ConvergenceZone wrote:OuterBanker wrote:Most models have shifted west and with only a tropical storm which is good news for us.
Now we are at 100% capacity, nothing available. National news is telling people it is a safe beach.
And the tourist came.
As long as the hype for the storm is aimed at someone else we will thrive.
Hoping it stays that way, to try to evac the OBX at full capacity would be a nightmare.
Remember not to pay attention to strength forecasts, as they will more than likely be wrong. I think the strength forecasts will definitely go up slowly.
I absolutely agree, and I think the current intensity guidance is also factoring in the fact that the disturbance might not form into anything at all or get shredded up by land interaction with the larger islands of the Antilles. If 92L does form into a definitive tropical storm than I think the guidance will go up reflecting that.