ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#901 Postby NDG » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:22 am

Mid level eye feature being picked up nicely on radar, wrapping convection around now.

Image
2 likes   

User avatar
Cpv17
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4919
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2016 2:24 pm
Location: Wharton/El Campo, TX

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#902 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:22 am

jaguars_22 wrote:In Victoria do you think we could get a band that sets up on us? Or most of the bad stuff south


I think it’s possible but not probable. Most of the bad stuff should be from Corpus Christi to Brownsville.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#903 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:23 am

Ubuntwo wrote:Per the NHC, those ship reports are elevated by 89 meters, working out to around 40kt surface.


the plane is flying many times that height and they dont due that much reduction..

besides.

here is the exact ship.. pretty sure the anemometer is on the front of the ship above the bridge not at 89 meters..

and also pretty sure the reduction is minimal at that point.

Image
6 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8905
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#904 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:24 am

nice eye feature...Will be close in my opinion.
Image
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#905 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:27 am

Sciencerocks wrote:nice eye feature...Will be close in my opinion.
https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/4120/9zucG5.gif


Yeah it seems like the low level circ sped up a little over night and caused some slight shear. all models forecast it to slow down to a crawl..

still has a lot of time to become a hurricane.
2 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#906 Postby NDG » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:33 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
Ubuntwo wrote:Per the NHC, those ship reports are elevated by 89 meters, working out to around 40kt surface.


the plane is flying many times that height and they dont due that much reduction..

besides.

here is the exact ship.. pretty sure the anemometer is on the front of the ship above the bridge not at 89 meters..

and also pretty sure the reduction is minimal at that point.

https://i.ibb.co/RBjJ2Pt/PACIFIC-KHAMSIN.jpg


89 meters seem to be way too high to put anemometer on a ship.
3 likes   

User avatar
Ubuntwo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1401
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Oct 05, 2017 10:41 pm

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#907 Postby Ubuntwo » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:36 am

Aric Dunn wrote:
Ubuntwo wrote:Per the NHC, those ship reports are elevated by 89 meters, working out to around 40kt surface.


the plane is flying many times that height and they dont due that much reduction..

besides.

here is the exact ship.. pretty sure the anemometer is on the front of the ship above the bridge not at 89 meters..

and also pretty sure the reduction is minimal at that point.

https://i.ibb.co/RBjJ2Pt/PACIFIC-KHAMSIN.jpg

The NHC's word, not mine.
2 likes   
Kendall -> SLO -> PBC

Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma

User avatar
JaxGator
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 780
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2016 3:33 pm
Location: Jacksonville Florida

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#908 Postby JaxGator » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:37 am

Always fascinating to see Recon data come in during a mission, especially when it’s an important mission like this one close to land. It’s great to be back on the fourm. I’ve been around though. The season so far has been, well, active. Especially with daredevil Gonzalo.
8 likes   
The posts or stuff said are NOT an official forecast. Please look to the NHC and NWS for official forecasts and products.

Floyd-1999, Frances-2004, Jeanne-2004, Fay-2008, Beryl-2012, Debby-2012, Colin-2016, Hermine-2016, Julia-2016, Matthew-2016, Irma-2017, Elsa-2021, Idalia-2023, Debby-2024, Helene-2024.


Go Gators! Go Jags!

Snowman67
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 633
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 12:44 pm
Location: Tomball, TX

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#909 Postby Snowman67 » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:41 am

Really hoping I can get some decent rain here in Tomball. Guess it will all depend on where the feeder bands set up as this gets closer to the coast?
0 likes   
Any forecast I make is based on my opinion only. Please refer to the NWS or NHC for official forecasts.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#910 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:42 am

This oil rig ( 98 ft)

pressure 1002 mb in western eyewall. looks to take a direct hit from the center.

given the pressure field from the plane I would say we see the pressure drop to 998 or 999 at this station.

Image
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#911 Postby aspen » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:42 am

Sciencerocks wrote:nice eye feature...Will be close in my opinion.
https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/4120/9zucG5.gif

She’s getting better, but convection needs to continue wrapping around the exposed parts in the north if she wants to get to 60-70 kt. Reminds me of the structure of Halong last year when it was a new TS.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9591
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Not a state-caster

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#912 Postby Steve » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:43 am

Aric Dunn wrote:On a side note.. looks like according to some of the Euro ensembles. Hanna is going to have a baby that develops and heads to the florida panhandle lol


ICON and CMC have been showing that too since Tuesday. Leftover or split energy or perhaps something to do with the next wave and surge coming across.

We have some feeder band moisture building overhead in Pensacola.

Image
3 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8812
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#913 Postby aspen » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:45 am

12z microwave pass shows a pretty good partial eyewall already.
Image
5 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#914 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:47 am

aspen wrote:
Sciencerocks wrote:nice eye feature...Will be close in my opinion.
https://imagizer.imageshack.com/img924/4120/9zucG5.gif

She’s getting better, but convection needs to continue wrapping around the exposed parts in the north if she wants to get to 60-70 kt. Reminds me of the structure of Halong last year when it was a new TS.



She is definitely trying..
lets see what happens as she slows down and turns wsw.. if that convection trying to wrap around can close off the moisture loops she might pop some deep towers on the west side.

Image
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
Highteeld
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2139
Age: 41
Joined: Tue Jan 30, 2018 9:10 pm
Location: Chicago

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#915 Postby Highteeld » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:49 am


That actually does look pretty good.
0 likes   
Very useful information on the Dvorak Technique --

https://severe.worldweather.wmo.int/TCF ... kBeven.pdf

jaguars_22
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:26 pm

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#916 Postby jaguars_22 » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:51 am

Aric is there a chance she goes due west instead of southwest
0 likes   

User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3364
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#917 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:52 am

JaxGator wrote:Always fascinating to see Recon data come in during a mission, especially when it’s an important mission like this one close to land. It’s great to be back on the fourm. I’ve been around though. The season so far has been, well, active. Especially with daredevil Gonzalo.


According to the schedule, an AF HH was suppose to take off about an hour ago. Haven't seen any indication of that yet. Any info?
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'

User avatar
dantonlsu
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 95
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2016 9:59 am

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#918 Postby dantonlsu » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:53 am

jaguars_22 wrote:Aric is there a chance she goes due west instead of southwest


Theres always a chance.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#919 Postby Aric Dunn » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:54 am

jaguars_22 wrote:Aric is there a chance she goes due west instead of southwest


definitely. if the turn to the wsw is delayed.. then it would be coming it pretty much straight west from here.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

jaguars_22
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 571
Joined: Tue Jun 20, 2017 2:26 pm

Re: ATL: HANNA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#920 Postby jaguars_22 » Fri Jul 24, 2020 10:55 am

And it could also keep nudging wnw for near term
1 likes   


Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 60 guests