours if structure keeps improving this quickly. This thing looks better than a lot of Gulf hurricanes already. And is probably in a better upper air environment than them too.

...ok, yeah, Texas and rapidly intensifying 'H' storms seem to have more than a little correlation recently
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#653 Postby Kazmit » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:32 pm

GCANE wrote:Clear evidence of eyewall building.
Large area of increasing helicity being detected slightly to the west.

https://i.imgur.com/RRswZvN.png

https://i.imgur.com/yToMfxU.gif

I've never heard of a tropical depression with an eyewall. :lol:
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#654 Postby Chemmers » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:33 pm

Wouldn't be surprised if I woke up In the morning and this was almost a hurricane, think the pressure will start to drop quick now
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Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#655 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:42 pm

plasticup wrote:
St0rmTh0r wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:Hot towers popping up like popcorns.

https://i.imgur.com/f1m295J.gif

Seriously this is getting dangerous now! How much more time does this have over water? This has the look of every infamous GOM storm!!! Would like to know because I have family I. Texas.


48 hours. Probably not long enough to get too serious. Probably.


The conditions are good but not ideal for any kind of RI. Look carefully at the UL just to the SW that is funneling in some dry air. That should also be just enough to keep this at most a TS into Texas:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=24
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#656 Postby catskillfire51 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:42 pm

Reconnaissance missed half the last pass but it's reporting again.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#657 Postby TROPICALCYCLONEALERT » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:44 pm

It's a pretty large storm. I wouldn't be surprised if the pressure/wind ratio is rather abnormal. It is strengthening, though.
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#658 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:44 pm

Kazmit wrote:
GCANE wrote:Clear evidence of eyewall building.
Large area of increasing helicity being detected slightly to the west.

https://i.imgur.com/RRswZvN.png

https://i.imgur.com/yToMfxU.gif

I've never heard of a tropical depression with an eyewall. :lol:



Clear evidence of eyewall building.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1uB22YGvjE0
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#659 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:49 pm

lol

Image
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Re: ATL: EIGHT - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#660 Postby hicksta » Thu Jul 23, 2020 7:50 pm

supercane4867 wrote:lol

https://i.imgur.com/J8xp44V.jpg


2020 gonna 2020
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